Ryanair chase.

meriwether

Ive done some analysis of the Ryanair, Id be interested in peoples feedback.

Ive skipped Mossbank, because I fancy him, and went looking for dangers among the principals.

1: In compliance:

-"Good appearance in 2m1f chase behind Mansony, 6L Good-Y.
Reappearance since April.

4l ahead of Racing Demon, Punchestown GC 3m1f, Good. 11L behind Neptune Collonges.
RP said 'stable horses need a run.

Won John Durkan 2m4f 2.5l ahead of War of attrition run previously, Heavy, level weights.
Won a 2m4f Yield-soft just over a month before that, uncompetitive."

--"Will he need a run before C'ham for fitness?

Started out over 2m, but that distance now too short, Ryanair d looks ideal.

Ground: has won on soft, and heavy.
-wosr ground clearly suits- a softer ground horse. Can manage Good/yielding, but not as attractive on that surface."

2: Jack the Giant.
-"Started off on Flat 8-10F.
Useless, won 1/11, a class 5.

Has raced 6 times over fences, 6 over hurdles- Versatile.
4 wins chasing, 3 wins hurdling.
When second in a good ground hurdle, Rp said he needed 'better ground'??
Then won next race, a chase 2m (1st one) on Good-Firm (not much of a race).

Won next race, chase, 2m good, class 3, again, not so hot competition.

Beat Twist Magic next chase, 2m, good-soft, equal weights, by 1.25l, however TM made a jumping mistake.

Next race- Arkle at C'ham, 6l behind MWDS, soft, 2m, receiving 5lb weight allowance for age. 1l behind Fair along, same weight.
Last at Aintree next time, 61l behind TM.
Bad jumping.

This season:
Reappearance at C'ham, hurdle, beat Roman Villa by .75l, when getting 2lb. Soft.

Next, won Ladbroke Hurdle, handicap snip.

That put him right for a 2m4.5f chase at Leicster last time, class 2, good to soft.
Beat Fundamentalist by 6l."

-- "Rated 151 over fences.

Well held over 2m fences, one race at Ryanair Distance, is 6l ahead of Fundamentalist good enough?

Handles ground, despite RP comments."

3: Master minded:
- "Nicholls, has won 1 race over 2m, Chase, ahead of ordinar looking opposition.
Good/soft, fell in pipeopener prior to that.
Need to read stable tour."

--"Cant be having 14/1 on just that performance for Ryanair, may also go for CC.
Not a possibility-yet."

4: My way de Solzen - terrible current form.

5: Our Vic.
- "What horse will turn up?
Nearly won this last year, .75l behind Taranis, second, 11l behind Kauto in KG.
Will definitely go for this, GC too long for him."

meriwether

I looked at the first few in the etting initially, aim to do more soon.

Its badly laid out aswell, in italics is descriptions of races and conditions, in bold is my judgement of said analysis.

But you get the picture.

terry mac

Mossbank has never ran well in the Spring but that might change this year as he has held his form for 3 races so maybe he has turned the corner. The one clear positive is that it seems certain he will run in the Ryanair. I'm gonna wait until Hennessy day to see if he can reproduce his Lexus form there.

Crumbs

In Compliance is out for the season. I really like the horse and I wish the owner would move him to a proper trainer.

davidjay

Surely Our vic is a moral for this race

terry mac

davidjay wrote: »

Surely Our vic is a moral for this race

This horse is liable to do anything.