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Is There Light At The End Of The Tunnel

  • 06-07-2010 4:17pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 366 ✭✭


    Hi im on the dole and want to get a house "soon". What i mean is i want a job and would buy next year or the year after if things picked up. I hear all the usual complaining that you shouldnt buy now etc.. but will the market crash be good for the common joe if the country ever gets back to a normal level.

    House prices were only going one direction few yrs ago or am i not looking at the little details in this

    Edit
    I hate this forum people are out to annoy everyone


Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    I am truly perplexed by these types of threads lately, have the people of this country learned nothing?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,914 ✭✭✭danbohan


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    I am truly perplexed by these types of threads lately, have the people of this country learned nothing?

    dublin ireland , from irish times july 5 , In Dublin, the average house costs €339,598.

    manchester uk , average house price £136,552 ,(e163817) bbc

    difference of e175781

    so yes its a wonderful time to buy a house in dublin icon10.gif


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,033 ✭✭✭who_ru


    all house prices here are delusional and based on people having access to credit that just doesn't exist - and also reflect the amount of negative equity they are in.

    it suits the banks that prices are so delusional as it would make their lending practices appear at little less incredible.

    yet the banks are determined to get back to that style of lending in the not too distant future to maintain sky high property prices.

    the housing market here is in long slow meltdown - sellers and banks are like King Canute trying to stop the tide. it won't work of course but they have to put up a rear guard action so as to convince potential buyers that the bottom has been reached and prices can't go any lower. yet every other week we get a little reality check as to what the future will be like

    http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/haven-now-wants-20pc-deposit-from-firsttimers-2247155.html


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭fontanalis


    johnnyjb wrote: »
    Hi im on the dole and want to get a house "soon". What i mean is i want a job and would buy next year or the year after if things picked up. I hear all the usual complaining that you shouldnt buy now etc.. but will the market crash be good for the common joe if the country ever gets back to a normal level.

    House prices were only going one direction few yrs ago or am i not looking at the little details in this

    They go three ways; up (like a few years ago) now down and believe me after this it will only be upwards and upwards.
    Buy now, bricks and mortar is your only bet, good time to be canny and savvy etc
    Ok, how much have you saved for a deposit?
    Why the big rush to buy straight after getting a job? Will your job be secure?
    Is the area you will be buying in one you want to settle into permanently?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Treehouse72


    johnnyjb wrote: »
    Hi im on the dole and want to get a house "soon". What i mean is i want a job and would buy next year or the year after if things picked up. I hear all the usual complaining that you shouldnt buy now etc.. but will the market crash be good for the common joe if the country ever gets back to a normal level.

    House prices were only going one direction few yrs ago or am i not looking at the little details in this


    Johnny, how can you even ask this question dude? Is it not abundantly clear by now that ***COUGH, COUGH...CLEARS THROAT...SHARP INTAKE OF BREATH***....HIGH HOUSE PRICES ARE A BAD THING FOR EVERYONE!!

    Please, please, please adjust your mindset on this. High house prices are not a good thing. When houses are cheap, it means that people need less money to pay for them - their wages do not need to be as high in order to maintain the exact same quality of life as they have now. This would make Ireland more competitive, and less money is poured into unproductive assets (houses) and can be poured into other things like wealth creating businesses and good social services instead. Moreover, without this need to fund huge mortgages and rents, we could drive down prices and costs across the economy - if the Tesco worker doesn't need to be paid so much to pay her rent, then the Corn Flakes she stacks will cost less too. Finally, with low property prices, people do not feel as stressed about rent or mortgage payments - this is great for a healthy society.

    High house prices are bad for everyone. Spread the word.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,379 ✭✭✭Jimbo


    danbohan wrote: »
    dublin ireland , from irish times july 5 , In Dublin, the average house costs €339,598.

    manchester uk , average house price £136,552 ,(e163817) bbc

    difference of e175781

    so yes its a wonderful time to buy a house in dublin icon10.gif

    :confused:
    Who mentioned anything about Dublin? The OP is from Cork.
    The average house price outside Dublin is about €200k.

    But seriously OP, you might think it's a good time to be buying a house but it's an even better time to be renting. I dont think house prices have reached the floor just yet.

    Where are you intending getting a deposit (8-10% min.) if you're on the dole?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 411 ✭✭Wibbler


    johnnyjb wrote: »
    House prices were only going one direction few yrs ago or am i not looking at the little details in this

    Someone on another thread posted why house prices are not going to stop dropping for some time yet. When you look at the 10 or so reasons you can see that every one of them will exert further downward pressure on prices, with nothing to prop them up.

    I like to keep an eye on the stats on this site:

    http://www.collapso.net/index.html

    Look at the number of price drops recorded versus the number of price rises (some of which are the fixing of errors). Price drops far outnumber the rises. When that starts to turnaround, we will have reached the bottom.

    Now look at the graph here:

    http://www.collapso.net/HouseAskingPriceVsTime2.jpg

    It's more or less a straight line decline in median house price and it shows no sign of moderating.

    All this points to prices coming down further. Of course only you can say if it's the best time to buy for you. Price is only one factor, albeit a big one.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,952 ✭✭✭Lando Griffin


    You will need at least 20% legal fees & deposit, for a 200,000 house that equals 40,000.
    You will need at least 6 months bank statements.
    You will need at least 6 months wage slips.
    You will need to earn at least 1200 + 400 euros a month after tax.
    A much better option for you would be when you re-enter employment. Put your name down for affordable housing.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,914 ✭✭✭danbohan


    Jimbo wrote: »
    :confused:
    Who mentioned anything about Dublin? The OP is from Cork.
    The average house price outside Dublin is about €200k.

    But seriously OP, you might think it's a good time to be buying a house but it's an even better time to be renting. I dont think house prices have reached the floor just yet.

    Where are you intending getting a deposit (8-10% min.) if you're on the dole?

    i was using comparsion of a large uk city to dublin , The average house in ireland now costs €291,278. New houses cost an average of €259,845,, thease figures from irish times monday july 5th ,


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,518 ✭✭✭✭dudara


    johnnyjb wrote: »
    if the country ever gets back to a normal level.

    You've got to realise that the events of the last 10 years or so were not normal.

    We've still got a way to go.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,210 ✭✭✭20goto10


    According to the radio yesterday and based on myhome stats, asking prices for 3 bedroom houses have stabilised. Something like an increase of 0.4% for a semi-d and 0.3% for a terrace. Doesn't mean much really but at the very least things are not as bad as they used to be.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,218 ✭✭✭beeno67


    danbohan wrote: »
    i was using comparsion of a large uk city to dublin , The average house in ireland now costs €291,278. New houses cost an average of €259,845,, thease figures from irish times monday july 5th ,


    Can you link these prices as they are totally at odds with the ESRI. The ESRI has Dublin property price at about €240,000. The national figure is about €200,000. You then compare the price for Manchester (one of the lowest priced areas in the UK) with Dublin the highest priced area in Ireland.

    Using similar flawed logic I could say the average price in greater London is £406,608 or €488,706. So hey look Dublin property is undervalued.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,210 ✭✭✭20goto10


    danbohan wrote: »
    dublin ireland , from irish times july 5 , In Dublin, the average house costs €339,598.

    manchester uk , average house price £136,552 ,(e163817) bbc

    difference of e175781

    so yes its a wonderful time to buy a house in dublin icon10.gif
    wtf? The average Dublin house costs a lot less than that. And Manchester is no Dublin.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    20goto10 wrote: »
    And Manchester is no Dublin.

    you are right, its better :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,308 ✭✭✭quozl


    20goto10 wrote: »
    According to the radio yesterday and based on myhome stats, asking prices for 3 bedroom houses have stabilised. Something like an increase of 0.4% for a semi-d and 0.3% for a terrace. Doesn't mean much really but at the very least things are not as bad as they used to be.

    LOL.

    So this bottom is the real one, unlike the myriad bottoms we've had called over the last 2 years?

    And this one is based on asking prices and is thus even more tenuous than some of the other false bottoms we've previously had?

    How can you hear something like that on the radio and just accept it, and then regurgitate it on a web forum?

    Bizarre.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,210 ✭✭✭20goto10


    quozl wrote: »
    LOL.

    So this bottom is the real one, unlike the myriad bottoms we've had called over the last 2 years?

    And this one is based on asking prices and is thus even more tenuous than some of the other false bottoms we've previously had?

    How can you hear something like that on the radio and just accept it, and then regurgitate it on a web forum?

    Bizarre.
    All we have are asking prices. There is no database of actual prices. So what form of media would you prefer to believe, or do you rely on devine inspiration for your statistics? btw, have I said this is the bottom? I'm restating a fact that myhome shows a stabilisation in asking prices for 3 bed houses. In fact a slight increase. And my point is its a hell of a lot better than the constant 1% - 5% decreases that have been reported over the past 3 years.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,210 ✭✭✭20goto10


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    you are right, its better :D
    Nnonsense. With the exception of the football, it is without a doubt one of the most boring cities I've ever been to. And that is clearly reflected in the price of property.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,308 ✭✭✭quozl


    20goto10 wrote: »
    All we have are asking prices. There is no database of actual prices. So what form of media would you prefer to believe,

    Actually I'd think about things I hear in the media, and not just blindly accept them.

    This is similar to the media telling us that we're out of recession, a technical truth, but anybody who takes it at face value is guillible.

    We've had surveys on asking prices previously (look at myhat.ie for example) that told us that there were slight price rises. A year ago.

    Or check out Myhome's 2009 Q2 price survey, from one year ago http://old.myhome.ie/pictures/barometer/Full_MyHome_Property_BarometerQ2_2009.pdf. Oh look, ex-dublin new properties only fell by 0.61%, surely that count as stabilisation under your criteria, as you're happy enough picking random tiny subsets of data to build a case on? If so, how do you explain the last 12 months of price drops? Unless your methodology, and perhaps theirs, are completely spurious?

    So, you can regurgitate this 'fact', or you can not. Not, is imo, much more useful as there are too many gullible types out there who will just accept what you say at face value.

    BTW, if you want something based on actual sale figures, look at the PTSB figures http://www.esri.ie/irish_economy/permanent_tsbesri_house_p/ . a 10% drop in the first 3 months of the year. Admittedly it's a lagging index, but at least it is not a work of fantasy like the one you mention.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,210 ✭✭✭20goto10


    quozl wrote: »
    Actually I'd think about things I hear in the media, and not just blindly accept them.

    This is similar to the media telling us that we're out of recession, a technical truth, but anybody who takes it at face value is guillible.
    You're talking nonsense. We are out of recession by every definition of the term. What other kind of truth is there other than the actual truth? Should we all wait until quozl says we are out of recession?
    quozl wrote: »
    So, you can regurgitate this 'fact', or you can not.
    Thats exactly what I have done. Is that ok? Should I PM you and get you to proof read my posts in future?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,308 ✭✭✭quozl


    20goto10 wrote: »
    You're talking nonsense. We are out of recession by every definition of the term. What other kind of truth is there other than the actual truth? Should we all wait until quozl says we are out of recession?
    LOL. For anybody reading this other than 20goto10 who would like a explanation of why this is daft, please check out [url] http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055956105#7[/url] I'm not going to reiterate such an obvious argument.
    Thats exactly what I have done. Is that ok? Should I PM you and get you to proof read my posts in future?
    If misleading information is posted somebody needs to rebut it so that others don't take it at face value. That myhome.ie survey is pure junk. If you would like to PM me future posts I would be happy to point out any flaws in private ;)

    By the way, check out http://old.myhome.ie/pdf/MyHomePropertyBarometerQ22010_PrintV.pdf

    Oh look, 3 bed terraced properties in dublin rose by 4% in Q1 2010! That's 17% annualised. Wohoo we're back to the peak of the bubble! For 3 bed terraced houses in dublin that is. Strange how in their Q2 survey there's no mention of that? Perhaps they were wrong...

    Perhaps they have little credibility and should not be accepted at face value?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,210 ✭✭✭20goto10


    Right so we agree that asking prices are up on myhome.ie. Great.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,375 ✭✭✭kmick


    Manchester has a population of 4m so its equivalent to the whole popoulation of the republic and some so lets compare Manchester with the Republic.

    The UK has a very good system for tracking house prices and the average Manc house is £136,652 (€164,217)
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/spl/hi/in_depth/uk_house_prices/html/bn.stm

    The republic has a very poor official system of tracking house prices (i.e. none) and therefore the esri seems a logical place to look.
    http://www.esri.ie/irish_economy/permanent_tsbesri_house_p/
    "The average price for a house nationally in quarter 1 2010 was EUR 204,830"

    Not so different (+40k).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,210 ✭✭✭20goto10


    quozl wrote: »
    LOL. For anybody reading this other than 20goto10 who would like a explanation of why this is daft, please check out http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055956105#7 I'm not going to reiterate such an obvious argument.
    LOL you're gas! To paraphrase, the recession is not over until quozl says so.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,534 ✭✭✭fliball123


    danbohan wrote: »
    i was using comparsion of a large uk city to dublin , The average house in ireland now costs €291,278. New houses cost an average of €259,845,, thease figures from irish times monday july 5th ,


    Why not do like for like as in compare Dublin with London???


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,308 ✭✭✭quozl


    20goto10 wrote: »
    LOL you're gas! To paraphrase, the recession is not over until quozl says so.

    An obvious straw-man argument (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Straw_man), I did not say that.

    Deal with the actual argument or don't bother. I'll not restate it for you, it's clear enough for anybody else who would like to read it. Perhaps you should read it again, slowly.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,210 ✭✭✭20goto10


    quozl wrote: »
    An obvious straw-man argument (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Straw_man), I did not say that.

    Deal with the actual argument or don't bother. I'll not restate it for you, it's clear enough for anybody else who would like to read it. Perhaps you should read it again, slowly.
    you need to get down off your high horse. you've attacked my post and then later on provided a link which actually backs up my post. So what exactly are you arguing here? Or are you just picking an argument for the sake of arguing. There is a clear definition of what a recession is. You don't like that definition and thats your choice, but don't go talking down on people who don't follow by your own made up rules.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,656 ✭✭✭norrie rugger


    kmick wrote: »
    Manchester has a population of 4m so its equivalent to the whole popoulation of the republic and some so lets compare Manchester with the Republic.

    The UK has a very good system for tracking house prices and the average Manc house is £136,652 (€164,217)
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/spl/hi/in_depth/uk_house_prices/html/bn.stm

    The republic has a very poor official system of tracking house prices (i.e. none) and therefore the esri seems a logical place to look.
    http://www.esri.ie/irish_economy/permanent_tsbesri_house_p/
    "The average price for a house nationally in quarter 1 2010 was EUR 204,830"

    Not so different (+40k).


    Are you being silly?

    Want to take population density into this please?

    Not so different? you have Dublin on one side of the equation, with its property price being balanced DOWN by an empty house in the midlands ghost estates


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,656 ✭✭✭norrie rugger


    fliball123 wrote: »
    Why not do like for like as in compare Dublin with London???

    Very far from like with like

    London is a major Capital city, centre of one of the biggest (if not the biggest) financial districts in the world. Home of the one of the busiest airports, in the world. A population of 18million? Headquarters of Dozens of the largest companies etc etc

    Dublin is a satellite suburb city, next to London.

    Manchester is closer, as a major regional city. Even then, with its higher population, it is not like for like.

    Comparison to both is actually favouring Dublin


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,458 ✭✭✭OMD


    Very far from like with like

    London is a major Capital city, centre of one of the biggest (if not the biggest) financial districts in the world. Home of the one of the busiest airports, in the world. A population of 18million? Headquarters of Dozens of the largest companies etc etc

    Dublin is a satellite suburb city, next to London.

    Manchester is closer, as a major regional city. Even then, with its higher population, it is not like for like.

    Comparison to both is actually favouring Dublin

    Comparing Manchester to Dublin does not make sense either. You have to look at a load of factors.
    Average price Dublin €240,000
    Average price Manchester €170,482 (£141,696)
    http://www.home.co.uk/guides/house_prices_report.htm?county=greater_manchester&lastyear=1

    Average rent Dublin €952 a month
    http://www.daft.ie/news/2010/daft-rental-report-q1-2010.daft
    Average Rent Manchester £520 a month (last year)
    http://blog.rentindex.co.uk/2009/07/rents-in-manchester-fall-by-13.html

    So house price Dublin 21 times yearly rent
    House price Manchester 22.7 times rent.
    So Manchester property overpriced compared to Dublin


    Median Wage Dublin person 10-19 years employed €50,593
    Median Wage Manchester person 10-19 years employed £32,251
    http://www.payscale.com/research/IE/Country=Ireland/Salary/by_Years_Experience
    http://www.payscale.com/research/UK/City=Manchester/Salary/by_Years_Experience

    Average House Price Dublin 4.7 times median wage of median worker
    Average House Price Manchester 4.4 times median wage
    So Dublin property overpriced compared to Manchester.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭fontanalis


    20goto10 wrote: »
    According to the radio yesterday and based on myhome stats, asking prices for 3 bedroom houses have stabilised. Something like an increase of 0.4% for a semi-d and 0.3% for a terrace. Doesn't mean much really but at the very least things are not as bad as they used to be.

    Why are high property prices seen as signs of a good economy? The proerty market should follow the economy not vice versa.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,375 ✭✭✭kmick


    Not so different? you have Dublin on one side of the equation, with its property price being balanced DOWN by an empty house in the midlands ghost estates

    I dont get your point.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,914 ✭✭✭danbohan


    beeno67 wrote: »
    Can you link these prices as they are totally at odds with the ESRI. The ESRI has Dublin property price at about €240,000. The national figure is about €200,000. You then compare the price for Manchester (one of the lowest priced areas in the UK) with Dublin the highest priced area in Ireland.

    Using similar flawed logic I could say the average price in greater London is £406,608 or €488,706. So hey look Dublin property is undervalued.[/QUOT

    so dublin is similar to london , get real


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,914 ✭✭✭danbohan


    OMD wrote: »
    Comparing Manchester to Dublin does not make sense either. You have to look at a load of factors.
    Average price Dublin €240,000
    Average price Manchester €170,482 (£141,696)
    http://www.home.co.uk/guides/house_prices_report.htm?county=greater_manchester&lastyear=1

    Average rent Dublin €952 a month
    http://www.daft.ie/news/2010/daft-rental-report-q1-2010.daft
    Average Rent Manchester £520 a month (last year)
    http://blog.rentindex.co.uk/2009/07/rents-in-manchester-fall-by-13.html

    So house price Dublin 21 times yearly rent
    House price Manchester 22.7 times rent.
    So Manchester property overpriced compared to Dublin


    Median Wage Dublin person 10-19 years employed €50,593
    Median Wage Manchester person 10-19 years employed £32,251
    http://www.payscale.com/research/IE/Country=Ireland/Salary/by_Years_Experience
    http://www.payscale.com/research/UK/City=Manchester/Salary/by_Years_Experience

    Average House Price Dublin 4.7 times median wage of median worker
    Average House Price Manchester 4.4 times median wage
    So Dublin property overpriced compared to Manchester.

    and you think we shall maintain the median wages ? or that level of rental , bottom line is we are still very overpriced for property , very overpriced for rentals and very overpaid , all of which will have to change if we are to keep borrowing to pay our bills .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,458 ✭✭✭OMD


    kmick wrote: »
    Manchester has a population of 4m so its equivalent to the whole popoulation of the republic and some so lets compare Manchester with the Republic.

    The UK has a very good system for tracking house prices and the average Manc house is £136,652 (€164,217)
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/spl/hi/in_depth/uk_house_prices/html/bn.stm

    The republic has a very poor official system of tracking house prices (i.e. none) and therefore the esri seems a logical place to look.
    http://www.esri.ie/irish_economy/permanent_tsbesri_house_p/
    "The average price for a house nationally in quarter 1 2010 was EUR 204,830"

    Not so different (+40k).

    Or indeed compare Ireland with the whole UK.
    Average price Ireland €204,830 (5 months ago. Less now)
    Average price UK €269,685 (£224,064 and rising)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,458 ✭✭✭OMD


    danbohan wrote: »
    and you think we shall maintain the median wages ? or that level of rental , bottom line is we are still very overpriced for property , very overpriced for rentals and very overpaid , all of which will have to change if we are to keep borrowing to pay our bills .

    My point is that it is ridiculous to compare Dublin with one of the poorer areas of England and say somehow that proves Dublin property is overvalued. Anyway I believe property prices are falling faster than wages or rent


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    alot of people are missing the big elephant in the room

    in Ireland we track asking prices (DAFT index

    in UK they have a registry to track selling prices

    big difference


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,656 ✭✭✭norrie rugger


    kmick wrote: »
    I dont get your point.

    You are trying to indicate that the urban setting of Manchester at 4 million is equivalent to the entire urban/rural mix of Ireland.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,656 ✭✭✭norrie rugger


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    alot of people are missing the big elephant in the room

    in Ireland we track asking prices (DAFT index

    in UK they have a registry to track selling prices

    big difference


    Very civilised of them. They actually manage their affairs


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,458 ✭✭✭OMD


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    alot of people are missing the big elephant in the room

    in Ireland we track asking prices (DAFT index

    in UK they have a registry to track selling prices

    big difference

    ESRI Index tracks estimated sales price based on mortgage information.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,375 ✭✭✭kmick


    You are trying to indicate that the urban setting of Manchester at 4 million is equivalent to the entire urban/rural mix of Ireland.

    These are all average numbers and its impossible to factor that in. There are super urban and super rural areas of Manchester as well. The reason its commonly chosen is that it has roughly the same population.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    OMD wrote: »
    ESRI Index tracks estimated sales price based on mortgage information.

    This index is not monthly anymore as they dont have enough mortgage data

    Not that this proxy way is such a great measurement as actually measuring the selling prices, I for example bought+build in cash

    Revenue have all the actual selling prices, if they wanted they could have released an anonymized dataset


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,458 ✭✭✭OMD


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    This index is not monthly anymore as they dont have enough mortgage data

    Not that this proxy way is such a great measurement as actually measuring the selling prices, I for example bought+build in cash

    Revenue have all the actual selling prices, if they wanted they could have released an anonymized dataset

    My point is the figures people are using are the ESRI figures not the DAFT one. So the figures are not asking prices.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,656 ✭✭✭norrie rugger


    kmick wrote: »
    These are all average numbers and its impossible to factor that in. There are super urban and super rural areas of Manchester as well. The reason its commonly chosen is that it has roughly the same population.

    Population density
    Ireland 63/km2
    Manchester 4,014/km2
    Greater Man 2,016 /km2


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,628 ✭✭✭Blackjack


    20goto10 wrote: »
    In fact a slight increase. And my point is its a hell of a lot better than the constant 1% - 5% decreases that have been reported over the past 3 years.

    For who?
    Certainly not for those who haven't bought and hope to do so, nor is it any good for the competitiveness of our Economy to have vastly overpriced housing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Treehouse72


    OMD wrote: »
    Comparing Manchester to Dublin does not make sense either. You have to look at a load of factors.
    Average price Dublin €240,000
    Average price Manchester €170,482 (£141,696)
    http://www.home.co.uk/guides/house_prices_report.htm?county=greater_manchester&lastyear=1

    Average rent Dublin €952 a month
    http://www.daft.ie/news/2010/daft-rental-report-q1-2010.daft
    Average Rent Manchester £520 a month (last year)
    http://blog.rentindex.co.uk/2009/07/rents-in-manchester-fall-by-13.html

    So house price Dublin 21 times yearly rent
    House price Manchester 22.7 times rent.
    So Manchester property overpriced compared to Dublin


    Median Wage Dublin person 10-19 years employed €50,593
    Median Wage Manchester person 10-19 years employed £32,251
    http://www.payscale.com/research/IE/Country=Ireland/Salary/by_Years_Experience
    http://www.payscale.com/research/UK/City=Manchester/Salary/by_Years_Experience

    Average House Price Dublin 4.7 times median wage of median worker
    Average House Price Manchester 4.4 times median wage
    So Dublin property overpriced compared to Manchester.


    Do you think that perhaps absolute numbers matter here at all?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,458 ✭✭✭OMD


    Do you think that perhaps absolute numbers matter here at all?

    No, not at all. We are talking about 2 very different cities , in 2 different countries, with 2 different economies and 2 different currencies. My entire point is that to compare them in terms of absolute figures makes no sense at all.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Treehouse72


    OMD wrote: »
    No, not at all. We are talking about 2 very different cities , in 2 different countries, with 2 different economies and 2 different currencies. My entire point is that to compare them in terms of absolute figures makes no sense at all.


    So Dublin salaries, house prices and rents are all 50% more expensive than Manchester, and there's nothing wrong with that "at all"? I see. And the way you talk about the differences between the two cities you'd think we were comparing Dublin with Delhi or Denver, not bloody Manchester.

    I wrote a long reply to this, but honestly couldn't be arsed posting it. So let's agree - Ireland is a magical, special place which justifies house prices, salaries and rents that are 50% higher than a larger city in a larger and more important economy just a few hundred miles away. I couldn't be bothered my arse debating the obvious insanity of this with people who are only too willing to follow Jim Jones into the jungle. Knock yourself out and enjoy the Kool-Aid.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,458 ✭✭✭OMD


    So Dublin salaries, house prices and rents are all 50% more expensive than Manchester, and there's nothing wrong with that "at all"? I see. And the way you talk about the differences between the two cities you'd think we were comparing Dublin with Delhi or Denver, not bloody Manchester.

    I wrote a long reply to this, but honestly couldn't be arsed posting it. So let's agree - Ireland is a magical, special place which justifies house prices, salaries and rents that are 50% higher than a larger city in a larger and more important economy just a few hundred miles away. I couldn't be bothered my arse debating the obvious insanity of this with people who are only too willing to follow Jim Jones into the jungle. Knock yourself out and enjoy the Kool-Aid.

    God Treehouse you seem to write a lot of long replies but don't post them. Perhaps you should think a little first.

    There is no reason to believe Dublin and Manchester prices are comparable. Anymore than say Dublin and the South of England which are more expensive than Ireland.

    Manchester is 4 times the size of Dublin, it is in one of the poorer regions of England, It is not a capital city, average incomes there are much lower than here, they have property taxes, they have a different tax system, they have a different currency. Why the hell do you think Dublin should be copmpared to Manchester but should not be compared to other more expensive areas of England.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,534 ✭✭✭fliball123


    OMD wrote: »
    God Treehouse you seem to write a lot of long replies but don't post them. Perhaps you should think a little first.

    There is no reason to believe Dublin and Manchester prices are comparable. Anymore than say Dublin and the South of England which are more expensive than Ireland.

    Manchester is 4 times the size of Dublin, it is in one of the poorer regions of England, It is not a capital city, average incomes there are much lower than here, they have property taxes, they have a different tax system, they have a different currency. Why the hell do you think Dublin should be copmpared to Manchester but should not be compared to other more expensive areas of England.

    Totally aggree here its like comparing apples and tractors. There are no commaonalities between Manchesster and Dublin


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