AIB Shares

littleknown

what is the outlook for 100,00euro invested in AIB shares??:o

leninbenjamin

i'll prepare the rope.

littleknown

seriously? it doesnt look good does it,what about longer term? but please dont joke of ropes....

Thoie

It really depends on what timeline you're looking at. The basic answer is "shares will go down as well as up". At the moment you need to be looking at 5 year investments (give or take). Things are in flux at the moment, so even the experts would have difficulties making that kind of decision. As each drabble of news comes out, the markets are fluctuating wildly.

If this is money you don't "need" for anything, then go ahead, but be prepared to sit on the shares for 5, 10, 15 years.

leninbenjamin

littleknown wrote: »

seriously? it doesnt look good does it,what about longer term? but please dont joke of ropes....

the rope thing was a joke.

overall though it's difficult to say, too many unknowns yet. we don't know the full scope of the guarantee, we've yet to see property bottom, the recession still has further to go... plenty of opportunities for us to see some mass defaults in the short to medium term future, which could seriously hit them hard. I would imagine though that in the long term at least, they'll bounce back. they have the market share to do so if they can weather this storm, but the amount of the rise will depend on externals (like the restructuring of the economy to make up the shortfall in construction for one, are the U.S. going to tighten up the FDI? etc.). they may never quite reach the dizzying heights they did in the housing boom. so i'm not really saying that from an educated position, just wildly speculating. so in conclusion this post is just a waste of your time.

littleknown

its not a choice im looking at making , thats where the 100,000 already is so will have to hold tight until 2020

BenjAii

IMHO, assuming the current financial situation doesn't turn utterly catastrophic, you would have to say with a 5 year plus view bank share prices should be back to at least double their current value.

Guesswork, I know; but how likely is it that the international financial situation will be as depressed as now in 5 years time or worse; only if its Great Depression II

whizzbang

eh, I may have missed something, but was this 100k invested at 20 euro a pop or 5 euro a pop?

Time Magazine

If you're thinking of investing now, do so at your own risk. Nobody here would advise buying any banks shares at the moment. They're just too risky. If you do it, you can expect a lot of volatility that will depress you and get your hopes up in stupid amounts so I'd put it in and run away for a couple of years without looking at the share price.

If you invested it a few years ago, I'm afraid it looks like you missed the boat. Sorry. If you don't need the money, I'd suggest probably holding onto them a couple of years.