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Binomial Maths Problem...

  • 16-05-2010 2:20pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35


    Hi all just looking for some help with this probability problem....

    Two dice are thrown together. Determine the probability that the sum of the two numbers is 8. The dice are thrown 12 times. Determine the prob that a sum of 8 occurs (1) three times (2) never (3) at least 4 times.

    So the binomial formula is
    binomial%20probability%20formula.gif


    So for first part i know n=12 and k=3. The prob of 2 dice equaling 8 is 5/36.
    Putting these values into equation I worked the final answer out to be 15.31%.


    For second part i worked it out to be 16.62%


    I'm stuck with the final part. What value to i put in for k and what will be my binomial coefficient? Any help would be greatly appreciated. Test tomorrow! Cheers


Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,083 ✭✭✭RoundTower


    The best way to get an exact answer is to find the probability an 8 occurs 0, 1, 2 or 3 times and take that away from 1. You've already done it for 0 and 3, so now do it for 1 and 2.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,083 ✭✭✭RoundTower


    if you have a fancy tables book or a fancy calculator you might be able to get a result more straightforwardly, I can't see how to do it on Wolfram Alpha


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 201 ✭✭ArmCandyBaby


    Yeah for complicated questions you'd use tables or a normal approximation. I think this is the Wolfram anwser:

    http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=CDF[BinomialDistribution[12%2C+0.138888889]%2C+4]


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35 jarvisob


    Thanks very much people


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 817 ✭✭✭dafunk


    I would approach it as round tower suggested:

    P(0)+P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)+P(6)+P(7)+P(8)+P(9)+P(10)+P(11)+P(12) = 1

    P(At least 4) = P(4)+P(5)+P(6)+P(7)+P(8)+P(9)+P(10)+P(11)+P(12)

    = 1 - [P(0)+P(1)+P(2)+P(3)]


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