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The true weather vane constituency?

  • 27-02-2011 3:49pm
    #1
    Min
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,550 ✭✭✭


    I think Carlow/Kilkenny must be one of the best indicators when it comes to who will be in government and what party leads the opposition.

    In 2007, we had 3 FF and 1 Green plus 1 FG
    In 2011, we have 3 FG and 1 Labour plus 1 FF

    What other constituencies have similar outcomes, where at least 80% of the TD's are in government parties?


Comments

  • #2
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Need to look at more than two elections for an accurate idea. Also, Kilkenny has a strong FF base, had they run different/less candidates, they could have taken 2 seats. I would put it down to chance more than anything else!

    Mary White only got in last time because of a lack of Carlow candidates, and she only scraped in as well.


  • #3
    takun
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 173 ✭✭takun


    ^^^ that.

    I'd say if the election was run again tomorrow FF would have two seats. McGuinness is a mouth without substance (though he does a good impression of it when it suits his end) and is symptomatic of the worst of FF, keeping a family seat warm to eventually hand on to his even more smarmy son. But he is a god in these parts and will always be elected and probably always bring someone with him.

    I am really heartened that Ann Phelan was elected before him though, it's some consolation.


  • #4
    Min
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,550 ✭✭✭Min


    thetonynator wrote: »
    Need to look at more than two elections for an accurate idea. Also, Kilkenny has a strong FF base, had they run different/less candidates, they could have taken 2 seats. I would put it down to chance more than anything else!

    Mary White only got in last time because of a lack of Carlow candidates, and she only scraped in as well.

    Last election, 2 Carlow TDs, this time just 1.


  • #5
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Min wrote: »
    Last election, 2 Carlow TDs, this time just 1.

    MJ Nolan was elected as a FF candidate primarily, it just happened that he was from Carlow too. Mary White would not have been elected if she had a Kilkenny base.


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