Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Sports Personality of The Year

  • 14-12-2011 3:47pm
    #1
    the groutch
    Closed Accounts Posts: 16,096 ✭✭✭✭


    I'm going in big on Darren Clarke at 9/2
    the fact that it was televised on bbc gives him a huge advantage, he finished 2nd in 2006 (being in a winning Ryder Cup team being a lesser achievement that winning a major imo) and cycling (Mark Cavendish 1/2fav) doesnt have a strong record in the event (Chris Hoy only winning it because his was in the Olympics)


Comments

  • #2
    Dodge
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,330 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    I think these things have a bit of self fulfillment about them. Ryan Giggs won a few years ago and was favoutie, despite not really achieving anythign that year. AP McCoy won because many thought it was his 'time'.

    Once the shortlist is out, I think the favourite usually wins

    Clarke finished 2nd in 2006 for non-sporting reasons


  • #3
    okidoki987
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,632 ✭✭✭✭okidoki987


    I'd agree with you about Cavendish.


  • #4
    myflipflops
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,817 ✭✭✭myflipflops


    It's all about working out where the voting blocks come from. Giggs had the Welsh, the Man United fans and the housewives to vote for him. He also had just enough Welsh journalists in the voting for the top 10 to get him shortlisted.

    Darren Clarke's main weakness is that a) Northern Ireland is not a strong voting country in the first place and b) Rory McIlroy splits the Northern Irish vote on him.

    Cavendish looks the right favorite but the 1.5 is getting very short. He has been coming up miles ahead of everyone else in the polls that certain British papers run in the lead up to the night though. They have proven accurate in the last couple of years.

    Realistically, Mo Farah should win this but being a black Muslim called Mohammed will count against him for getting votes.

    Dodge wrote: »
    Once the shortlist is out, I think the favourite usually wins

    McCoy won last year as favorite when the shortlist was announced but every other year since I have followed it from a gambling point of view (Zara Phillips, Calzaghe, Hoy and Giggs), the winner has been an outsider at when short listed. Calzaghe and Hoy were both big prices 'in running' on the nihts they won.


Advertisement