Coalition Partner Demolition

DJCR

Fianna Fail - PD's
Fianna Fail - Greens
Conservatives - Lib Dems
Labour (UK - Wales) - Plaid Cymru
Fine Gael - Labour (Irl) ????

After seeing the way the locals in the UK have gone and the decimation of the Lib Dems (Junior Coalition Partner), both on AV and in council elections... will Labour in Ireland go the same way in the council elections here 2014?

And if so where do you think their votes will transfer to?

Duffy the Vampire Slayer

I predict both Fine Gael and Labour will take heavy losses in 2014 but keep enough seats to remain in government.

sceptre

Duffy the Vampire Slayer wrote: »

I predict both Fine Gael and Labour will take heavy losses in 2014 but keep enough seats to remain in government.

As the 2014 elections are county and city council elections, the results won't affect the national government anyway...

Sitting governments typically take a hit in council elections in any case. Unless they're wildly popular, which is rarely the case. They'll take a hit. They both will. It's a key election for Fianna Fail though. After they took a walloping in the last local elections, followed by a walloping in the Dáil election, they'll be praying that they get a good return on the locals. Whether they will or not is almost anyone's guess but their party machine must be placing a lot of emphasis on gaining seats, partly as a way of getting potential canvassers back if they see it as a future winning team. Some of the FG vote will swing back towards FF. The more lefty of the Labour vote will probably swing a little towards SF. Given the extremely local nature of local politics in Ireland, that's not necessarily an indicator of how a general election will go (assuming that the government lasts for a period longer than 2014).

Duffy the Vampire Slayer

sceptre wrote: »

As the 2014 elections are county and city council elections, the results won't affect the national government anyway...

Ah you're right of course, I'm not thinking straight today