April Fools Racing

rossom

3.10 Huntingdon

The Musical Guy 5/1

This looks a tricky little contest but I think Nigel Twiston-Davies's 7 year old looks on a very workable mark of 120 on handicap debut over fences and I think its going to take a very well handicapped to beat him if the application of first time blinkers have the desired effect. Pretty average over hurdles, The Musical Guy is clearly an out and out stayer but he has achieved a great deal more in his brief chasing career than he did over hurdles. The Musical Guy made his chasing debut back in December with a superb effort over 3m1f at Folkestone when going down by 0.5L to the very talented Godsmejudge. Held up at the rear of the field, The Musical Guy's jumping was pretty sound for the most part barring 3 or 4 slow jumps. At 3 out (still a fair way from the finish) The Musical Guy got caught slightly for pace and was about 10L back in 5th but he stayed on resolutely and looked to hold every chance when 2L down but a slow jump put paid to his winning chance as he stayed on again up the finish to always just be held. The winner has since been narrowly beaten in the Betfair Classic Chase off a mark of 128, won a Novice Chase and finish an excellent 3rd in the 4 Miler at Cheltenham. Additionally, the 3rd Barlow finished a narrowly beaten 2nd off a mark of 123 subsequently to solidify the form. Given that The Musical Guy was the only one in the first 4 making his chasing debut it was an absolutely superb effort. The Musical Guy's 2nd start over fences at Leicester wasn't fantastic but I certainly don't think he enjoyed the heavy ground and I'm definitely putting a line through that effort.

The Musical Guy's final start came over the same 3m C+D where his disappointment came at Leicester last month but the better ground allowed him to put in a much better performance. Given that the pace was slow, Sam Twiston-Davies decided to make the running with his mount which I don't think suited that much. On occasions, he jumped a little bold and slow and he was driven from quite a bit out given that the eventual winner Howard's Legacy loomed large on his outside. He eventually fell back to 4th but he looked as if he was staying on again at the finish as he was only beaten a little over 5L at the finish. Again, the form of that race looks strong and it was another excellent effort. Although the winner Howards Legacy (who conceded The Musical Guy 7lb) was pulled up at Cheltenham, he had since put in an excellent effort when finishing 2nd to subsequent Racing Plus Chase winner Opening Batsman on his previous start whilst the 3rd Top Smart looked to be running a blinder in the 4 Miler at Cheltenham before falling at 4 out. Given that I feel he was slightly inconvenienced by making the running, I think it was another very nice effort. After those 3 runs, I definitely think he's on a nice mark of 120 and feel he can definitely win races off this mark. His jumping has been a little sticky on occasion but I think the blinkers can definitely help him concentrate and bring about a little bit more improvement. Looking at tomorrow's 3m contest, there seems to be quite a bit of pace in the field and I will be very surprised if the race isn't run at a good clip. I'm hoping Sam Twiston-Davies just drops him out the rear of the field. Although he definitely seems like he'd be better over further, a strongly run race over 3m should suit him down to the ground and the current going conditions shouldn't pose an issue either. Nigel Twiston-Davies has his horses in fantastic form at the moment and I'm quite confident that The Musical Guy can make a successful handicap debut over fences.

ste2010

Fancies for tomorrow
Worth nothing Tim Vaughan is sending the first 2 selections as his only horses approx 300miles to both race courses.

fakenham 3.15 Quadrato 6-1
Newcastle 5.55 Captain moonman ew 14-1
3.35 plumpton teshali ew 14-1
3.35 plumpton minella special 4-1
4.05 plumpton latterly/nonobunga
2.35 plumpton sash of honor Sp

Fairy house
National
marsonnien ew
quietly fancied ew

Piqué sous in the novice hurdle..can't believe he's 6-1...you could forgive him for his run in the supreme

the groutch

Bygones of Brid is an interesting one in the 4:55 at Newcastle.
Coming back off a 2 year layoff, and running off 6lb lower than when a close 2nd (on unsitably fast ground) to Sanctuaire in a Scottish Champion Hurdle.
If retaining enough of his ability the 7/1 being offered could be made look very foolish.

Also having a bet on Ancient Times (6/1) in the 3:00 at Redcar.
Very much regressive on the flat, but has since found his feet over jumps, being competitive off marks in the high 80s over hurdles and fences.
This might be enough of a standard to be involved off a mark of 47 on his first start on the flat for over 18 months.


Ste, still couldnt back Pique Sous on the ground.

rossom

4.50 Fairyhouse

Blazing Beacon 40/1

The Irish National looks a minefield as per usual and I'm hoping Frank McGuinness's Blazing Beacon will be a lively outsider in this and I'm hoping he can land this very lucrative prize. Although now in his veteran years at the age of 11, he's very lightly raced for one of his age with only 19 races to date. Furthermore, he's still very lightly raced over fences winning 3 of his 5 starts and I still feel he's on a workable mark of 130. An impressive winner of a Point To Point on his only completed start, Blazing Beacon was only moderate in his 12 starts in Bumpers and over hurdles but he really took off when he was sent chasing. After a good 2nd on chase debut behind the talented De Valira in September 2011, he showed the benefit of experience when routing a small field by 30L later that month before running a fine 4th in a Grade 3 Chase over 18f behind some very useful sorts in October that year. Blazing Beacon had only one more start that year when winning impressively over 22f at Wexford in a Novice event but it transpired that he injured a tendon which saw him sidelined for a long time. After 505 days off the track, Blazing Beacon made a successful handicap debut off a mark of 122 when landing a gamble over 19f at Wexford last month and he definitely showed he still held his enthusiasm for the game. Under Bryan Cooper, Blazing Beacon jumped phenomenally well for the most part and was taking lengths out his rivals at every fence in the heavy ground as he led from the front. With a reduced advantage approaching the final flight, Blazing Beacon wasn't at his usual fluent best and was headed after the last. However, he regained the advantage with authority late on to score by half a length but he clearly had a lot more left in the tank than the margin suggests.

He's been upped 8lbs for that effort on what will be just his 2nd start in a handicap and he's clearly unexposed over fences despite his veteran status. Given that it was his first start in a very long time, he's entitled to come on an awful lot for the run (although he could bounce) and he certainly seems to retain his ability. Given that the furthest he has raced over Under Rules has been 2m6f, his ability to stay 3m5f is a complete unknown but he looks a horse who is full of heart and he will certainly give it his all. I do, however, think he looks a strong stayer and definitely have hope that he can last home over the mammoth distance. Although McGuinness has maintained he is a better horse on good ground (which results would support), he won on heavy ground LTO and he can act on it. With Junior in the field, Blazing Beacon is allowed to race off a lovely racing weight of 9-9 with the extremely talented Mark Enright taking a very useful 3lb off. Although I can't advise anything other than a small bet in such a competitive event, it would be a wonderful story if Blazing Beacon could win this given that he hails from Frank McGuinness's very small yard and I'm hopeful for a big run from this lightly raced veteran whose wonderful jumping is a huge asset in a race of this nature.

kryogen

Your times are a little off rossum

carmanard

Today's inevitable losers , mostly at Fairyhouse - I'm not a fan of Zaidpour, I think he'll have a tough job conceding 7lbs to the gigginstown pair in the opener at fairyhouse. Having finished in front of un beau matin LTO when giving him a pound, off level weights today with him I fancy Si C'Etait Vrai to confirm the form of that run. In the 2nd, Sarabad has been a machine for earning money for the bookies, has suffered worse seconditis than me over the last year, but his run 2 starts back couldn't have been more impressive. Unseated very early last time but usually jumps well, 6/1 a very decent price. In the Grade 2 hurdle, I'm forgiving Sizing Rio his poor run at Christmas (which was in a Grade 1 in fairness), with his sights slightly lowered here & having had a nice break, he's a very tempting proposition, his length & a half beating of ted veale 2 starts back reads very well now. In the pointers bumper, taking a flyer on Bendanella, his 2 point runs (2nd first time out behind a horse who had a previous run under his belt & who was since bought by Roger Brookhouse for a tidy sum, then won very cosily at ballinaboola, 4th has won a point since) reads quite respectably in the context of this race. The Mullins, mcmanus & gigginstown horses all look solid, but I've no fear of taking a punt on Bendanella here...

Andalucia

3.10 Fairyhouse - Brian Who. Expect this horse to win today, has been a little unlucky his last few runs. a good true run race with plenty of runners should allow him to break his duck for the season today.

Rock Lesnar

Backed Vics Canvas last night at 7-1 in the 3.10 at fairyhouse today, i notice here now its 4-1 with a few bookies . lets hope it wins

UrbanSea

Quasi Congaree 2.50 Warwick is beginning to get very very well handicapped

admiralofthefleet

mick kinnane just had a great ride in the big one at the pheonix park

Shane732

admiralofthefleet wrote: »

mick kinnane just had a great ride in the big one at the pheonix park

Thought Arkle was going to get his head in front.

Shane732

What are your opinions on Zaidpour? 20lbs better than the winner. Has it just been a long season or is Zaidpour just not the same horse?

Dressedtothenines was very well backed by the looks of it.

On that form Annie Power runs all over Zaidpour.

ft9

Dressedtothenines win bodes well for Vics Canvas in the next, who finished just over a length 2nd to him lto. Also it has been well backed, 7's into 4's.

Overthelast

Shane732 wrote: »

What are your opinions on Zaidpour?

He's very consistent. All his wins are on softer going than today. Plenty of loot for the Harty horse this morning & it was tough conceding all that weight. Even so, Zaidpour is an honest horse & will bag plenty of graded races over the next couple of seasons. As they approached the last, just for a moment, I actually thought he might out battle dressedtothenines.

Vic's Canvas in the next has a line of form through that winner ( FT9 just pointed out while I was typing)

0ph0rce0

Watching RTE now, jesus christ rosanna davidson, get off the tv with your fashion ****e, whats with women and dressing like fools at the racing.

Dear God!!!

longshotvalue

3:10 Fairyhouse

Shamiran looks a decent price at 20/1 for this race. He has been in great form on the flat and over hurdles last year. He probably needed his last run after a break and is about 4-6 points bigger than I would have expected. His racing style could well make his a very decent shout to place at least.


1 Point EW 20/1

naughto

have black benny in this one

Slattsy

Datokepe here.

0ph0rce0

Good man Brian Who :cool:

Slattsy

Sizing Rio here.

Favourite is a stupid price.

naughto

nice dident realise that they pay out for 4th place

naughto

mallowney in this one

balls

0ph0rce0

naughto wrote: »

mallowney in this one

Slattsy

Slattsy wrote: »

Sizing Rio here.

Favourite is a stupid price.

I reckon i'd be a hero at laying horses :eek:

0ph0rce0

Just had a nice double with Brian Who and Pique Sous

Shane732

0ph0rce0 wrote: »

Just had a nice double with Brian Who and Pique Sous

Can we change the name of this to the great after timing thread?

0ph0rce0

The Oul Jockeys Are An Ugly Bunch :pac:

rossom

The Musical Guy needs to learn to jump! Definitely cost him a win today. I imagine he'll be stepped up in trip as well.

0ph0rce0

rossom wrote: »

The Musical Guy needs to learn to jump! Definitely cost him a win today. I imagine he'll be stepped up in trip as well.

Was on him but didn't get to see it.

0ph0rce0

Blow The Doors Off In This One

Slattsy

No real interest in this next race.
I'll take the fav on though, with Akorakor.

Slattsy

Slattsy wrote: »

No real interest in this next race.
I'll take the fav on though, with Akorakor.

That'll do pig, that'll do

Shoulda layed the fav (are you watching RoverJames )

0ph0rce0

0ph0rce0 wrote: »

Blow The Doors Off In This One

That'll do too had him on at 39/1 grand oul place

the groutch

first time I've ever not backed Pique Sous :mad:

Shane732

Well that caps a fecking horrible days racing.