ganjamans betting log

ganjaman

4.50 Fontwell - Keckerrockernixes 15/2

The horses towards the head of the market include Absolute Shambles, Tiger Line and Rhyton - all of whom are front-runners and I would worry that they will take each other on.

Absolute Shambles looks to be coming the end of his improvement when running out a 2 length winner last time; 2nd and 3rd have both disappointed since making the form look weak and a rise in class and an extra 8lb penalty will surely see him beat. Tiger Line stays forever but his win last time came from an uncontested lead, he's 6lb higher for that and the way the race is run is unlikely to suit him. Rhyton also won from an uncontested lead last time and a 10lb penalty should find him out. Iheardu is another towards to fore in the market but he is nowhere near as good over hurdles as he is over fences and he is also vunerable.

The selection, a Richard Rowe horse, is a 15 race maiden but he showed plenty more last time and I think the extra 4½f will suit him. He was going well when he propped on landing 4 from home over 2m6½f at this track last time but he kept on well to regain 2nd behind Sovereign Spirit, beaten 5 lengths. He got 1lb from the 8lb higher rated rival that day and the form of that run is strong - Sovereign Spirit won his previous start by 8 lengths off a 1lb higher mark (2nd won by 10 lengths next time), and Sovereign Spirit went in again next time off 10lb higher by a huge 18 lengths (3rd won by 6 lengths off same mark next time). Put up another 16lb Sovereign Spirit finished 5 lengths 2nd when upped in class next time out. 4th in Keckerrockernixes races was Capdalight, a winner next time out by 8 lengths off the same mark.

That race was a 0-95 so this is officialy 5lb harder and Keckerrockernixes is 1lb out of the handicap but I think he is well enough handicapped to do himself justice even with that extra 1lb. He carries 10-0 here and gets 21lb and upwards from every other runner in the race which could prove very effective over 3m3f. He went well fresh last time so the 114 day break shouldn't be much of a hinderance.

Trainer Richard Rowe has had 2 runners in the last 14 days, one was a winner at 20/1. The retained booking of Jamie Moore is useful and hopefully Kickerrockernixes can go close.

UrbanSea

What's your stake ganjaman? People usualy use points and keep a bank of profit or loss

ganjaman

20pts e/way

ganjaman

She's not lived up to potential as of yet but Crystal Etoile can win the 2.30 Windsor, she was a short price for her one handicap run, 8f on quick ground suit and her best run to date came over CD, I'll take the 6/1 on offer now down in class


10 pts win

ganjaman

friday october 7th -york


2.00 Passionada e/w – Interesting to note Hanagans only ride at York today before he heads south to Wolverhampton, must be a clue for both venues!! Ollie Pears trained has been in good form with her two runs finishing second at Newcastle beaten only by a head and then followed that up with a win at Ponte. 20 horses in this 6f race so a lot can happen but I think taking one ride here only has to be a clue and it is not for Richard Fahey – 14/1 has to be great value.

10pts e/way

x PyRo

Thread closed and OP banned.

Selections being stolen. Today's one came from here.

Sad really.