Sunday Kelso 1.25

Morgans

Lots of nice bets tomorrow.

Best of them for me is Rupert Bear. I think will turn out to be a very nice northern chaser in time and he really has taken the eye over the last year and was in different class last time out, raised 10lbs doesn't represent his superiority then.

I think the odds (4/1 or 9/2) for him winning in this class of race are very good. I think he could turn out to be a lot better than the horses he is up against tomorrow and improve again when chasing.

Top weight, but claiming jockey who gave it a fantastic ride last time out, takes weight down to 11-5. Think its closer to a 7/4 - 2/1 shot. Its one of those horses that I was going to have a max bet on at those odds, and the larger odds doesnt deter confidence. Feels like a bonus.

3ndahalfof6

One that might have a chance is RHYMERS HA , wont mind the ground and the drop back in trip could be a big factor, 14/1

Johner

Life Long at Warwick 14/1. Ran some decent races over hurdles in handicaps last season. Back after a long absence, won a bumper on soft ground and stays well. Worth a chance tomorrow in an open looking race.

UrbanSea

I think Rubi Light is being forgotten about today

Morgans

He is.

But think at least one of the other two will be too good for him. He is overpriced, and would have been an sound each way bet or betting without if the field fell out right.

UrbanSea

Was thinking about having a small bet on him but won't bother. The other's have him for fitness, but was giving Sizing Europe a beating on reappearance last year before falling at the last and won first time out the year before, even if it was at Sligo.


I'd be tempted to back Realt Dubh at Cork if he hadn't ran so badly last time out

Morgans

Yeah. Couldn't back him after last time.

Rival d'Estruval should beat Saphir River at Kelso for a 2/1 forecast (bet365 BOG).

Tarla should win at Cork, dont like backing Dazzling Susie in blinkers and cant see why Mae's choice is ahead of Cnoc Sioda in the betting. Race will be run to suit Great Oak. Think of doing both of those (Cnoc Sioda and Great Oak) in forecasts with the favourite. Will check the betting without markets also closer to the off.

UrbanSea

I was really excited about Dazzling Susie but was really disappointed with her at Galway, thought she was a banker. Just wondering, why wouldn't you like her in blinkers?

Achillion is nicely bred in the bumper. I often keep an eye for flat bred in bumpers

Shane732

I'd fully expect Tarla to win but 2/5 is just too short.

Shane732

Balckwater King really pissed all over them there.

Morgans

UrbanSea wrote: »

I was really excited about Dazzling Susie but was really disappointed with her at Galway, thought she was a banker. Just wondering, why wouldn't you like her in blinkers?

Achillion is nicely bred in the bumper. I often keep an eye for flat bred in bumpers

Mares are often form creatures and more fickle than geldings, and I tend to avoid them after a bad run. I learned that the expensive way. Fiddling the Facts thought me that lesson a long time ago.

If anything, blinkers will make her go even quicker earlier on, and I'm not sure that's whats needed. Tarla should wrap her up early in the straight. She looked great those times in the summer and if she blazes off and stays going, I'll take my beating. Wouldnt be surprised if Glibin finished ahead of her again.

sonnky

In the race about to start at Punchestown I think Rory O Moore could set it up nicely for Balnaslow.

Morgans

Morgans wrote: »

Rival d'Estruval should beat Saphir River at Kelso for a 2/1 forecast (bet365 BOG).

Got greedy and paid the price. Price was big enough for the winner. Nice horse. That form of Bold Sir Brian is very solid.

Morgans

3ndahalfof6 wrote: »

One that might have a chance is RHYMERS HA , wont mind the ground and the drop back in trip could be a big factor, 14/1

That is some good picking. Back to the drawing board with Rupert Lamb, got excited coming down to the second last but ultimately one-paced. The front two are nice horses to come clear after being up with the pace throughout.

Morgans

Morgans wrote: »

Tarla should win at Cork, dont like backing Dazzling Susie in blinkers and cant see why Mae's choice is ahead of Cnoc Sioda in the betting. Race will be run to suit Great Oak. Think of doing both of those (Cnoc Sioda and Great Oak) in forecasts with the favourite. Will check the betting without markets also closer to the off.

Facepalm. Went for the two forecasts. Thats it for the day.

UrbanSea

The betting gods were laughing at you there Morgans. Unlucky


Was going to do two bets today but kept my money in my pocket. Carlowsantana in this one at Cork, and one in the second last at Lingfield, Richard Fahy's one at 25/1

UrbanSea

Won at 14/1. Raging