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Galway Festival - Day 3 Selections
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28-07-2010 12:04am#13:00 Galway - Ballyadam Brook - 1pt e/w @ 7/2 (Betfred)
Made all to win impressively last time out, only has had 6 spins over hurdles and has only been unplaced once which was on debut. This is tougher but he has a lot of ability, stays well and will like the ground. Open to plenty of improvement and if his win last time out is anything to go by he'll stay going up the hill without bother and will hopefully be able to run the field into submission on a track that favours front runners. Paul Townend takes the ride as he has on the last three occasions that this horse has raced and the form reads 2-1-1 with hopefully another "1" to be added to that tomorrow. He jumps soundly and the trainers horses have been in fine fettle this last couple of months. Townend doesn't often ride for the trainer but he has been placed 7 times from 10 attempts including those two wins aboard this horse. It's a trappy enough race to call but the Gordon Elliot horse, Final Day, is likely to be a short enough priced favourite but I don't think he's the best of jumpers and if he makes a couple of mistakes he may find it hard to keep with my selection. A lot of others can have claims made quite easily for them but even under a penalty I feel if Ballyadam Brook replicates his run from last time out he stands a great chance and should place at least, hoping for around 5/1 and all going well he looks an each way bet to nothing.
3:35 Galway - Waterloo Chateau - 1pt e/w @ 14/1 (VC)
Stunningly difficult race to call but this one has been in fine form of late since joining Noel Meade. Only has had 11 career starts and is 7 years old but won a decent Maiden Hurdle at Roscommon 3 weeks ago off top weight and ran well again last week in Ballinrobe when a 1 3/4 length second to Vivaldi. More improvement to come and his front running style is another plus with the way things have been going at Galway so far. Ground should be no problem and he should be fit and ready for this. Trained by Noel Meade and ridden by the excellent Paul Carberry and this partnership won this race last year with a horse of a similar profile to this one. He tends to jump left but hopefully they'll have that worked on and he'll stay all day so if he gets his jumping right I think he has good place claims although it's a really tough race to call so only a small each way bet for me at likely odds of around 12/1.
4:10 Galway - Duroob - 1pt @ 10/1 (Ladbrokes)
Found it awful tough to pick one in this race, just going for one that will stay the 3m and he's a sound jumper. The ground will be no bother to him and he has been in fine form since coming back in May, winning twice and placing twice from 5 attempts. Nearly 70 career appearances but still retains a lot of ability and although there's 20 runners in the field I think a good few can be ruled out due to the trip. Decent 5lb claim will help and will only be carrying 10st 13lbs, will be suited by a fast pace and he likes to be held up to run on late when the rest are tiring, should have a decent chance at around 7/1 and Timeform have him as their top pick also.
4:45 Galway - Endless Intrigue - 5pts @ 10/11 (PaddyPower)
Biggest bet of the festival for me so far, no doubt it'll be the one Weld horse that will not win but it has the best Bumper form including a 2nd placed finish in the Champion Bumper behind Cousin Vinny. He should be a step above these and with the form of Weld around here I'll be surprised to see him beaten. Robbie Mac on board and he's as capable a jockey as any, and is 2/3 at Galway so far this year and this is his only ride tomorrow. The ground will be no problem and the trip is sound, has the perfect mix of speed and stamina and I expect to see him win this tomorrow. Max bet for me and likely to be around 5/4 or Even money. Looks to have a great chance.
5:25 Galway - Majestic Concorde - 2pts @ 9/2 (Bet365)
Not even going to try solve this one, just backing the Weld horse with small/medium stakes. Looks to be lined up for this and ran well on the flat last time out when a close 4th in the Chester Cup in May. Weld says he has a good chance and I've no reason to doubt him. Davy Russell on board and he's as capable as any. Ground and trip should be no bother and he's a good jumper and looks well handicapped, Should go well hopefully.
Small stakes in the last three races, not doing any write up on them.
6:00 Galway - All In Clover - 1pt @ 8/1 (Bet365)
6:35 Galway - Snap Alam - .5pts @ 8/1 (Bet365)
7:10 Galway - Born To Excel - .5pts @ 10/1 (Ladbrokes)
Can't get any worse than yesterday can it?
Prices added in the morning.1
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a mate of mine backed fingeronthepulse as soon as mcoy was
switched on him.
he didnt take the 33s available at the time and he took my
advice and did a 5ew double with junior at gdwd (2nd 13/2)
and didn't do a single at all.
i feel like i cost him dear 0 -
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OUCH!!
Not being a sore loser here, however, much and all as I admire Weld for what he is achieving, it is actually ruining Galway. Where is the fun in this... backing short priced shoe in's? Good business for Weld - poor value for the punter and bad for racing IMO.:(
Im happy , Ive turned a 10 euro bet into a bank of 144
so it works for me. 0 -
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+4.26pts today.
Only one of my selections didn't place at least!
Happy to get some profit today. Roll on tomorrow.
hey pyro
i see alot you do the betting exchange +4.26pts
i had bad day only clerical i only did 4 bets 2 galway.
i wonder what does a point equate to in momey?
is each point a standard stake ? like 10£euro or 20 or 100Euro ???0 -
chebonaparte wrote: »hey pyro
i see alot you do the betting exchange +4.26pts
i had bad day only clerical i only did 4 bets 2 galway.
i wonder what does a point equate to in momey?
is each point a standard stake ? like 10£euro or 20 or 100Euro ???
nothing else to do,so might aswel answer.
for any1 person a point is going to reflect a different stake,
the purpose of the point system is so that not to reveal your actual stake and so people who might have a higher/lower bank roll can follow your bets in relation to their own bank.
e.g "john" might have a bank of €500,
joe might have a bank of €5000 at the start of his log,,,joe would equal this to 100pts,if john wanted to follow joes bets he would then equal his 500 to 100pts, then he would correctly be able to follow his bets proportionately using the points system.
their is also other uses for the points system but thats prob the main one.
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mailburner wrote: »a mate of mine backed fingeronthepulse as soon as mcoy was
switched on him.
he didnt take the 33s available at the time and he took my
advice and did a 5ew double with junior at gdwd (2nd 13/2)
and didn't do a single at all.
i feel like i cost him dear
old thread but what the hell
same mate rang me at a few mins past 4 saying he did a lucky 15 (1euro)
at goodwood
at the time he had borderlescott up
asked me how eastern aria got on
won at 16s
had rakaan at 5.10 beaten a neck when flying at the finish (touched 1.2 in running)
still has a big sweat on crimea in the last at around 14s
dont think he took prices on any of them0
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