Staking strategy

Catenaccio!

I'm trying to come up with a new staking strategy that incorporates both my confidence in the selection and the edge I believe I have. Basically what I have is this.

In terms of confidence, I bet like this:

1 2.5
2 5
3 7.5
4 10
5 12.5
6 15
7 17.5
8 20
9 22.5
10 25

which is a max bet of 5% of my bank and a min bet of 0.5%.

In terms of edge I have something like this:

0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5

So 0.05 is a bet where the bookie has it at 1.95 and I believe it should be 2.00. 0.5 is where the bookie has it at 1.50 and I believe it should be 2.00 (unlikely, but I've included it anyways).


What's the best way to combine the two to have a decent strategy?


Thanks.

JonnyC

Catenaccio! wrote: »

I'm trying to come up with a new staking strategy that incorporates both my confidence in the selection and the edge I believe I have. Basically what I have is this.

In terms of confidence, I bet like this:

1 2.5
2 5
3 7.5
4 10
5 12.5
6 15
7 17.5
8 20
9 22.5
10 25

which is a max bet of 5% of my bank and a min bet of 0.5%.

In terms of edge I have something like this:

0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5

So 0.05 is a bet where the bookie has it at 1.95 and I believe it should be 2.00. 0.5 is where the bookie has it at 1.50 and I believe it should be 2.00 (unlikely, but I've included it anyways).


What's the best way to combine the two to have a decent strategy?


Thanks.

Why would you bet on something with a confidence of 1? Surely that makes for a stupid bit.

Catenaccio!

Well it's 1 as in the lowest in my terms. It's more of a speculative bet I think.

wireless101

would it not just be linear?

2.5=.05 edge --> 23=.5 edge and all corresponding values in between

if thats the way you want to do it like