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Longshot Saturday

  • 07-07-2012 9:51am
    #1
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,474 ✭✭✭


    Longshot Saturday
    Sandown 2:05


    Medicean Man is a relatively straight forward selection for this race based on his superb run in the king’s stand at Ascot this year. He beat the 1st and 2nd fav for this race when finishing 4th and on a review of the race he beat them well finishing strongly after a somewhat troubled passage. His run a few days later in the Wokingham can be ignored as it probably came too soon. In not quite sure why he is available at 15 on Betfair while Night Carnation and Spirit Quarts are 5.5 and 6.2. He has been steadily improving this year and if he can continue that today that price is going to look very big.


    2 Points win 15 Betfair

    Sandown 2:40


    Kyllachy Star is one of the more consistent handicappers in the field and has a bit in his favour here today. He has been running well this year particularly on his seasonal debut when 2nd at Doncaster of this mark. He has 2 decent runs after that at chester on soft ground but the good – soft ground here should be ideal for him. He almost always runs his race and 22/1 with 4 places looks a very good bet considering this. He is also down to his lowest mark for a while and really should be able to get into the places here.


    1Point EW 22/1 VCBet

    Sandown 3:45


    Monterosso is another relatively straight forward selection for value here. There really shouldn’t be much between him and the Fav Farhh here on all known form. Granted that Farhh does have a much more progressive profile, but Monterosso has been improving steadily since he went to Godolphin culminating is a superb with in the Dubai World Cup this year. Given the open looking nature of the race he looks the value here at 15 on Betfair.


    2 Points win 15 Betfair

    3:25 Haydock


    This is going to be a tough race on the ground, and im tempted to go with a couple of decent priced horses who have run well on soft before.Hillview Boy as had very little racing over the last few years, but did look like he could get back to form soon judging by his last run on soft ground at York. He has won of higher marks before and look worth a small bet. In addition Kiama Bay is also interesting here as he has some very decent soft ground form and didn’t look to stay the distance in the Chester Cup. Back to 1m 4f here should be ideal and looks a bit of value.


    1 Point win 12/1 Hillview Boy Stan James


    1 Point win 14/1 Kiama Bay Stan James


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