How long will it last?

gimme5minutes

So how long is this crazy weather gonna last? Will it get worse?

Queen-Mise

Another ten days anyway according to Met Eireann.

Maybe some of the weather fanatics could explain to you why :p:p

mike65

www.rte.ie/radio1 now!

Some guy called Jonathan Powell of Positive Weather Solutions. He is talking of late Febuary before this fully passes. Dunno how he arrives at that conclusion.

nacho libre

Queen-Mise wrote: »

Another ten days anyway according to Met Eireann.

Maybe some of the weather fanatics could explain to you why :p:p

it's most likely because you told the snow to bugger off. That was a big mistake!

super_furry

It's because there's a recessesion going on and I can prove it with science.

80s -94 no money, bloody freezing winters.
Celtic Tiger - loads of money, warm winters.
Now - **** all money, bloody freezing weather.

See? Science.

Min

Joe Bastardi of Accuweather was saying the same thing a month or more back, a long cold winter like something from the time of Charles Dickens.

Elmer Blooker

mike65 wrote: »

www.rte.ie/radio1 now!

Some guy called Jonathan Powell of Positive Weather Solutions. He is talking of late Febuary before this fully passes. Dunno how he arrives at that conclusion.

Yeah, I heard it too a few minutes ago. It was a pretty pointless interview, the interviewer didn't even ask him how he came to that conclusion, in fact the interviewer didn't ask him any questions, he just gasped in mock shock horror.
yawn

Queen-Mise

nacho libre wrote: »

it's most likely because you told the snow to bugger off. That was a big mistake!

The first one revenge..... We all know about a woman scorned:rolleyes::rolleyes:

super_furry wrote: »

It's because there's a recessesion going on and I can prove it with science.

80s -94 no money, bloody freezing winters.
Celtic Tiger - loads of money, warm winters.
Now - **** all money, bloody freezing weather.

See? Science.

And secondly nature is connected to the financial markets... Interesting, didn't think Mother Nature was on the NASDAQ or Dow Jones payroll

Su Campu

Latest indications from today's models are pretty consistent in ending this cold spell Tuesday. It's Atlantic business as usual from then on.

2qk4u

http://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/cold-weather-set-to-continue-into-march-441019.html

Ambersky

If it lasts much longer between the flooding and the snow this year well all be

Mc Love

Su Campu wrote: »

Latest indications from today's models are pretty consistent in ending this cold spell Tuesday. It's Atlantic business as usual from then on.

Hope you are right

G-Money

sparkysrovers wrote: »

Hope you are right

Me too. I so want this cold weather gone. I don't care if it rains for 40 days, as long as it's warm enough so there's no snow or ice anymore.

Graces7

Well, as someone who was flooded out and now iced up for over three weeks.....

Now a burst pipe too.....

What comes comes; but I wonder how many here know that the Greek word we get "enthusiast" from really means madness.

Seems the only ones who really want more and more snow and ice are the few here who are "enthusiasmos" ie crazy.

Or maybe some kind of masochism going on?

Anyways, they are to be greatly pitied;)

Here, we will take what comes of course; decided not to tell the landlord yet re the burst pipe as nothing can be done till it thaws anyways. It is not in any room I use, and now I know how the crazy plumbing here works and that I can use the washing machine AT LAST, although the kitchen tap is trying to freeze on me again.

Yes we do and will survive and enjoy the beauty,, BUT wishing more? Crazy .. Totally crazy. Y'day I prayed hard that the clouds here would pass us over and thank God they did.

cormie

Graces7 wrote: »

Here, we will take what comes of course; decided not to tell the landlord yet re the burst pipe as nothing can be done till it thaws anyways. It is not in any room I use, and now I know how the crazy plumbing here works and that I can use the washing machine AT LAST, although the kitchen tap is trying to freeze on me again.

Yes we do and will survive and enjoy the beauty,, BUT wishing more? Crazy .. Totally crazy. Y'day I prayed hard that the clouds here would pass us over and thank God they did.

Would a burst pipe not start spraying everywhere and NOT stop when it starts to thaw? I'd get that sorted asap :eek:

If you leave one tap in the house slightly on continuously, even just a few little drops, it will reduce chances of pipes freezing.

Wibbler

The GFS has shown a gradual rise in 850hpa temps back to normal over the course of a few days for many recent runs. However, I note that it is pushing back that rise with each run. I haven't been watching the other models, but is the same thing happening there?

mike65

Exactly so, it makes you think in 8/9 days it'll change but then it pushes the change back another few days. I've given up believing the GFS.

Ally Dick

mike65 wrote: »

www.rte.ie/radio1 now!

Some guy called Jonathan Powell of Positive Weather Solutions. He is talking of late Febuary before this fully passes. Dunno how he arrives at that conclusion.

I only listen to John Eagleton. Everyone else is a bluffer

G-Money

For what it's worth, the extended forecast on Yahoo Weather (from the Weather Channel) seems to show a slight rise in temperatures from the end of next week for Dublin.

No idea if this is reliable but this cold spell has got to end sometime soon doesn't it?

Arnold Layne

Ah sure, once the weather improves in Dublin it means that the weather in the rest of the country has improved as well.

mike65

live chart so this change

Graces7

It has barely thawed for more than a few hours here for weeks.

Nothing more has come through that wooden slat ceiling. Frozen water cannot spray..

So clearly a burst, it thawed a wee bit, then froze again.

What was on the ceiling was frozen.

Er,,, been leaving the tap on for weeks also.... very low temps up here. Sometimes that has helped sometimes not.

An odd system here ; Heath Robinson type. You have to see it to believe it. I have turned off the water to that side and drained as best i can as it thaws. Took me a day to work it all out.

cormie wrote: »

Would a burst pipe not start spraying everywhere and NOT stop when it starts to thaw? I'd get that sorted asap :eek:

If you leave one tap in the house slightly on continuously, even just a few little drops, it will reduce chances of pipes freezing.

Graces7

How long is a piece of string...

paulhac

Graces7 wrote: »

How long is a piece of string...

Not sure ...6 inches to a foot maybe:D

Mobhi1

Coming to an end in the middle of next week?:(

Bandit12

Mobhi1 wrote: »

Coming to an end in the middle of next week?:(

Not according to the experts.

Elmer Blooker

Mobhi1 wrote: »

Coming to an end in the middle of next week?:(

The Eagle Eagleton's forecast tonight didn't go beyond Monday but you know those little charts at the end of the forecast that show 5 days ahead- Wednesday's chart showed winds coming from an easterly direction, that doesn't suggest a breakthrough by the Atlantic......... yet.

Mobhi1

Bandit12 wrote: »

Not according to the experts.

But that is according to the Experts - Snowaddict, etc.

nacho libre

while some models suggest a slower transition than others, there is, it seems, broad consensus now between the models that there will be a gradual rise in temperatures from tuesday onwards, by the end of the week temperatures should be up to a balmy 5 or 6 in most places.

of course with the ground so cold, over such a long period, it's going to be very tricky for several days as the thaw sets in.

and so it is all things must pass. will it be 30 or 40 years before we see a cold event like this again???

G-Money

nacho libre wrote: »

while some models suggest a slower transition than others, there is, it seems, broad consensus now between the models that there will be a gradual rise in temperatures from tuesday onwards, by the end of the week temperatures should be up to a balmy 5 or 6 in most places.

Really? Met Eireann seems to think the cold temps will continue for quite a while.

Min

ECMWF keeps it going for another 8 days at least.

Mobhi1

Min wrote: »

ECMWF keeps it going for another 8 days at least.

Hopefully.

nacho libre

grandmaster wrote: »

Really? Met Eireann seems to think the cold temps will continue for quite a while.

given the stakes they are probably being cautious(waiting for later model runs) before committing themselves but i think we'll see in their farming forecast them indicating a gradual change is on the way from tuesday of next week. it won't be mild by our usual standards by the end of the week, but temperatures should be back up to the January average by Friday.

nacho libre

Mobhi1 wrote: »

Hopefully.

i would love it if they did a complete u-turn but they do seem to be indicating change is on the way before that. so it looks as if temperatures will be slowly climbing back up to around normal...:(

Pangea

nacho libre wrote: »

and so it is all things must pass. will it be 30 or 40 years before we see a cold event like this again???

Ah go away out of that
I was looking at a documentary called the big freeze at christmas time , talking about feb 09 , how they havent seen anything like it in the uk for like 30 years and that it could be another 30 before they see it again, as i was watching it on tv , the next "30 years event" was currently taken place ( and still is) beating februarys " big freeze",
Put that in ur pipe and smoke it.
:cool::cool::pac:

nacho libre

Pangea wrote: »

Ah go away out of that
I was looking at a documentary called the big freeze at christmas time , talking about feb 09 , how they havent seen anything like it in the uk for like 30 years and that it could be another 30 before they see it again, as i was watching it on tv , the next "30 years event" was currently taken place ( and still is) beating februarys " big freeze",
Put that in ur pipe and smoke it.
:cool::cool::pac:

you are a very rude young man indeed. i will do nothing of the sort. seriously though it could of course happen again soon but it's highly unlikely:(

i certainly would fupping love if we saw winters like this more often:D

Konata

I'm going to be optimistic and believe that it'll start to warm up by Tuesday... if we all believe it can happen, it will :rolleyes:.

Huh. I wish.

Much as I love the drama of 'ooooh are we going to break a record?' etc. etc., I am so over this weather. The first bits of snow fell the day I came home for Christmas (Dec19th) and the ice/frost/snow etc. has barely stopped since. So many cancelled plans, so much boredom.

Give me rain anyday.

mike65

Please

Aidric

Mobhi1 wrote: »

Hopefully.

Are you for real? I think most people have had just about enough of this misery at this stage. It is a massive inconvenience to people trying to go about their normal lives.

Elmer Blooker

Aidric wrote: »

Are you for real? I think most people have had just about enough of this misery at this stage. It is a massive inconvenience to people trying to go about their normal lives.

I would say that 9 out of 10 people I know are loving this weather. Even an elderly neighbour of mine who was giving out about the weather said.......... "its lovely to look at in the garden":D

pauldry

That Francis bloke on Sky News Weather has indicated that the thaw will begin in some parts of Ireland on Thursday next. Reaching the UK by the weekend.

moe_sizlak

this talk of the cold spell lasting till march is pure nonesense , were that to happen , it would be of such a historical magnitude , we would not be discussing mere climate change but something closer to what denis quaid was warning about in the movie , the day after tommorrow , seriously , if this lasts untill march , we might aswell rename the country west moscow

inabina

looks like the worst (or best) is over.....and by Friday we are back to normal. Even tomorrow may turn to sleet.

nullzero

pauldry wrote: »

That Francis bloke on Sky News Weather has indicated that the thaw will begin in some parts of Ireland on Thursday next. Reaching the UK by the weekend.

I'd take Sky News's opinions with a pinch of salt(or a truckload in this weather:D).
They're usually only interested in the weather in the London area and their forecasts for Irish weather typically resemble the worst kind of guess work.

nacho libre

inabina wrote: »

Even tomorrow may turn to sleet.

on the east and south east coast it may well turn to sleet tomorrow, but probably not well inland.

ragg

moe_sizlak wrote: »

we might aswell rename the country west moscow

Better then west Britain :pac:

Queen-Mise

ragg wrote: »

Better then west Britain :pac:

very sharp... lol

pauldry

The Eagle reckons the worst is over temperature wise. I may start seeing road again in my estate by Tuesday. Then by Thursday it will be raining but cold. 5c.Then the Atlantic tries to get established again but its early to say will it win?