Over/Under 2.5 log

razor425

After some basic statistical analysis I believe I can make a profit from this market and this is the log to track my bets. €500 starting bank, going to start with all bets €5 - might alter this depending on progress. Will take games from Premier League to Non League.
Week 1 bets:

Everton v West Brom under 2.5 @ 17/20 bet365

• Everton 22/30 Pl games under 2.5
• West Brom 13/30 Pl games under 2.5
• Everton 11/15 Pl home games under 2.5
• West Brom 6/15 Pl away games under 2.5
• Everton 5 of last 6 Pl games under 2.5
• West Brom 3 of last 6 Pl games under 2.5
• Everton 5 of last 6 home Pl games under 2.5
• West Brom 4 of last 6 away games under 2.5

Cardiff v Milwall – over 2.5 @ 4/5 bet365

• Cardiff 20/39 Ch games over 2.5
• Milwall 21/39 Ch games over 2.5
• Cardiff 12/19 Ch home games over 2.5
• Milwall 12/19 Ch away games over 2.5
• Cardiff 4 of last 6 Ch games over 2.5
• Milwall 5 of last 6 Ch games over 2.5
• Cardiff 4 of last 6 home Ch games over 2.5
• Milwall 6 of last 6 away Ch games over 2.5

Peterborough v Leicester – over 2.5 @ 4/6 PP

• Peterborough 23/39 Ch games over 2.5
• Leicester 19/39 Ch games over 2.5
• Peterborough 14/19 home Ch games over 2.5
• Leicester 10/19 away Ch games over 2.5
• Peterborough 4 of last 6 Ch games over 2.5
• Leicester 5 of last 6 Ch games over 2.5
• Peterborough 5 of last 6 home Ch games over 2.5
• Leicester 5 of last 6 away Ch games over 2.5


Charlton v Leyton Orient – under 2.5 @ evs PP

• C 24/39 Ch games under 2.5
• LO 21/38 Ch games under 2.5
• C 11/19 home Ch games under 2.5
• LO 10/19 away Ch games under 2.5
• C 4 of last 6 Ch games under 2.5
• LO 4 of last 6 Ch games under 2.5
• C 3 of last 6 home Ch games under 2.5
• LO 3 of last 6 away Ch games under 2.5

Hartlepool v Sheffield United – under 2.5 @ 3/4 bet365

• H 21/39 Ch games under 2.5
• SU 17/39 Ch games under 2.5
• H 13/19 Ch home games under 2.5
• SU 13/19 Ch away games under 2.5
• H 6 of last 6 Ch games under 2.5
• SU 3 of last 6 Ch games under 2.5
• H 4 of last 6 home CH games under 2.5
• SU 4 of last 6 away Ch games under 2.5

Other games worthy of a mention for anyone interested - Crystal Palace v Notts Forest(unders), Hull v Coventry(unders), Portsmouth v Burnley(unders), Stevenage v Wycombe(overs).

Cardex

Good luck with this. Looks like you've done your research. Will watch with interest.

razor425

Firstly thanks for the support Cardex.
Now down to business, a mixed start for the log but 3 wins from 5 means a small profit to begin with.

Everton v West Brom under 2.5 @ 17/20 bet365 - win - returns €9.25

Cardiff v Milwall – over 2.5 @ 4/5 bet365 - lose

Peterborough v Leicester – over 2.5 @ 4/6 PP - lose

Charlton v Leyton Orient – under 2.5 @ evs PP - win - returns €10

Hartlepool v Sheffield United – under 2.5 @ 3/4 bet365 - win - returns - €8.75

Original Bank - €500
Total staked - €25
Total Returned - €28
Profit/Loss - €3
New bank - €503

Of the other bet only Hull v Coventry came in.

Overall quite happy to be up for the first week. Some tweaks may be needed for next time, will try to improve on my strategy during the week.

razor425

Ok week two, picks for today only. I'm under a bit of pressure with work but hopefully I might get a few picks for tomorrow up tonight or in the morning.


Watford v Blackpool over 2.5 @ 4/6 PP

• W 19/40 Ch games over 2.5
• B 28/40 Ch games over 2.5
• W 12/20 Ch home games over 2.5
• B 16/20 Ch away games over 2.5
• W 2 of last 6 Ch games over 2.5
• B 6 of last 6 Ch games over 2.5
• W 5 of last 6 Ch home games over 2.5
• B 6 of last 6 Ch away games over 2.5

Colchester v Hartlepool under 2.5 @ 4/6 bet365

• C 25/40 L1 games under 2.5
• H 22/40 L1 games under 2.5
• C 11/20 L1 home games under 2.5
• H 8/20 L1 away games under 2.5
• C 5 of last 6 L1 games under 2.5
• H 6 of last 6 L1 games under 2.5
• C 4 of last 6 home L1 games under 2.5
• H 4 of last 6 away L1 games under 2.5

Scunthorpe v Exeter under 2.5 @ 19/20 bet365

• S 19/40 L1 games under 2.5
• E 23/40 L1 games under 2.5
• S 10/20 home L1 games under 2.5
• E 12/20 away L1 games under 2.5
• S 4 of last 6 L1 games under 2.5
• E 3 of last 6 L1 games under 2.5
• S 5 of last 6 home L1 games under 2.5
• E 4 of last 6 away L1 games under 2.5

Tranmere v Stevenage under 2.5 @ 4/6 PP

• T 26/40 L1 games under 2.5
• S 24/40 L1 games under 2.5
• T 15/20 home L1 games under 2.5
• S 15/20 away L1 games under 2.5
• T 5 of last 6 L1 games under 2.5
• S 4 of last 6 L1 games under 2.5
• T 5 of last 6 home L1 games under 2.5
• S 2 of last 6 away L1 games under 2.5


€5 stake on each of these.

Original balance -€500
Total staked - €45
Pending - €20
Returns - €28
Current balance - €483

razor425

Just 3 quick picks for today, reasoning will be posted later.
Norwich v Everton under 2.5 @ 8/11 bet365
Southampton v Portsmouth under 2.5 @ evs bet365
Coventry v Peterborough under 2.5 @ 21/20 bet365

razor425

Wow that was one bad week, torn hamstring and terrible week on the gambling front.

Tranmere v Stevenage under 2.5 @ 4/6 PP - lose

Scunthorpe v Exeter under 2.5 @ 19/20 bet365 - win - returns - €9.75

Colchester v Hartlepool - under 2.5 @ 4/6 bet365 - win - returns €8.33

Watford v Blackpool - over 2.5 @ 4/6 PP - lose

Norwich v Everton - under 2.5 @ 8/11 bet365 - lose

Southampton v Portsmouth - under 2.5 @ evs bet365 - lose

Coventry v Peterborough - under 2.5 @ 21/20 bet365 - lose

Original balance -€500
Total staked - €60
Pending - €0
Returns - €46(to nearest €)
Current balance - €486
Profit/Loss - -€14