Monday 22nd October

rossom

4.05 Tipperary

Dromdeals Princess 20/1

Very surprised such a big price is available about David Harry Kelly's rules debutant and I'm hopeful of a big run. This 6 year old has already had two starts in Point to Points and was successful on her 2nd start in this sphere when coming home a 12L victor (I'm not looking too much into this as only 3 horses of the 11 starters finished). Although that P2P probably took very little winning, she at least got her head in front and you've got to be buoyed by the fact that she has is already on the winning thread. In terms of breeding, this mare is a €15,500 purchase and is a half sister to Rebecca Curtis's bumper winner The Romford Pele and comes from the same family as triple Grade 2 winning chaser Life of a Lord so she's a likeable enough mare on breeding as well. The main thing that caught my eye about her was her rookie trainer who only began training (at least under rules) in May of this year. David Harry Kelly has already made a very bright start to his career, especially in bumpers, and currently has an excellent strike rate in this sphere of 36% (4-11) and as such any bumper horses he has make me sit up and take notice. In addition, he has sent out two winners on debut which is again very pleasing for a horse who is having her first run under rules. 7lb claimer Pa King takes the ride and he rode Dromdeals Princess in both points so his familiarity with the horse is a clear positive and King has ridden all 4 of Kelly's Bumper winners and has a 44% strike rate when teaming up with the trainer in this sphere. Although a competitive enough looking race, I think Dromdeals Princess looks very overpriced at 20/1 and hopefully she can keep her trainer's excellent record going by landing what will be a huge test of stamina.

twistedbrains

would be nice way to start the week :D:D:D

rossom

She was well supported before the off but absolutely died on her feet over the marathon bumper trip in the ground. I wouldn't give up on her yet.

rossom

5.20 Pontefract

Sir Geoffrey 66/1 NAP

Could finish last but Scott Dixon's 6 year old looks an absolutely massive price in this competitive looking handicap at Pontefract. Could be crazy putting the NAP tag to it but if he's on a going day he could run a monster race. Formerly a horse that loved to make all, he's had to have a change of tactics now he's gotten a little older but he's still a talented animal on his day (and he's a horse who only does it when he wants to!) Although not at his best his past few starts, that isn't much of a concern given that he's a moody horse. Sir Geoffrey was clearly in good heart during the summer when finishing a short head 2nd over todays C+D off a 5lb lower mark before deservedly landing a 5f event at Doncaster on his next start off a mark of 68 in fine style by 2L- off only a 2lb lower mark that he has to contest with today in a race that looks decent enough form wise. Trainer Scott Dixon seems to hit a purple patch with his last two runners both winning and that's clearly a huge positive for today. Luke Morris takes the ride and was on board one of Dixon's winners on Saturday and he won't mind today's underfoot conditions in the slightest. In a race that looks as if it has an abundance of pace, it looks tailored to fall apart for a finisher to claim. Although stall 15 isn't great, Sir Geoffrey clearly goes well at the track and on a mark that looks within his scope of ability it wouldn't surprise me if this gelding ran a good race (hopefully its not too hot for him!) and if on a going day hopefully he can land this at a massive price.

rossom

3.40 Exeter Marleno 20/1 is my NAP tomorrow. Write up to come later on tonight but I think this could prove popular in the betting.

Colonel Sanders

rossom wrote: »

3.40 Exeter Marleno 20/1 is my NAP tomorrow. Write up to come later on tonight but I think this could prove popular in the betting.

All the 20s is gone

3ndahalfof6

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

All the 20s is gone

Where are you getting to bet on this race, I have tried a few places but no price available.

beaker1

william hill have it priced up @ 14/1

3ndahalfof6

beaker1 wrote: »

william hill have it priced up @ 14/1

I just rang them they said they have no price showing.

beaker1

go on there site im still on there

3ndahalfof6

Just rang again, now they have it 14s, (strange) bet on, will watch the betting with interest on this one tomorrow.

3ndahalfof6

beaker1 wrote: »

william hill have it priced up @ 14/1

I got a phone account, might be the reason they never saw it (still strange) but the bet is on, thanks beaker1.

lets hope tomorrow we are filling many beakers and emptying them.

UrbanSea

Come to the Party is one I like in the 4.05 Fairyhouse at 10/1.

Small bet on Nurse Dominatrix at Yarmouth 4.50 25/1