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McIlroy - Major win before end of 2020?

  • 03-01-2009 10:38pm
    #1
    NewApproach
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,191 ✭✭✭


    Dont know if many of you know about betting at all but what would ye reckon would be a fair price for the above to happen?


Comments

  • #2
    JCDUB
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,225 ✭✭✭JCDUB


    I'd say you'll get very short odds on that.

    He's a shoe-in for something over the next 11 years and the bookies know it.

    If I got 10/1 I'd snap it up..

    Could be wrong now, what you reckon OP??


  • #3
    Mister Sifter
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,798 ✭✭✭Mister Sifter


    Paddy Power have him at 4-1 to win one by the end of 2014 (by the time he's 25).


  • #4
    JCDUB
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,225 ✭✭✭JCDUB


    Graeme1982 wrote: »
    Paddy Power have him at 4-1 to win one by the end of 2014 (by the time he's 25).

    I had originally said 5/1 in my post above but though nah that's madness, obviously not!!

    That's madness, much better value bets available out there, no value in that at all.


  • #5
    NewApproach
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,191 ✭✭✭NewApproach


    Dont know really, but I reckon anything around the 3/1 mark would be fair enough.

    He doesn't even need to win one, just get into a challenging position on a Sunday in order for you to win money, as you could lay it off.

    Its an interesting one.


  • #6
    stockdam
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,472 ✭✭✭stockdam


    12 years is a long time to wait for a bet to materialise...........will you remember or find the slip (or will it be online with automatic pay-out)?


    4-1 is poor odds. Although Rory is a good player there are lots of things that could prevent him winning a major. Firstly he has to beat Woods in a major and that doesn't happen that often. Many good players never win a major and at this stage McIlroy is unproven.


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  • #7
    Paulusmaximus
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 391 ✭✭Paulusmaximus


    Between now and the end of 2020 there will be 48 majors. Mc Ilroy is 66/1 for the masters and the Open this year. On the basis that he will continue to improve over the next ten years, you can reasonably assume a starting price in each major of averaging 35-40/1. Based on that any price of Evens or better would be a fair price.


  • #8
    NewApproach
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,191 ✭✭✭NewApproach


    Paulusmaximus wrote: »
    Between now and the end of 2020 there will be 48 majors. Mc Ilroy is 66/1 for the masters and the Open this year. On the basis that he will continue to improve over the next ten years, you can reasonably assume a starting price in each major of averaging 35-40/1. Based on that any price of Evens or better would be a fair price.

    Would have to factor in inflation in a bet over that period of time though.


  • #9
    harmankardon
    Closed Accounts Posts: 61 ✭✭harmankardon


    that bet doesnt seem worth it at all to say the least


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