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Man Utd. 1.23 vs Derby

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  • 20-01-2009 7:22pm
    #1
    applehunter
    Registered Users Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭


    Im tempted to make a big bet at those odds.

    Anybody have any arguements


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    #2
    JStand
    Closed Accounts Posts: 26 ✭JStand


    He will pick a mixed side and Deby will park the bus in front of goal to protect the 1-0 lead.

    Tha said Utd will probably win but i wouldnt be lumping on big money. I never bet on cup games


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    #3
    x in the city
    Closed Accounts Posts: 7,134 ✭✭✭x in the city


    whats the value or point in that

    so you bet 1000e and win back like 1200e?


    or they draw and.......


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    #4
    applehunter
    Registered Users Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭applehunter


    My weightings

    Pros
    United at Home
    Derby are muck
    The "need" to win

    Cons
    Fergusan could field weakened team


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    #5
    applehunter
    Registered Users Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭applehunter


    Foster

    Rafael
    Evans
    Neville
    OShea

    Giggs
    Gibson
    Anderson

    Nani
    Welbeck
    Tevez

    This team is enough to take care of Derby plus more ammunition on the bench.

    Keeping stake to .5pt.


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    #6
    Bobeagleburger
    Registered Users Posts: 45,327 ✭✭✭✭Bobeagleburger


    Did united minus 2 on betfair at 6/4.

    Stake is refunded if they win by 2 only


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    #7
    applehunter
    Registered Users Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭applehunter


    whu would the stake be refunded, that makes no sense


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    #8
    cson
    Registered Users Posts: 14,430 ✭✭✭✭cson


    rarnes1 bet was an excellent bet tbf

    Otherwise, OP is home and dry if he lumped on it, Utd 3-0 up. Good shout.


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    #9
    Bobeagleburger
    Registered Users Posts: 45,327 ✭✭✭✭Bobeagleburger


    :mad:Damn Derby and that late goal

    Got the stake refunded though so not too bad.


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    #10
    Bobeagleburger
    Registered Users Posts: 45,327 ✭✭✭✭Bobeagleburger


    applehunter wrote: »
    whu would the stake be refunded, that makes no sense

    its one of the bets on the Asian handicapp


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    #11
    applehunter
    Registered Users Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭applehunter


    ok, like draw no bet.

    Had a nice bet.

    I dont back 1/4 shots as a rule btw,


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    #12
    dsmythy
    Registered Users Posts: 10,513 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    applehunter wrote: »
    ok, like draw no bet.

    Had a nice bet.

    I dont back 1/4 shots as a rule btw,

    Even if you reckon it to be more like a 1/6 shot?


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    #13
    applehunter
    Registered Users Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭applehunter


    How so?

    it was 1/6(1.17) in the books.


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    #14
    dsmythy
    Registered Users Posts: 10,513 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    applehunter wrote: »
    How so?

    it was 1/6(1.17) in the books.

    I mean in general. If you go to look at an event expecting to see a team 1/10 but you find them priced at 1/4 surely you'd have to back it?


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    #15
    applehunter
    Registered Users Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭applehunter


    ok sorry misunderstood.

    Of course.

    If I think I have an edge over the bookies you are going to try and exploit it. Although you need a big bankroll to make 1/4 shots pay


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