Football accumulator - suggestions?

Bodhisopha

I'm looking to build an accumulator that will hopefully pay off in the summer. It's going to be a big one, this is my rough draft.

PSV 2.20 (league winners)


Spanish Winner 1.50 (champions league)


Tottenham 1.25 (top 4)


Charlton 1.90 (league winners)


PSG 1.57 (league winners)


AC Milan 1.83 (league winners)


Bayern Munich 1.28 (league winners)


Valencia 1.30 (3rd)


West Ham 1.33 (promotion)


L Messi (Barcelona.. (top scorer, Champions League)
1.80

50 pays 3033.66

Thoughts? Suggestions?

wp_rathead

Bodhisopha wrote: »

I'm looking to build an accumulator that will hopefully pay off in the summer. It's going to be a big one, this is my rough draft.


Tottenham 1.25 (top 4)


Charlton 1.90 (league winners)


West Ham 1.33 (promotion)


Thoughts? Suggestions?

These 3 would worry me- League One and Championship (only 10 points between 1st & 10th) so unpredictable. Spurs should be ok for top4, but I still wouldn't chance them in an accum, they on my blacklist- Bolton to be relegated at 1.66 looks nice seen as they too loose Cahill. Or Blackburn at 1.53 as N'Zonzi, Samba and Hoilet (and Salgado- but that would be a positive for the club) all look set to leave.

That said- its still a nice looking accum and am tempted to follow it with a 5er (with a few tweaks here or there):D

Warper

Bodhisopha wrote: »

I'm looking to build an accumulator that will hopefully pay off in the summer. It's going to be a big one, this is my rough draft.

PSV 2.20 (league winners)

Spanish Winner 1.50 (champions league)


Tottenham 1.25 (top 4)


Charlton 1.90 (league winners)


PSG 1.57 (league winners)


AC Milan 1.83 (league winners)

Bayern Munich 1.28 (league winners)


Valencia 1.30 (3rd)


West Ham 1.33 (promotion)


L Messi (Barcelona.. (top scorer, Champions League)
1.80

50 pays 3033.66

Thoughts? Suggestions?

I'd avoid PSV - close league

Also Milan as Juve are good this year

Throw in France for 6 Nations @ 7-4 or Red Bull to win Constructors @ evens instead

Bodhisopha

wprathead wrote: »

These 3 would worry me- League One and Championship (only 10 points between 1st & 10th) so unpredictable. Spurs should be ok for top4, but I still wouldn't chance them in an accum, they on my blacklist- Bolton to be relegated at 1.66 looks nice seen as they too loose Cahill. Or Blackburn at 1.53 as N'Zonzi, Samba and Hoilet (and Salgado- but that would be a positive for the club) all look set to leave.

That said- its still a nice looking accum and am tempted to follow it with a 5er (with a few tweaks here or there):D

Very confident in Spurs and fancy West Ham to have the squad to get them through what is a pretty gruelling league. Unsure about Charlton. Blackburn to go down looks good but i have more faith in a Spurs top 4 finish.

Bodhisopha

Warper wrote: »

I'd avoid PSV - close league

Also Milan as Juve are good this year

Throw in France for 6 Nations @ 7-4 or Red Bull to win Constructors @ evens instead

Yeah, i consider PSV and Milan to be two of the dodgier bets on it.
I know nothing about rugby or F1 but the bookies have both those bets closer than either of the footie ones.

mike65

What's the odds on Shamrock Rovers to win league?

Stay away from F1, nobody really knows who's got the best car yet.

Warper

mike65 wrote: »

What's the odds on Shamrock Rovers to win league?

Stay away from F1, nobody really knows who's got the best car yet.

From what ive read Red Bull are even better than last year. If they perform in the first race, the odds will go from evens to 1-3. Vettel broke all records last year with something like 15 poles out of 19 with 12 wins. Plus he is getting better. Ferrari got worse as last season went on and McClaren are the danger. Hamilton and Button too likely to crash into each other though.

SteelyDanJalapeno

Bodhisopha wrote: »

I'm looking to build an accumulator that will hopefully pay off in the summer. It's going to be a big one, this is my rough draft.

PSV 2.20 (league winners)


Spanish Winner 1.50 (champions league)


Tottenham 1.25 (top 4)


Charlton 1.90 (league winners)


PSG 1.57 (league winners)


AC Milan 1.83 (league winners)


Bayern Munich 1.28 (league winners)


Valencia 1.30 (3rd)


West Ham 1.33 (promotion)


L Messi (Barcelona.. (top scorer, Champions League)
1.80

50 pays 3033.66

Thoughts? Suggestions?

PSV look good for the league this year,

I'd fancy Munich to contest the final of the CL so that would put me off,

Spurs top 4 looks good,

Not too sure about outright winners with Charlton, maybe just promotion?

PSG are the most unreliable in the accumalator imo, awful team

AC Milan look good, barring a good run from Napoli that is,

Munich should win with ease

Valencia wouldnt be too confident of, poor enough from what i've saw recently although, theres not many else apart from the top 2

West Ham look good for promotion

If Munich reach the final i'd fancy Gomez to run Messi for the top scorer

mike65

Indeed PSG are a joke side, if they win Ligue 1 it'll be by accident at this rate.

shangri la

Blackburn to be relegated is still at 1.62 (Coral) and the teams they are competing against would be more than capable of dealing with their physicality better than a makeshift MU defense that included carrick.

Only 1 team who was bottom at christmas has avoided relegation in the premier league.

Samich

shangri la wrote: »

Blackburn to be relegated is still at 1.62 (Coral) and the teams they are competing against would be more than capable of dealing with their physicality better than a makeshift MU defense that included carrick.

Only 1 team who was bottom at christmas has avoided relegation in the premier league.

Blackburn imo have been unlucky, they're way better then they look.

They might lose some of their top players this window but yakubu can score goals and they haven't been hockeyed by anyone. The teams who fail are ones who can't score.

QPR, Wolves, wigan (although they've done well recently and always pull it out of the bag), bolton I think will go down. and west brom can still get dragged into it.

Bodhisopha

Bodhisopha wrote: »

...................


Spanish Winner 1.50 (champions league)


Tottenham 1.25 (top 4)


.................
Thoughts? Suggestions?

I reckon that's a decent 1.5 bet, spurs at 1.25 for top 4 is looney short imo.

hefferboi

Def stay away from PSG. I'd fancy Lille if they dont lose hazard or sow in the transfer window.

Lasagna Diarra

Yea so many teams can win the Ligue 1 this year, stay away from PSG.

I would try Wolves to be relegated, awful side.