Wednesday 8th August

rossom

3.30 Pontefract

Green Mitas 20/1

Going to keep this one short enough but if getting the tactical ride I think Green Mitas could go very close to landing this 1m handicap. I'm ignoring his last effort which I think came on unsuitably soft ground but if replicating the form of his 3rd 2 starts ago at Chester then I think he could be very hard to beat. Although 0-8 to date, this 3 YO's career only started back in February and he has shown a bit of promise to date with probably his best effort coming on handicap debut at Wolverhampton off a mark of 65 back in April. Undoubtedly his best turf effort came two starts back on good ground at the end of June when going down by a 1.75L beaten 3rd when sent off a 50/1 shot off a mark of 59. Over the extended 10f trip, Ian Burns kicked Green Mitas for home with a little over 2f to and I think stamina just got the better of him late on as he finished a tired but very respectable 3rd. The form of that race looks rather strong with the 2nd and 6th winning on their next starts and in hindsight it was a really likeable effort. He was stepped back to 7f for his last start on unsuitable ground and I think he goes back up to an ideal 1m trip with a stiff finish if given a similarly enterprising ride today again off a mark of 59. What I hope happens is either Green Mitas tries to make all under Julie Burke, who is having her first start for the stable. Only 7 runners go to post which is annoying from an e/w perspective but it should hopefully mean that he gets an uncontested lead. I don't see any reason why Green Mitas can't reproduce his effort from 2 starts ago and if he does I think he could be very difficult to peg back for a trainer who has already had a 50/1 and 25/1 winner this year.

rossom

5.15 Yarmouth

Dannios 7/2 NAP

I think the 7/2 on offer for Ed Walker's 6 year old looks very big and I think he's going to take an awful lot of stopping on a track where is 3-3. Dannios is actually Ed Walker's hack and he had a great season last year winning 3 times in 6 starts will occurring over 1m at todays track. His last win came in facile fashion last August as he won on the bridle off a mark of 61. That effort doesn't look too bad form wise and he missed the break badly that day so you can definitely upgrade that performance. Dannios comes here on the back of a 310 day absence but that is absolutely no concern to me whatsoever given he was successful on the back of a 16 month absence last year. Off a mark of 67, he's only 6lb higher than his last win at the track and he looks rather well handicapped on the basis of that effort. Although he sometimes missed the break, I don't see the step back in trip to 7f being a major hindrance by the way he has shaped in his successes. His three wins last year came on good ground and although I am very very slightly concerned about the constantly drying good to soft weather I really don't think it'll be a problem. In this apprentice contest, Noel Garbutt has his first ride for the stable and looks a pretty decent jockey booking. With Ed Walker's horses flying at present, I certainly don't think its a coincidence that he returns to the track at which he gets on so well and I will be very surprised if he doesn't come out victorious today.

rossom

The fastest hack in the world does it again! How did he go off 4/1!

3ndahalfof6

I missed it never thought you would be putting up another one, well done.

rossom

3ndahalfof6 wrote: »

I missed it never thought you would be putting up another one, well done.

Was waiting for his price to drift out from last night. There will be more to come!

rossom

7.00 Kempton

Daneglow 100/1

Bit of a stab in the dark here from my favourite trainer Mike Murphy in what looks a very hot contest but can't say no to her on debut at 100/1. This 2 year old filly is a quite nicely bred animal whose unraced dam was from a very good family. Her half-sister Slim Chance won on debut so thats a definite encouragement with regards to her likeliness to be ready first time up. Mike Murphy doesn't have too many juveniles but he did have a 2 year old newcomer last year in the shape of Mitie Mouse so he can ready them first time out. I really think Pompeia sets a very good standard in this race but she'll be undoubtedly be better over further and this certainly is a decent contest. Shane Kelly takes the ride on this filly and although she's been done no favours in stall 13 and she'll have to be very good and very forward to land this she certainly looks worth a small e/w at a three figure price.

3ndahalfof6

I will be getting fresh cod if this one comes in.

torres9kop

3ndahalfof6 wrote: »

I will be getting fresh cod if this one comes in.

Stale cod last 20 naps. Ladbrokes giv better tips out

mickey1979

Harsh words hope your pal but had he not a winner in 515

the groutch

the odd winner, but alot of losers inbetween

Gringo180

rossom wrote: »

5.15 Yarmouth

Dannios 7/2 NAP

I think the 7/2 on offer for Ed Walker's 6 year old looks very big and I think he's going to take an awful lot of stopping on a track where is 3-3. Dannios is actually Ed Walker's hack and he had a great season last year winning 3 times in 6 starts will occurring over 1m at todays track. His last win came in facile fashion last August as he won on the bridle off a mark of 61. That effort doesn't look too bad form wise and he missed the break badly that day so you can definitely upgrade that performance. Dannios comes here on the back of a 310 day absence but that is absolutely no concern to me whatsoever given he was successful on the back of a 16 month absence last year. Off a mark of 67, he's only 6lb higher than his last win at the track and he looks rather well handicapped on the basis of that effort. Although he sometimes missed the break, I don't see the step back in trip to 7f being a major hindrance by the way he has shaped in his successes. His three wins last year came on good ground and although I am very very slightly concerned about the constantly drying good to soft weather I really don't think it'll be a problem. In this apprentice contest, Noel Garbutt has his first ride for the stable and looks a pretty decent jockey booking. With Ed Walker's horses flying at present, I certainly don't think its a coincidence that he returns to the track at which he gets on so well and I will be very surprised if he doesn't come out victorious today.

Keep up the good work Rossom