Mexico Vs. Uruguay

jimi_t2

3/4 with Paddys currently for the draw.

Is there any reason to believe that there won't be a draw?

Headshot

2nd place draws Argentina

Verance

I've had a big lay at 4/5 on Betfair. I don't think it's possible for this Mexican side to sit back. Both teams like to attack and top spot is a massive advantage.

okidoki987

Even though both need a draw to qualify, anything under Evs must be a lay.

Speak Now

jimi_t2 wrote: »

3/4 with Paddys currently for the draw.

Is there any reason to believe that there won't be a draw?

Draw will do Uruguay ok but Mexico need to win the group to get a game against South Korea or Greece. Much easier passage into the last 8 than playing the Argies.

jimi_t2

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

Draw will do Uruguay ok but Mexico need to win the group to get a game against South Korea or Greece. Much easier passage into the last 8 than playing the Argies.

The odds for the draw have been hammered into at an avalanche scale the last few days, if Mexico's odds improve I might just consider taking them HT/FT.

Verance

jimi_t2 wrote: »

The odds for the draw have been hammered into at an avalanche scale the last few days, if Mexico's odds improve I might just consider taking them HT/FT.

The bookies' cut the price after Mexico won last night as the conspiracy theorists will back it now @ 4/6. I think it'll drift a little before the game, maybe going off around 5/4 or 6/4. It's far too short at the moment.

mickos

I've gone for Mexico HT/ Draw FT 9/1 with PP
Mexico need the win to avoid the Argies but I think if its level in the last 15 min both teams will be happy to see it out.

El_Zigi

Uruguay are a defensive side by nature and a draw is enough for them to top the group. I expect them to be playing for a draw from the start. Mexico have to win to top the group, they'll look to attack from the off. Neither team will want to meet the Argies (tho they wont be scared of 'em if they do) in the next round that's for sure so there'll be no 'playing out the draw' malarkey going on here. The only way these two would suddenly say we better play out the draw is if it's a stalemate late on and Fra or SA are winning 3 or 4-0. Not likely.

I wont be betting on this one mostly because I missed Mexico's two games so far so haven't seen them yet. There's potential for the flip/flops here. Mexico ht/Uruguay ft and vice versa both at 50/1 might be worth a few pence. I think SK v Nig has flip/flop potential too.

Devastator

Verance wrote: »

I think it'll drift a little before the game, maybe going off around 5/4 or 6/4. It's far too short at the moment.

4/5 now on PP

mickos wrote: »

I think if its level in the last 15 min both teams will be happy to see it out.

suppose it depends if france pull something out of their cheatin arses. If France somehow get 3 or 4 up against SA(very unlikely I know) both Mexico & Uruguay(if drawing) may sit back to make sure they go through with a point

bubbleking

the draw is currently 10/11 on betfair.

what stands out most for me is that mexico and Uruguay are after drifting massively to 4.1 and 4.3 respectively. This suggests that people in the know with enough money to shift the market are laying both teams heavily. Id saya draw game has been brokered behinf the scenes.

just need mexico to accept that and not go getting any ideas

Devastator

as part of a treble I've taken Mexico DNB


treble
Mexico DNB 4/5
Nigeria/SK - 1st goal before 28th minute evens
Greece/Argentina over 2.5 goals evens

Also done a bookings quad on todays games
Mex/Uru upto & inc 40 points 4/6
SA/Fra 65 points or more 6/5
Nig/SK upro & inc 50 points evens
Gre/Arg upto & inc 35 points 7/5

Speak Now

So are we assuming a no score draw here because what price will the draw hit if a team goes 1 up?

What i mean is if there is more value to be had in backing 0-0?
Then if someone does score back the draw again in running?

Wow just checked, 0-0 draw is 5/2 :rolleyes:

The Recliner

Did Uruguay halftime and Mexico full time and doubled it with Nigeria half time South Korea full time

So have a bit of an interest in this game

€1.25 pays out €1400+ (not sure of the exact amount)

Might do a few more of these for the rest of the group stage, spices things up a bit

El Horseboxo

Gonna go for over 2.5 goals and more than 55 booking points @ 9.00 on PP.

People seem to be expecting a nice fairly tame draw. But i think both teams are going to be out for a win. Perhaps Mexico a bit more. Some first teamers may well be rested but those that take their place will want to impress. Although predicted line ups seem quite strong. Anyways neither team would want to meet Argentina. Mexico are already weak at the back and if uruguay makes some changes at the back they may be vunerable to Mexico's attacks down the flanks. I can see maybe a 2-1 or 2-2. And Mexicans aren't liked in the Latino world and a lot of Mexicans dislike South American countries. So i'm expecting a few reckless tackles. Sensibly they should avoid being booked but i just don't think they will be able to help themselves. At 8/1 i'll be taking that at maybe 10 or 20 Euro.

Nuri Sahin

Both teams playing for a draw!? Funny

This is the game where I'll have most of my money on.

I have few of accumulators(I was bored last night :pac:) for today:

• Forlan and Messi 2 or more = 125e
• Forlan to score anytime, Messi to score and Argie win + South Korea win = 43e
• Uruguay, Argentina, Ivory Coast, Denmark, Paraguay and Holland to win = 84.5e

Will probably make a single bet on Forlan again.

20 Times 20 Times

I went for

Mexico Draw no bet 4/5
South korea draw no bet 4/6
Argentina over 2.5 goals 5/6

16euro

Xavi6

Forlan to score any time @3.3

Uruguay to win (draw no bet) @evens

frat

Adnan Alves wrote: »

Both teams playing for a draw!? Funny

This is the game where I'll have most of my money on.


I have few of accumulators(I was bored last night :pac:) for today:

• Forlan and Messi 2 or more = 125e
• Forlan to score anytime, Messi to score and Argie win + South Korea win = 43e
• Uruguay, Argentina, Ivory Coast, Denmark, Paraguay and Holland to win = 84.5e

Will probably make a single bet on Forlan again.

You have 84 euro on a 6 team accum?

oppiuy

Ive taken 100 euro from last nites wimmings and placed it on forlan to score first uruguay to win 1-0 25-1. I think it mite be a tight game and forlan shoots from everywhere, is on free kicks and penos. and have a feeling about this one

Nuri Sahin

Adnan Alves wrote: »

Both teams playing for a draw!? Funny

This is the game where I'll have most of my money on.

I have few of accumulators(I was bored last night :pac:) for today:

• Forlan and Messi 2 or more = 125e
• Forlan to score anytime, Messi to score and Argie win + South Korea win = 43e
• Uruguay, Argentina, Ivory Coast, Denmark, Paraguay and Holland to win = 84.5e

Will probably make a single bet on Forlan again.

frat wrote: »

You have 84 euro on a 6 team accum?

No

I stand to win 84 euro if those 6 teams win.

El Horseboxo

Adnan Alves wrote: »

No

I stand to win 84 euro if those 6 teams win.

I actually thought the same as Frat. The euro amount looks like the stake.

Nuri Sahin

El Horseboxo wrote: »

I actually thought the same as Frat. The euro amount looks like the stake.

Well that would be plainly insane :pac:

1 euro = 84.50

El Horseboxo

Adnan Alves wrote: »

Well that was be plainly insane :pac:

1 euro = 84.50

Well it's been an insane World Cup. Insane bets may be the only way forward.

Anyways both teams don't look like they are playing for the draw so far.

mailburner

just backed no goals at 3.1
seems like a fair possibility to me

Sonovagun

mailburner wrote: »

just backed no goals at 3.1
seems like a fair possibility to me

hard luck

The Recliner

The Recliner wrote: »

Did Uruguay halftime and Mexico full time and doubled it with Nigeria half time South Korea full time

Well it is a quarter of the way there, don't see it coming in though

ForzaKid

Mexico @ 11/1 great price IMO..

Kod-box

19/1 on Betfair.

Nuri Sahin

Mexico 14/1 on PP

d-gal

uruguay next goal 12/5

Xavi6

Xavi6 wrote: »

Forlan to score any time @3.3

Boo

Uruguay to win (draw no bet) @evens

Yay!

Came out all square

The Recliner

The Recliner wrote: »

Well it is a quarter of the way there, don't see it coming in though

Balls!