Early Superbowl betting

Padji1

Just out of boredom, myself and a couple of the lads were discussing early value bets for the Superbowl XLVII.

Being biased, I like the Chargers at 20s following a good draft and FA, adding some playmakers in defense and depth to offense after VJax's departure.

Difficult to see Giants regaining title due to their tough schedule but can't understand Saints at same odds. Patriots will be in the hunt again after addressing some defensive needs.

Outside bets for me are Carolina at 33/1, Cinci at 40/1 and maybe Tampa if Freeman regains his form.

6/1: Green Bay Packers
7/1: New England Patriots
12/1: Philadelphia Eagles; Houston Texans
14/1: San Francisco 49ers
16/1: Baltimore Ravens; Denver Broncos
18/1: Pittsburgh Steelers; New York Giants; New Orleans Saints
20/1: Dallas Cowboys; Detroit Lions; Atlanta Falcons; San Diego Chargers
25/1: Chicago Bears
28/1: New York Jets
33/1: Carolina Panthers
40/1: Cincinnati Bengals; Miami Dolphins
50/1: Kansas City Chiefs; Tampa Bay Buccaneers; Tennessee Titans; Seattle Seahawks
66/1: Arizona Cardinals; Washington Redskins; Oakland Raiders
80/1: St. Louis Rams; Indianapolis Colts; Buffalo Bills
100/1: Minnesota Vikings
150/1: Cleveland Browns; Jacksonville Jaguars

Justin10

Great value for all teams at 18/1 and 20/1

Paully D

If I was betting on a winner I'd go for New England at 7/1.

Outside bet would be the Bears at 25/1.

One I'd stay away from would be the Eagles at 12/1.

HigginsJ

Like the look of the Bears at 25-1 IF they can protect Cutler. Could be last chance saloon for Urlacher n Briggs.

As an outside bet the Chiefs are a shout at 50-1. Loads of talent on both sides of the ball and Charles and Berry back fit. Hali is a talent at OLB. Not totally sold on their draft but could get good run for the price.

Arawn

I'd almost consider the broncos for a laugh and packers to cover that bet ha

jester1980

Steelers at 18/1 is a good bet for me.

helimachoptor

Am a titans man but texans are a good bet

Ares

The Lions are currently 25/1 in Ladbrokes. Fantastic value.

I like the Chiefs as an outside bet they're 66/1 at Coral and Skybet and Coral.

Make sure you shop around, Steelers are 22/1 with Bodog while being anything from 14-18/1 generally.

The Cowgirls are 30/1 with Powers while being 22-25/1 across the rest of the board.

Shop around guys!

eagle eye

The Packers and Patriots were awesome on offense last season. They both had huge holes in their defense, I think were among the three worst teams on passing D?

Anyways they both used the draft to try and fix those problems which is a good long term plan but doesn't always work out in the short term.

For me the 49ers are the best value there. They added Mario Manningham in free agency and AJ Jenkins in the draft to their wide receivers which was a huge hole in their roster last year. They've still got Crabtree who might flourish with less attention and the mercurial Randy Moss with his great hands could also have an impact. Their defense is probably the best in the league and that offense with Alex Smith finally going to start for a second year in a row with the same head coach could improve significantly.

Paully D

Paully D wrote: »

If I was betting on a winner I'd go for New England at 7/1.

Outside bet would be the Bears at 25/1.

One I'd stay away from would be the Eagles at 12/1.

i dont know man i think there gona surprise people this year the disaster last year is a kick in the ass with asante gone you have players that fit the scheme and cox kendricks and curry should make the front 7 one of the best

Red Crow

Avalynn Warm Ritual wrote: »

i dont know man i think there gona surprise people this year the disaster last year is a kick in the ass with asante gone you have players that fit the scheme and cox kendricks and curry should make the front 7 one of the best

You think the Eagles will get a Wild Card this year so? :pac:

Eli Manning

Eli Manning wrote: »

You think the Eagles will get a Wild Card this year so? :pac:

hehe we beat ye twice during the season last year its in the playoffs ye seem to spark

the giants eagles game this year is gona b sucky for the qbs

Red Crow

Avalynn Warm Ritual wrote: »

hehe we beat ye twice during the season last year its in the playoffs ye seem to spark

the giants eagles game this year is gona b sucky for the qbs

I think, just like the Cowboys game last year, week 17 in the MetLife will be huge.

And we beat you in Phili last year. Did you get knocked out like Vick that day too?!

You did beat us twice in 2010 though.

Eli Manning

Eli Manning wrote: »

I think, just like the Cowboys game last year, week 17 in the MetLife will be huge.

And we beat you in Phili last year. Did you get knocked out like Vick that day too?!

You did beat us twice in 2010 though.

right u are i think im still in denial about last year:D

cowboys wont be pushovers either and the redskins will be a potential banana skin the nfc east is once again the beast

Red Crow

Avalynn Warm Ritual wrote: »

Eli Manning wrote: »

I think, just like the Cowboys game last year, week 17 in the MetLife will be huge.

And we beat you in Phili last year. Did you get knocked out like Vick that day too?!

You did beat us twice in 2010 though.

right u are i think im still in denial about last year:D

cowboys wont be pushovers either and the redskins will be a potential banana skin the nfc east is once again the beast

Yeah it'll be very tough. Cowboys have definitely improved all right.

All this talking is making me lose my patience.

Eli Manning

Eli Manning wrote: »

Yeah it'll be very tough. Cowboys have definitely improved all right.

All this talking is making me lose my patience.

you and me both worst part of the offseason

Amirani

I think the Bears are a great price.

wawaman

Has anyone come across any prices for winning the division? Mike Mayock reckons the Bucs could surprise both the Saints & Falcons in that division with what they have added in the draft and FA. If they are 50/1 to win it all they should be a decent enough price to win that division

spiralism

Baltimore have been SERIOUSLY unlucky the last few years and have got closer and closer, them at 16s is a good shout imo, they'll get it done before too long and i think this might be the year.

We're 16s too but i think 2013 is when we make our big splash with Manning, not this year. Still a bit of work needed.

Detroit at 25s are fantastic value mind, as is Pittsburgh at 18, given that they seem to be in the SB every other year. Houston at 12s is good too.

spank_inferno

I cannot see how GB can be justified as favourites considering how they trailed off last season (performance wise).

There is a lot of work to do on their defense and rush offense for them to even make it out of the NFC North.

Giants / Lions could offer good value I reckon.

Arawn

spank_inferno wrote: »

I cannot see how GB can be justified as favourites considering how they trailed off last season (performance wise).

There is a lot of work to do on their defense and rush offense for them to even make it out of the NFC North.

Giants / Lions could offer good value I reckon.

A 15-1 regular season would make them favourites easily as their only losses were to the sb champs

spiralism

spiralism wrote: »

Baltimore have been SERIOUSLY unlucky the last few years and have got closer and closer, them at 16s is a good shout imo, they'll get it done before too long and i think this might be the year.

We're 16s too but i think 2013 is when we make our big splash with Manning, not this year. Still a bit of work needed.

Detroit at 25s are fantastic value mind, as is Pittsburgh at 18, given that they seem to be in the SB every other year. Houston at 12s is good too.

the suggs loss is huge for them given how defence orientated they are losing a suggs reed or lewis is almost like loseing a qb

spank_inferno wrote: »

I cannot see how GB can be justified as favourites considering how they trailed off last season (performance wise).

There is a lot of work to do on their defense and rush offense for them to even make it out of the NFC North.

Giants / Lions could offer good value I reckon.

gb where the best team last year just came up against the wrong team on the wrong day in the playoffs 15-1 and keeping your team makes you instant favs in my opinion

giants you never know if they make the playoffs you cant rule them out

i like the lions but they need 1 or 2 players on d

btw my moneys on the dolphins for the first draft pick

UnitedIrishman

I'd be looking at the Pats, 49ers or Bears at those prices.

Always handy to have a look at the schedule for the first 3-4 games and see how tough it might be. Could always find a side that gets off to a bad start but finishes with an easier schedule at a bigger price than pre-season.

matthew8

Avalynn Warm Ritual wrote: »

btw my moneys on the dolphins for the first draft pick

I think the Dolphins have far too much pride to be picking number one.

I think GB are justified favourites, they had no luck against the Giants in the playoffs and really scored at ease for most of last year. As for the Ravens, I don't think the Suggs loss will hurt us that much, despite him being the best defender in the league we still have the awesome Haloti Ngata as well as Ed Reed and Ray Lewis. All it means is a little bit more pressure is on Flacco to score. Despite the fact that this year Suggs was DPOTY and he wasn't last year I think it would've been a bigger loss if he went down last offseason. We used to be a one man pass rush with Suggs. We now have plenty of pass-rushing options. Hopefully Paul Kruger or some impressive free agent shows up. We had a CB gem last year in Cary Williams signed off the Texans practise squad to start 16 games.

A_Sober_Paddy

Looking at Chefs at 50/1, I think they may be worth an each way bet.

From the looks of it we've really improved our D and on the offence isn't too bad either if we can keep Charles and Hillis fit.

C'mon the Chefs:D

HigginsJ

A_Sober_Paddy wrote: »

Looking at Chefs at 50/1, I think they may be worth an each way bet.

From the looks of it we've really improved our D and on the offence isn't too bad either if we can keep Charles and Hillis fit.

C'mon the Chefs:D

I like the Chiefs at the price but do you trust Cassell?

A_Sober_Paddy

HigginsJ wrote: »

I like the Chiefs at the price but do you trust Cassell?

Well his a middle of the road QB(Around the same level as Romo in my book, so overrated is the that Cowboy) to be honest, but I really trust us to be good on the defensive side and with our 2 headed monster in the backfield I'd be confident of us being a lot better than last season. Of course we need to stay injury free, last season was a joke in that regard. At one stage, Cassell, Charles, Moeaki were all out:(

JaMarcus Hustle

My money's on Houston. A piss-easy division will have them in the playoffs regardless. I reckon they'd have won it last year had Schaub been fit and Andre been 100%. One of the more complete teams in the NFL.

A_Sober_Paddy

JaMarcus Hustle wrote: »

My money's on Houston. A piss-easy division will have them in the playoffs regardless. I reckon they'd have won it last year had Schaub been fit and Andre been 100%. One of the more complete teams in the NFL.

With Mario Williams gone to Bills, does that not make their D weaker than last year?

JaMarcus Hustle

I think they've got plenty of pass rushing talent remaining. JJ Watt, Brooks Reed and now Whitney Mercilus and Jared Crick. Still one of the best defences in the NFL with Wade Phillips at the helm, I wouldn't worry about Williams' loss too much myself. As a Pats fan, they're definitely the team to beat imo.

matthew8

JaMarcus Hustle wrote: »

My money's on Houston. A piss-easy division will have them in the playoffs regardless. I reckon they'd have won it last year had Schaub been fit and Andre been 100%. One of the more complete teams in the NFL.

I don't know, they will have an awfully tough time if they run into Baltimore (who they lost to fairly comfortably with Schaub), NE or Denver. Denver are my third favourite, behind the Packers and the Pats. I think that their defense will give up more points next year but it will be more than made up for by Manning.

Last years the NFC was stacked with a ton of amazing teams, this year it's the AFC's turn. Baltimore, Houston, NE, Denver and Pittsburgh all looking very strong.

JaMarcus Hustle

JaMarcus Hustle wrote: »

I think they've got plenty of pass rushing talent remaining. JJ Watt, Brooks Reed and now Whitney Mercilus and Jared Crick. Still one of the best defences in the NFL with Wade Phillips at the helm, I wouldn't worry about Williams' loss too much myself. As a Pats fan, they're definitely the team to beat imo.

i think ryans is a bigger loss than williams not as good a player but he was there leader

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

I think the Dolphins have far too much pride to be picking number one.

pride counts for nothing if your team is s**t the colts made the playoffs for years it was a rule that they would be there they had plenty of pride

matthew8

Avalynn Warm Ritual wrote: »

pride counts for nothing if your team is s**t the colts made the playoffs for years it was a rule that they would be there they had plenty of pride

But here's the thing, they're not awful either. They're not good, but not awful. Above average RB in Reggie Bush, WR corps admittedly lacking, rookie QB shouldn't be as bad as Painter anyway, and the defense is not a bad unit. It also helps that they play the NFC West and AFC South. It's hard to single out a team to be the worst. I think The Jaguars, Browns or Raiders could pick number one. The Vikings are a candidate if Ponder sucks, but I believe in him.

HigginsJ

A_Sober_Paddy wrote: »

Well his a middle of the road QB(Around the same level as Romo in my book, so overrated is the that Cowboy) to be honest, but I really trust us to be good on the defensive side and with our 2 headed monster in the backfield I'd be confident of us being a lot better than last season. Of course we need to stay injury free, last season was a joke in that regard. At one stage, Cassell, Charles, Moeaki were all out:(

Not to forget Eric Berry who is one of the best young DB's in the league imo

HigginsJ

matthew8 wrote: »

But here's the thing, they're not awful either. They're not good, but not awful. Above average RB in Reggie Bush, WR corps admittedly lacking, rookie QB shouldn't be as bad as Painter anyway, and the defense is not a bad unit. It also helps that they play the NFC West and AFC South. It's hard to single out a team to be the worst. I think The Jaguars, Browns or Raiders could pick number one. The Vikings are a candidate if Ponder sucks, but I believe in him.

I'd be surprised if Tannehill was able to beat Matt Moore out of the starting job. Moore is a decent qb

I agree it could be the Raiders. Lost alot of talent in the offseason as cap casualties and didnt get topick in the draft until bottom of the 3rd. When McFadden goes down they are doomed

irish_man

Avalynn Warm Ritual wrote: »

i think ryans is a bigger loss than williams not as good a player but he was there leader

But sure Ryans wasn't as effective in the 3-4 as he was in the 4-3. Super Mario is a huge loss

TheSpecialOne

Ravens and Saints are good value for me...might sneak a 5er on the Jets too!

TheSpecialOne

TheSpecialOne wrote: »

Ravens and Saints are good value for me...might sneak a 5er on the Jets too!

really with all the suspensions

TheSpecialOne

Avalynn Warm Ritual wrote: »

really with all the suspensions

May just bring them into one tough unit! I know its unlikely but at those odds surely worth something.

irish_man

irish_man wrote: »

But sure Ryans wasn't as effective in the 3-4 as he was in the 4-3. Super Mario is a huge loss

in this system ryans as a player wont be missed but ryans as a leader is a huge loss jj watt and another texans d player where on nfl network when the news that he was traded broke and they looked devastated

shamrock55

ill be sticking a tenner on the redskins with rg3 at 66/1:cool:

shamrock55

shamrock55 wrote: »

ill be sticking a tenner on the redskins with rg3 at 66/1:cool:

i cant see them comeing in the top 3 in there division

jack presley

If anyone's interested here are the very early spreads for every regular season game. Madness or what!

Paully D

jack presley wrote: »

If anyone's interested here are the very early spreads for every regular season game. Madness or what!

Where are they? :pac:

jack presley

Paully D wrote: »

Where are they? :pac:

D'oh!!! Sorry, forgot the link

http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=273744

Paully D

jack presley wrote: »

D'oh!!! Sorry, forgot the link

http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=273744

:pac:

Thanks mate