World snooker championships 2010

dotsflan

Just said id set this up seeing as there was no thread for it. feel free to add any bets you think are value. for what its worth ive backed Mark williams and Shaun Murphy both @ 14/1

aflib

20 on higgins.was doherty beaten?saw him 8-4 down at one stage

Speak Now

Yeah 10-4

aflib

he is gone ta hell.poor ****.tough 1st round draw though

shaggykev

backed mark allen at 20s

didnt realise he has never won a ranking tournamnet beforehand

should of done more reserch, but cant have ronnie or selby with the horrid draw they have

reckon allen will make semis without a sweat

higgins was 5-1 yesterday when 5-4 down to hawkings

that might of been a damn good price when all is said and done

dotsflan

Just looking at the match betting there, the only bet that stands out is Davis at 21/10 to beat King. I know davis is pushing on but on his day he's very capable of beating king. King is a great character in the sport but is only an average snooker player

Speak Now

dotsflan wrote: »

Just looking at the match betting there, the only bet that stands out is Davis at 21/10 to beat King. I know davis is pushing on but on his day he's very capable of beating king. King is a great character in the sport but is only an average snooker player

Same can be said about oul Steve these days

Kod-box

shaggykev wrote: »

higgins was 5-1 yesterday when 5-4 down to hawkings

Yeah?

Yhang was only that when he was 2 frames down to Hendry last night.

Backed Yhang and all he needed was 1 frame of the remaining 3 to win and he lost them all.

Ive backed Robertson to win it at 12's.

dotsflan

Kod-box wrote: »

Yeah?

Yhang was only that when he was 2 frames down to Hendry last night.

Backed Yhang and all he needed was 1 frame of the remaining 3 to win and he lost them all.

Ive backed Robertson to win it at 12's.

i think he was referring to 5/1 being the price about higgins winning the tournament outright not the match

RocketRonnie

Ali Carter (28/1) and Stephen Maguire (18/1) are my outright bets... The draw having a lot to do with my decision...

Carter blew Cope away in the 1st round, he's at 20/1 which still looks a very generous price! He has the experience to go the whole way.....

Juwwi

l went for ding junhui at 9/1 and mark williams at 16/1 tho from what l saw of williams today he was'nt playing well

Kod-box

dotsflan wrote: »

i think he was referring to 5/1 being the price about higgins winning the tournament outright not the match

ah right, was thinking them odds were insanely generous.

myflipflops

shaggykev wrote: »

higgins was 5-1 yesterday when 5-4 down to hawkings

that might of been a damn good price when all is said and done

He was 5/1 at the start of the tournament in a couple of places.

shaggykev

no not match betting

he has such an easy side of the draw imo

who can beat him on his side?

superfurry1

Yeah i went for ali carter outright aswell looks in good form

InKonspikuou2

I generally throw a tenner on a frame to be either over 101.5 or under 101.5 total points. It's usually 5/6 odds. I tend to be really lucky in my choices and i increase the stake in the later frames if the score is close because they tend to pot more then and will come in for snookers if needed. I'm already up a big amount since the tournament started. It's worth looking into if you have internet for live betting.

Speak Now

InKonspikuou2 wrote: »

I generally throw a tenner on a frame to be either over 101.5 or under 101.5 total points. It's usually 5/6 odds. I tend to be really lucky in my choices and i increase the stake in the later frames if the score is close because they tend to pot more then and will come in for snookers if needed. I'm already up a big amount since the tournament started. It's worth looking into if you have internet for live betting.

Hope you weren't doing it on the King/Davis match last night
Made a few quid myself last night laying both layers at odds on in the scrappy frames. It was actualy an "Interesting game" :pac:, hopefully Davis can get a decent start tonight as i've already layed King at 1.19 when he was 2-0 up last night. Ebdon is on opposite table against Dott tonight so could be plenty of trading opportunities in that match as well. Could be lots of grinding on both tables

RocketRonnie

InKonspikuou2 wrote: »

I generally throw a tenner on a frame to be either over 101.5 or under 101.5 total points. It's usually 5/6 odds. I tend to be really lucky in my choices and i increase the stake in the later frames if the score is close because they tend to pot more then and will come in for snookers if needed. I'm already up a big amount since the tournament started. It's worth looking into if you have internet for live betting.

I sometimes do that bet when i'm bored... For someone who does it a lot, what would you find to be the most common result??
Would a Davis/King type game have more over or under 101.5 games than say a O'Sullivan/Higgins game??
Or do you just consider it pot luck??
Thanks

InKonspikuou2

RocketRonnie wrote: »

I sometimes do that bet when i'm bored... For someone who does it a lot, what would you find to be the most common result??
Would a Davis/King type game have more over or under 101.5 games than say a O'Sullivan/Higgins game??
Or do you just consider it pot luck??
Thanks

I actually find i win more so. But in order to get a return you have to keep on betting. I read somebodies statistics earlier where they had something like 60 odd frames have been played so far and 40 odd of them where over 101.5. That's a high percentage. So to keep betting over 101.5 you should statistically make a profit. That's what i do and only every now and then i go under. And when i have i tend to be quite lucky in calling it.

I haven't been betting on the Davis/King one as i thought it would be pretty scrappy and a lot of lower breaks. And looking at the scores i was right. No centuries in 14 frames and only 4 of them have broke 101.5.

I've been betting on the Ebdon/Dott game which i thought would be a better break building game and i like Dott as a player. 6 out of the 7 frames have been over 101.5 so far. I'm up 49.98 on that one as i bet to be over on each one.

It is really pot luck as snooker is a hard game to judge frame to frame between certain players. But the odds should be with you if you keep betting over. I have had bad luck with 3 frames in a row being under in the past but it has been in my favor overall since i started doing it. Later on in the tournament i'll increase my stakes as the better players are left and i should come away with a couple of hundred.

x in the city

dott and ebdon is the borefest supreme world snooker killer.

yawnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn

ronnie o sullivan would walk out if he played any of them guys and they were draggin on with it

radharc

InKonspikuou2 wrote: »

It is really pot luck as snooker is a hard game to judge frame to frame between certain players. But the odds should be with you if you keep betting over. I have had bad luck with 3 frames in a row being under in the past but it has been in my favor overall since i started doing it. Later on in the tournament i'll increase my stakes as the better players are left and i should come away with a couple of hundred.

You can take it as given that if bookies are offering these odds they've used the results of thousands of frames and not a sample of 50 or 60. There's no way there's any value in backing something that has a roughly even chance at 5/6.

Speak Now

Go on the Nugget

InKonspikuou2

radharc wrote: »

You can take it as given that if bookies are offering these odds they've used the results of thousands of frames and not a sample of 50 or 60. There's no way there's any value in backing something that has a roughly even chance at 5/6.

Well i'm not a gambler and that bet is about the only thing i bet on. Have been doing it for years on the big tournaments and i've always won a couple of hundred off them. I've yet to drop below a profit of 152.88 euro from doing this type of bet. I don't just look at present statistics. I also factor in current form and past frames in past competitions. I don't bet every frame as i'm not always beside a computer. But with the ones i do bet on i tend to be lucky. Value or not it's been working for me. And i expect this tournament to pay my car insurance.

superfurry1

How about Stephen lee 300-1 outright 6-3 down at the moment to stephen maguire not beyond the realms of possibility well maybe:P

dotsflan

superfurry1 wrote: »

How about Stephen lee 300-1 outright 6-3 down at the moment to stephen maguire not beyond the realms of possibility well maybe:P

hasnt a hope of winning it im afraid! even if he did win today he hasnt the game anymore to win it IMO

x in the city

dotsflan wrote: »

hasnt a hope of winning it im afraid! even if he did win today he hasnt the game anymore to win it IMO

i can imagine him sitting aorund on a lazeee boy taking pot shots around his table

Juwwi

ld say going under on the last frame before the intervals could be rewarding.

digme

come on dott

Juwwi

digme wrote: »

come on dott

here here.

digme

pressure pressure.

Juwwi

l still think he will hold his nerve and win

digme

He made a great shot there on the green ball

digme

You WERE RIGHT HE DID IT, NICE ONE

digme

Anyone know will they be finishing this tonight?

Bluetonic

digme wrote: »

Anyone know will they be finishing this tonight?

Finishes tonight.

digme

I haven't bet on this yet.

Speak Now

Bluetonic wrote: »

Finishes tonight.

Bet it's tomorrow morning

Juwwi

if it goes to the final frame it could be 2am by the time its over :eek:

digme

Christ i'll be watching it all night,
Who's your money on lads?

Juwwi

dott

this is a big frame for him.
15-12 l dont think he will come back from but 14-13 he would have a great chance

x PyRo

Robertson, Backed him at the start. Put it in some other thread on here too, could of sworn it was this one.

Speak Now

digme wrote: »

Christ i'll be watching it all night,
Who's your money on lads?

Both :eek: doing in running betting on frame by frame, both so nervy now the swings in betting in running are amazing. Dott as been done at 1/4 in this frame and robertson 2/5. Looks like another breakdown from Robertson

digme

Ya your right about that robbie.
Dott to me seems less nervous,Robertson then has the lead though...

digme

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

Both :eek: doing in running betting on frame by frame, both so nervy now the swings in betting in running are amazing. Dott as been done at 1/4 in this frame and robertson 2/5. Looks like another breakdown from Robertson

I wouldn't have the balls for that now haha

Speak Now

digme wrote: »

I wouldn't have the balls for that now haha

Lay Lay Lay

Juwwi

l'd love it if robertson broke his tip

digme