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Betting Log

  • 28-11-2012 5:23pm
    #1
    Blatter
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,832 ✭✭✭✭


    Starting bank is €1,000, I'll risk no more than 5% of my bank on any one bet. I do my fair share of in play bets so most of the time I'm just going to post screen shots of wins/losses after those events as I don't want to waste time needlessly logging bets when I could be concentrating on a match. Afterwards, I will give my reasoning for taking the bet though, win or lose.

    Starting off tonight with three bets.

    Tottenham v Liverpool

    €30 - Tottenham DNB @ 1.83 (BV)

    The reasoning for this is pretty straightforward, Liverpool are constantly overrated by the bookies. They're probably a top 8 side at best against a Spurs side that are probably the 5th best team in the league. Spurs DNB at home against this sort of opposition should be a fair bit shorter than this imo.


    Man Utd v West Ham

    €20 - No sending off @ 1.29 (SJ)

    This is simply priced incorrectly. The next best price is 1.17 on BF after comm. I would place more on this bet but it's all I've left in my SJ account and I'm waiting for money to be transferred into my bank account so I can top up.


    Chelsea v Fulham

    €20 - Juan Mata anytime assist @ 3.75 (BS)

    I'll place this bet providing he starts. He has 6 assists in 11 PL games this season and is good value to continue this vein of form against a Fulham side that concede plenty on the road.


Comments

  • #2
    Blatter
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,832 ✭✭✭✭Blatter


    Blatter wrote: »


    Chelsea v Fulham

    €20 - Juan Mata anytime assist @ 3.75 (BS)

    I'll place this bet providing he starts. He has 6 assists in 11 PL games this season and is good value to continue this vein of form against a Fulham side that concede plenty on the road.

    And Benitez rests Mata.

    Bertrand is surprisingly playing left wing instead. He's 6.5 to assist anytime and I think that's value given the position and opposition he's playing so I'm going to put €20 on that instead.


  • #3
    Blatter
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,832 ✭✭✭✭Blatter


    Blatter wrote: »
    Tottenham v Liverpool

    €30 - Tottenham DNB @ 1.83 (BV)

    The reasoning for this is pretty straightforward, Liverpool are constantly overrated by the bookies. They're probably a top 8 side at best against a Spurs side that are probably the 5th best team in the league. Spurs DNB at home against this sort of opposition should be a fair bit shorter than this imo.

    Win, +24.9

    Man Utd v West Ham

    €20 - No sending off @ 1.29 (SJ)

    This is simply priced incorrectly. The next best price is 1.17 on BF after comm. I would place more on this bet but it's all I've left in my SJ account and I'm waiting for money to be transferred into my bank account so I can top up.

    Win, +5.8

    Chelsea v Fulham

    And Benitez rests Mata.

    Bertrand is surprisingly playing left wing instead. He's 6.5 to assist anytime and I think that's value given the position and opposition he's playing so I'm going to put €20 on that instead.

    Lose, -20


    And in play bet:

    bale-1.jpg

    Spurs were cutting through Liverpool at ease and Bale in particular was destroying them. He has already assisted Lennon and came close himself on a couple of occasions, and has a pretty good goal return this season. I thought 17/2 was good value for him to get the next goal.

    Win, +85


    Bank = +1,095.7


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