Bets on the boxing London 2012

jayroyal

These are the bets I have done

Mens 60kg - Robson Conceicao (BRA) €5 win @ 66/1

Mens 64kg - Yakup Sener (TUR) €5 ew @ 50/1

Mens 69kg - Adam Nolan (IRL) €5 win@ 25/1

Mens 69kg - Alexis Vastine (FRA) €10 win @ 33/1

Mens 81kg - Enrico Kolling (GER) €5 ew @ 66/1

Shiming Zou (CHN) 49kg 1/1 , M Cavendish (GBR) 1/1, Jeyvier Cintron (PUR) 52kg 66/1 in a €5 win treble for a bit of fun

I really do fancy the Irish boys big but the value just ain't there to be backing them. I think Conlon can win Gold but 7/1 is bad bad value.

gene_tunney

jayroyal wrote: »

These are the bets I have done

Mens 60kg - Robson Conceicao (BRA) €5 win @ 66/1

Mens 64kg - Yakup Sener (TUR) €5 ew @ 50/1

Mens 69kg - Adam Nolan (IRL) €5 win@ 25/1

Mens 69kg - Alexis Vastine (FRA) €10 win @ 33/1

Mens 81kg - Enrico Kolling (GER) €5 ew @ 66/1

Shiming Zou (CHN) 49kg 1/1 , M Cavendish (GBR) 1/1, Jeyvier Cintron (PUR) 52kg 66/1 in a €5 win treble for a bit of fun

I really do fancy the Irish boys big but the value just ain't there to be backing them. I think Conlon can win Gold but 7/1 is bad bad value.

I think Nolan has absolutely no chance.

Ochigava at 5/1 might not be a bad shot

Big Ears

jayroyal wrote: »

These are the bets I have done

Mens 60kg - Robson Conceicao (BRA) €5 win @ 66/1

Mens 64kg - Yakup Sener (TUR) €5 ew @ 50/1

Mens 69kg - Adam Nolan (IRL) €5 win@ 25/1

Mens 69kg - Alexis Vastine (FRA) €10 win @ 33/1

Mens 81kg - Enrico Kolling (GER) €5 ew @ 66/1

Shiming Zou (CHN) 49kg 1/1 , M Cavendish (GBR) 1/1, Jeyvier Cintron (PUR) 52kg 66/1 in a €5 win treble for a bit of fun

I really do fancy the Irish boys big but the value just ain't there to be backing them. I think Conlon can win Gold but 7/1 is bad bad value.

Conceicao is a decent bet, he was a Silver medallist at the Pan Am's, beat Lomachenko at the World Championship's, although that decision was overturned (correctly imo). He's also had previous experience at the Olympics, albeit brief, and not only that, but a major factor increasing his chance of victory is that Vasyl Lomachenko, Yasniel Toledo, Domenico Valentino and Gani Zhailauov are all on the same side of the draw, as is Australia's Luke Jackson, who would have been a decent dark horse to medal had he got a good draw.

What's going against him ?, well he starts with a fight vs a GB fighter in Josh Taylor, a silver medallist from the Commonwealth games. I think Robson has as good a chance as anyone else to progress from his side of the draw, but I wouldn't fancy him with whoever progresses from the other side. However at 66/1 he presents serious value.

Sener has a very easy bout in his first fight, and he should get past his 2nd aswell. However he could be fighting Roniel Iglesias or Everton Lopes for a medal, and I wouldn't fancy him to come through that. If he did somehow win that he'd have a solid competitor like Kate or Magiacapre in the semi's and getting through that you'd see someone like Berinchyk or Stalker from the other side. To win Gold I just can't see him presenting value to get through those 3, E/W however at that price.....maybe.


Nolan I think wins his first bout, but he'll probably have to face the very good Russian Zamkovoy in the round of 16, I fear his medal prospects may end here . Vastine is a deent bet at that price imo, experienced International fighter, medalled previously at the Olympics, and he should have an easy-ish first bout, and I feel he should come through his one after that aswell. The problem is after that he'll have to beat the favourite just to medal, and he was clearly beaten by the Ukranian at the last World Championships. If he could come through that, who knows.

Kolling should win his first fight, but will be faced with a tough task in the Algerian in his 2nd, and probably the Ukranian should he get through that. Then the Kazahk likely in the semi's to pay through on an E/W bet, Kolling isn't bad but it's a tough task for him. Like Sener I wouldn't fancy him to come through the E/W but you never know, winning Gold though, no chance imo.

Cintron, well he's got a good draw to come through a few rounds, but I just don't feel he'll have the experience or class when it comes to the top fighters at the weight. Zou and Cavendish look a good chance though

Overall decent bets to keep things interesting, I wouldn't expect any to come through, but you'll only need one to come through to make profit. Either way I think some of those guys will do relatively well even if they don't win Gold, so I think you'll have managed to liven up what's already the best event at the games.

walshb

Britain's Josh Taylor beats Conceciao by 13-9

gene_tunney

gene_tunney wrote: »

I think Nolan has absolutely no chance.

Ochigava at 5/1 might not be a bad shot

Nolan confirmed my suspicions tonight

walshb

I don't like Vastine's chances at 69 kgs. He was one that I was well impressed with in Beijing at 64 Kgs. He looks a little sluggish, slower and not near as comfortable at the higher weight.