Man Utd. 1.23 vs Derby

applehunter

Im tempted to make a big bet at those odds.

Anybody have any arguements

JStand

He will pick a mixed side and Deby will park the bus in front of goal to protect the 1-0 lead.

Tha said Utd will probably win but i wouldnt be lumping on big money. I never bet on cup games

x in the city

whats the value or point in that

so you bet 1000e and win back like 1200e?


or they draw and.......

applehunter

My weightings

Pros
United at Home
Derby are muck
The "need" to win

Cons
Fergusan could field weakened team

applehunter

Foster

Rafael
Evans
Neville
OShea

Giggs
Gibson
Anderson

Nani
Welbeck
Tevez

This team is enough to take care of Derby plus more ammunition on the bench.

Keeping stake to .5pt.

Did united minus 2 on betfair at 6/4.

Stake is refunded if they win by 2 only

applehunter

whu would the stake be refunded, that makes no sense

cson

rarnes1 bet was an excellent bet tbf

Otherwise, OP is home and dry if he lumped on it, Utd 3-0 up. Good shout.

:mad:Damn Derby and that late goal

Got the stake refunded though so not too bad.

applehunter

applehunter wrote: »

whu would the stake be refunded, that makes no sense

its one of the bets on the Asian handicapp

applehunter

ok, like draw no bet.

Had a nice bet.

I dont back 1/4 shots as a rule btw,

dsmythy

applehunter wrote: »

ok, like draw no bet.

Had a nice bet.

I dont back 1/4 shots as a rule btw,

Even if you reckon it to be more like a 1/6 shot?

applehunter

How so?

it was 1/6(1.17) in the books.

dsmythy

applehunter wrote: »

How so?

it was 1/6(1.17) in the books.

I mean in general. If you go to look at an event expecting to see a team 1/10 but you find them priced at 1/4 surely you'd have to back it?

applehunter

ok sorry misunderstood.

Of course.

If I think I have an edge over the bookies you are going to try and exploit it. Although you need a big bankroll to make 1/4 shots pay