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Statisticly speaking

Victor · 2008-06-15 00:18:16

Boardsies are about right http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055312508 Boardsies Yes 46.36% No 53.64% Actual result Yes 46.6% No 53.4%

15-06-2008 12:18am

#1

Victor

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Boardsies are about right http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055312508

Boardsies
Yes 46.36%
No 53.64%

Actual result
Yes 46.6%
No 53.4%

0

Comments

#2 15-06-2008 8:55am

Sherifu

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That's pretty cool.

0
#3 15-06-2008 1:08pm

Michael Collins

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That's interesting. Is one result statistically significant to make a general statement about the future accuracy of boards votes though...

I think in general if you have a random sample of the population, you only need a few hundred votes to have a good idea. That's how they knew it would probably be a "No" result after counting only a minority of ballots. The question I was wondering was whether the members of boards were a random sample. Given the average age would be a good bit less than the national average etc. Certaintly years ago I doubt it would have been but I guess we can officially say boards member are now quite random!

0
#4 15-06-2008 2:52pm

MathsManiac

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And most of us are probably too random for our own good!

0
#5 15-06-2008 5:41pm

Victor

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At 330+ votes, that is actually a high enough poll for boards.ie. In addition, its an exit poll, so it excludes some or most I don't knows / won't votes.

That said, I was surprised and suspect its an anomally.

0
#6 15-06-2008 6:24pm

Victor

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Actually. http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=56240731#post56240731

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