So when will you get back in?

von Neumann

So what signs will you use, when deciding to get back into the market.

US unemployment?
US GDP?
EU GDP?
Interest rates?
Gold prices?
Bond spreads?

I am getting back in now in a very small way......darkest day before the dawn. *crosses fingers* :eek:.
Looking at dividend paying shares/funds in utlities and emerging markets.
Now for some bizzare logic, the worst possible time to invest was just before the crash, so this is a least the second worst time to invest .

heno55

as the great man himself said the time to buy is when there is blood on the floor,the stock exchange must look like a slaughterhouse at this stage

pocketdooz

When the corporate debt levels come back to about 90 - 95 - buy the indices.



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silverharp

Its not a averaging in buy and hold market , if in be prepared to dump be careful during April. If you look at 1929/30 there were some great tradable bear market rallies but it was 1932 before there was a meaningful bottom.

pocketdooz

What we are going through now is more comparable to 1974 than 1929 imo




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silverharp

pocketdooz wrote: »

What we are going through now is more comparable to 1974 than 1929 imo

Could be, I had 3 charts in front of me as a guide last year , 29 , 37 and 73. they all told the same story so I guess we will have to see which is the most applicable for this year (if any). All have their merits 37/38 is interesting as you can tie in the dot com with 29 and the commodities run up was similar to 37. 29/30 is possible due to the similar credit aspects, I'd need to look at 73 in a bit more detail but there wasnt a global banking problem but seeing below its not pretty for this year either