2.30 Pontefract

dave3004

2 year old Class 4 here.

Going to try disect this one and find some value.

Projectisle from the Kevin Ryan yard has been installed as favourite for this race. Tissue price of 3/1.
All Ryan's 2 year old runners warrant respect but with this being out of Tagula (also sired Imprimus Tagula / Tax Free) I fancy it wants quick ground rather than the soft/heavy expected here and I reckon a place is its best hope.....if even.

Super Simon has nice form figures (232) but all in lower grade and won't be troubling the judge here even though its quite short in the market.

Sylvia Pankhurst can however get involved at a price. Racing lto at listed level, she was completely outclassed but still maintains a progressive profile & the market might be the best guide to her chances.

Slipstream Angel won on the heavy on her debut a week ago beating Opt Out by half a length. Opt Out is holding his form well (rated around 70-75). More should be expected from (about 10 lbs improvement needed IMO) Slipstream Angel with an extra furlong here and tougher opposition. She should be there or there abouts come the business end of the race but again, she's short enough in the market for a 2 year old sprint and there are better alternatives for value.

Hithero hasn’t shown anything in 3 starts and gets a nice handicap mark, running off a feather weight here (8'4) in the deep ground, De Sousa booked and with Barron a shrewd trainer it would be naïve to exclude her from calculations on form alone. A market check is needed to ensure she isn't well in at the weights here and lined up for this. Maybe waiting and see what the course reporter says about her in the paddock is ideal.

Mrs Browns Boy has Darren Egan claiming 5 lbs (from 9'7 down to 9'2). She should enjoy the cut in the ground, She has already gotten her head in front and the 3rd in a class 3 hot novice event looks solid form on ground which may not have been ideal. She was outclassed lto.
Won her debut by 3L and was 11L clear of 3rd. That 3rd is now rated 77 so she is right in the mix here and I think is the most probable victor.

All On Red is top weight under 9'7. She was 4/7 in a 3 runner class 4 race and won by 9L to Rated in 2nd at Newcastle in heavy ground. Rated has won again since. All On Red is clearly a player here. She has the most experience of all of these and might make that count today.

I am stuck between Mrs Browns Boy (6/1) & All On Red (8/1) for this race but they are my two fancies.

I will be backing a reverse forecast, two each way singles and a duet.

Should not be losing money with those bets.

Good luck if you play.

rossom

Great stuff Dave. Shame Pontefract has been called off!

chainsawman

Pontefract a punters graveyard...