Monday August 13th

rossom

5.50 Thirsk

Lupin Pooter 5/1

Prior to his last run, Lupin Pooter was a very progressive sprinter in top form and if discounting his last run as an under-performance then I am sure he'd be clear favourite and I think he's going to take a heck of a lot of beating. He's made a blistering start to his short career, winning 3 of his 5 starts and I'm confident that his last effort was just an off day as opposed to the handicapper catching up with him. Last June David Barron's gelding made his racecourse debut on his sole start as a 2 year old when scoring by a neck at Musselburgh. Although the form of that race is nothing special, it got his career off on the right track. For one reason or another, he was off the track for 11 months before making his handicap and three year old debut in May off a mark of 67. He put in a very good effort to finish 4th of 18 considering his lengthy absence and it was a very good effort. He resumed winning ways on his next start at Ayr off the same mark when scoring by a short head in what has turned out to be a very hot race. After racing freely, Lupin Pooter got going well in the final furlong and scored I think with a little bit in hand. The two horses in behind Lupin Pooter have franked the form with the 2nd Wild Sauce making the frame in his next 3 starts with his last effort being a win off an 8lb higher mark whilst the 3rd Bogini won his next 3 starts and is now rated 18lb higher than he was that day.

Lupin Pooter carried on his progression when scoring off a mark of 72 on his 2nd last start in fine fashion on soft ground at Newmarket. Held up towards the rear, Lupin Pooter raced rather keenly in the early stages before settling down after about a furlong. Under hands and heels riding, Jamie Spencer brought him down the outside of the field with his challenge before he hung badly to the left with a couple of furlongs to go. He really got the hang of things late on as he scored by a fair bit more than the 1.25L margin suggests. Again, that form looks strong with the 3rd Millibar winning a Classified Stakes race on her next start whilst the 4th was also successful on his next start. His last start came at York off a mark of 79, which he races off tomorrow, where he was sent off the 2/1 favourite as he ran absolutely no sort of race. It may have been that he didn't really like the good to firm ground (although he won on it at Ayr and gets that ground tomorrow) but for one reason or another he just didn't run his race at all and I think you've got to ignore that effort.

David Barron reaches for first time blinkers tomorrow in a bid to get Lupin Pooters progressive career back on track. Its interesting to note that this gelding's Dam Carrie Pooter improved substantially for the fitting of this aid for Barron and I am sure the trainer will be hoping it has the same effect for her progeny. Lupin Pooter makes his first visit to Thirsk and I am slightly worried about the good to firm ground given it was a possible excuse for his last performance and that his best effort to date came with some cut in the ground. Nevertheless, there is absolutely no way in my opinion that he won't go on to be a horse that is rated better than 79 and given that he has won on the surface before. If his last start was a once off, I definitely see Lupin Pooter putting in a much improved performance for his bang in form trainer and if blinkers work the oracle then I think he could prove very difficult to beat.

Pinesky

rossom wrote: »

5.50 Thirsk

Lupin Pooter 5/1

Rain forecast for Thirsk from 16.00 might take the sting out of the ground

famagusta

he's being well backed too, in to 11/4 with lads.

happy with 9/2 now!!

Luap

Didn't do him last night, will do him with the ease in the ground. Thinks there is still value at 3/1.