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Is this our summer?

  • 28-03-2012 7:33am
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 639 ✭✭✭


    Don't want to sound too pessimistic, but I would bet that the current weather is the best we will see all year. What says you? Anyone hear any long-term forecasts for this summer?


Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,575 ✭✭✭✭ednwireland




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,788 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Going by trends in the past number of years April is the critical month. Bad April gives a better chance of a good summer and visa versa.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,299 ✭✭✭pauldry


    No this is not our Summer. Its our Spring.:pac::pac::pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,633 ✭✭✭✭murpho999


    How can we tell/forecast something that is completely random?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 639 ✭✭✭omen80


    murpho999 wrote: »
    How can we tell/forecast something that is completely random?
    Completely random? It is possible to predict an overall forecast for a few months ahead you know. And I was only asking if people thought that this current good spell will be the best we have all year, considering the last 5 years of cloudy summers.


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  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,452 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    omen80 wrote: »
    It is possible to predict an overall forecast for a few months ahead you know.

    I think you will see less and less of those type of forecasts! :pac:

    I personally think there is very little to link a good or bad spring with a good or bad summer.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 469 ✭✭blackius


    It may well be our summer.
    Predictions aren't accurate by a long shot this far out but nature is a great leveler I've always found.
    After a dry time comes a wet time etc


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,412 ✭✭✭lolie


    Only time will tell if this is our summer.
    Just make sure and enjoy the good weather while it lasts whatever time of year we get it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 171 ✭✭Madpaddy79


    omen80 wrote: »
    Don't want to sound too pessimistic, but I would bet that the current weather is the best we will see all year. What says you? Anyone hear any long-term forecasts for this summer?

    Long term forecast is, we are still on for summer to be on a Monday in September!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 639 ✭✭✭omen80


    blackius wrote: »
    After a dry time comes a wet time etc

    Well yeah, but our wet times can last months!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,341 ✭✭✭emo72


    if the sun goes away i will go ape****. seriously tho....the last couple of years we had a great week early in the year and then dire summers. pray this trend doesnt continue.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,808 ✭✭✭Birdnuts


    Joe Public wrote: »
    Going by trends in the past number of years April is the critical month. Bad April gives a better chance of a good summer and visa versa.


    +1

    In fact I can't remember the last time we had a poor spring


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,299 ✭✭✭pauldry


    This spell has ended in Sligo now. Clouds in the sky and more coming from the North. A few Cloudy dry days with some sunshine but then next week more showery weather. Nothing major but it will be cool and unsettled for at least a week. I think myself we are in for a typical showery April not like the recent ones and temperatures around normal.

    Summer will be roasting though :rolleyes:(fantasises)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,633 ✭✭✭✭murpho999


    omen80 wrote: »
    Completely random? It is possible to predict an overall forecast for a few months ahead you know. And I was only asking if people thought that this current good spell will be the best we have all year, considering the last 5 years of cloudy summers.

    I'm sorry but you are completely wrong in your belief that weather can be predicted a few months ahead.

    I've heard Evelyn Cusack of Met Eireann on several occasions state they can predict with accuracy up 5 days and then with less accuracy up to 10 days at the very max.

    Anything after that is just superstition/Donegal postmen who get lucky if they get it right.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 157 ✭✭torrentum


    I remember 1995 was a savage summer. Haven't had heat since then, apart from maybe 2002 and 2006 for a few weeks in those years.
    But the more bad weather years that pass only increase our chances of a good summer - law of averages.
    Hopefully, this year will be the year. If not, then it will improve the odds for next year.

    Anyway, I'm really enjoying the weather at the minute, tomorrows another day!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,845 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    murpho999 wrote: »
    .
    I've heard Evelyn Cusack of Met Eireann on several occasions state they can predict with accuracy up 5 days and then with less accuracy up to 10 days at the very max.

    <snip>

    But for once I think that quote is right, pity Evelyn & Met Eireann don't seem to get it right on the big weather calls (but we've got M.T.)

    P.S. it will be a warm summer, I was told by a fisherman from Kerry ;)

    Please refrain from direct personal attacks on any person whether they are members of boards.ie or not.
    CHARTER RULES


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,163 ✭✭✭2qk4u


    My back garden is full of wildlife this week, flys, beetles, lots of wasps, bees, hornets and lots of other little creatures and I have never seen this much activity in previous years so I think somethings up..
    I hope its a nice summer because this might be my last year in my south facing garden...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Joe Public wrote: »
    Going by trends in the past number of years April is the critical month. Bad April gives a better chance of a good summer and visa versa.



    Seems to be the recent trend alright but there were exceptions in history.
    April 1986 for example was a pretty foul and cold month but was followed by the coldest summer on record.
    April 1995 was pretty good overall and was followed by the hot summer. :)


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,129 ✭✭✭Wild Bill


    No, this is not our Summer. For two reasons, in Summer

    (1) The nights will be shorter and warmer
    (2) The days will be longer and (wetter and cooler frown.gif???)

    Or we could end up partying like it's 1995 ! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 373 ✭✭fatherbuzcagney


    yes summer over , clocks go back one hour on saturday night:D:D


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