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My "No Bet" betting log of "Why Didn't I Bet?"

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  • 03-01-2013 8:45pm
    #1
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭


    Due to feeling rubbish about betting in general, I have decided to stay away from making bets for a while. However, I have noticed, I still find myself looking around that stats sites, and trying to figure out games. So, I have decided to post a log of bets I would have made if I was still betting.

    If I was depositing money with bookie right now, I would most likely deposit €100, and see where that gets me. So, that is what my fake balance is for this log.

    Bank: €100
    Bet: Griffiths Anytime (Hearts v Hibs)
    Odds: 2/1
    Stake: €20


Comments

  • Options
    #2
    payno
    Registered Users Posts: 35 ✭payno


    So your up 20 good start :-)


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    #3
    saiint
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,010 ✭✭✭saiint


    payno wrote: »
    So your up 20 good start :-)
    ya mean 40


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    #4
    kippy
    Registered Users Posts: 18,424 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    saiint wrote: »
    ya mean 40

    Eh no,
    The OP's "Bet" didn't come in.
    Had he bet an actual 20 quid on it he would have lost it, however he didn't bet an actual 20 quid on it, thus saving himself 20 quid.
    Up 20 quid or at worst "even"


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    #5
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Bank: €80
    Bet: Scholes Carded Anytime (Man U v West Ham)
    Odds: 3.65 (on Betfair)
    Stake: €20


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    #6
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Win!!!

    Current non-Bank €133


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  • Options
    #7
    kippy
    Registered Users Posts: 18,424 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    tinodz wrote: »
    Win!!!

    Current non-Bank €133

    Fair play, I would have thoughts the odds for that happening would be shorter than that. Scholes is a card magnet!


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    #8
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    kippy wrote: »
    Fair play, I would have thoughts the odds for that happening would be shorter than that. Scholes is a card magnet!

    I thought it was a bit high too. I have no idea if those odds would have been matched on Betfair if I made the bet, but that is the price I saw when I checked.

    The only way to know is if I actually bet - and that would have ruined the log :pac:


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    #9
    BettorAssist
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭BettorAssist


    If you were betting with actual money would you be betting 25% of your bank balance on a 3.65 that you can't say with any certainty represents the enormous value required to come anywhere close to justifying that percentage?

    When you do return to betting you need to be very conservative with your bets or you will continue to lose, even if you pick profitable bets.

    Think 2 years ahead not 2 months and just do singles.

    To be fair I see this advice being given all the time until the more experienced punters just give up sharing advice and see it not being taken on board.

    If even 1 out of every 100 readers takes it on board though it is worth it.


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    #10
    martingriff
    Registered Users Posts: 10,700 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    can you say what site the bets are coming from. Are they all from 1 place


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    #11
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Bank: €133
    Bet: Fellaini Anytime (Cheltenham v Everton)
    Odds: 2.30
    Stake: €33 (Sorry Bettor)

    martingriff wrote: »
    can you say what site the bets are coming from. Are they all from 1 place



    All from Betfair


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  • Options
    #12
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    He scored.

    209 imaginary ****ing Euro in my Bank


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    #13
    kippy
    Registered Users Posts: 18,424 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    tinodz wrote: »
    He scored.

    209 imaginary ****ing Euro in my Bank

    You would have sweated for that one.


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    #14
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    kippy wrote: »
    You would have sweated for that one.

    I might have ran into the street screaming if I had money on it though.


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    #15
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Bank: €209
    Bet: Rooney Hat Trick (Man U v West Ham)
    Odds: 9.00 (PP - Cannot find market on Betfair)
    Stake: €9


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    #16
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    FAIL!!

    I was expecting a better comeback performance

    Bank - €200.


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    #17
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    If I had €200 in he Bank tonight, I would feel good sticking a decent lump on Castro Anytime (as I posted about here). Trying to settle on the actual amount I would bet before tonight.


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    #18
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    This is a bit of a big bet, but after thinking about it some, I feel I would honestly make this bet if I was €100 up on my initial deposit. It is a bit stupid to be fair, it will annoy some, and people will say I am, in fact, stupid risking so much, but I think I would do this if this money was looking at me in my online betting balance right now.

    Bank: €200
    Bet: Castor Anytime (Betis vs Athl Madrid)
    Odds: 3.20 (on PP)
    Stake: €100

    I am happy to look like an idiot come 11PM


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    #19
    kippy
    Registered Users Posts: 18,424 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    tinodz wrote: »
    This is a bit of a big bet, but after thinking about it some, I feel I would honestly make this bet if I was €100 up on my initial deposit. It is a bit stupid to be fair, it will annoy some, and people will say I am, in fact, stupid risking so much, but I think I would do this if this money was looking at me in my online betting balance right now.

    Bank: €200
    Bet: Castor Anytime (Betis vs Athl Madrid)
    Odds: 3.20 (on PP)
    Stake: €100

    I am happy to look like an idiot come 11PM

    Hindsight is great.


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    #20
    tinodz
    Registered Users Posts: 5,185 ✭✭✭tinodz


    Closing this, as I made a €10 bet on the Aston Villa / Bradford game.

    Looks like I ended things all level in my bank - so lost and gained nothing by not betting.

    Success?


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