Tennis - Australian Open

paulizei

I've gone for various combinations of the following tonight. €20 wagered in total. They're all either significantly better than their opponents on the hard surface or else they're rising stars like Cornet and Cilic who are somewhat underpriced.

Ram @ 11/10
Kleybanova @ 7/4
Cilic @ Evens
Cornet 2-0 @ 8/11
Delic @ 8/13
Gremelmayr @ 8/13
Safin @ 2/5

hf4z6sqo7vjngi

paulizei wrote: »

I've gone for various combinations of the following tonight. €20 wagered in total. They're all either significantly better than their opponents on the hard surface or else they're rising stars like Cornet and Cilic who are somewhat underpriced.

Ram @ 11/10 ON
Kleybanova @ 7/4
Cilic @ Evens ON
Cornet 2-0 @ 8/11 ON
Delic @ 8/13
Gremelmayr @ 8/13 ON
Safin @ 2/5 ON

On 5 of these need 4 to come up to get paid

paulizei

Good man. I think I'll pop a bit more on Cilic. His price is coming down on PP but still evens elsewhere.

hf4z6sqo7vjngi

When is the Safin match on? i have 3 results up (Ram lost) and need Safin to win something back

EDIT - Disregard just seen he won at least thats something back, damn u ram

paulizei

paulizei wrote: »

I've gone for various combinations of the following tonight. €20 wagered in total. They're all either significantly better than their opponents on the hard surface or else they're rising stars like Cornet and Cilic who are somewhat underpriced.

Ram @ 11/10 :mad:
Kleybanova @ 7/4
Cilic @ Evens
Cornet 2-0 @ 8/11
Delic @ 8/13
Gremelmayr @ 8/13
Safin @ 2/5

€130 return despite Ram losing.

paulizei

Ben Bumpy Superscript wrote: »

When is the Safin match on? i have 3 results up (Ram lost) and need Safin to win something back

Safin just finished. 3-0 win.

paulizei

Ben Bumpy Superscript wrote: »

EDIT - Disregard just seen he won at least thats something back, damn u ram

Yeah, I had him in a double with Kleybanova.

paulizei

Didn't take much tonight.

Garcia Lopez @ 4/6
Davydenko 3-0 @ 8-15
Kohlshcreiber 3-0 @ 11/10
Calleri @ 5/6
Schuettler @ 11/10

paulizei

paulizei wrote: »

Didn't take much tonight.

Garcia Lopez @ 4/6
Davydenko 3-0 @ 8-15
Kohlshcreiber 3-0 @ 11/10 Winning 2-0 but lamer opponent retired.
Calleri @ 5/6 :mad: Thrashed
Schuettler @ 11/10 :mad: Thrashed

Small loss. Much better choice of games tonight.

Ace2007

Right guys - used to be a mad tennis supported but that since died when my two fav players retired. so a couple of questions - i see that safin is 11/10 to win tonight, i saw that he won his first match 3-0 - what do you guys reckon to his chances tonight? also is this years event not on sky? or is it on eurosport or any other channel?

Thanks

-Ace-

paulizei

Yeah, Safin is on form again and Baghdatis has an injury, so I'm backing him. Cilic too. It's on eurosport I believe.

Ace2007

quick question - did an accum with a few tennis players - one of which was D Ferrer - but his opponent retired(when he was 2 sets down) - how does this affect the accum

jameshayes

I think retiring is the same as forfieting the match, you should have a win there

paulizei

Ace2007 wrote: »

quick question - did an accum with a few tennis players - one of which was D Ferrer - but his opponent retired(when he was 2 sets down) - how does this affect the accum

That match will be voided. The other games in the accum are unaffected.

jameshayes

Really? Thats a bit sh!t!

paulizei

jameshayes wrote: »

Really? Thats a bit sh!t!

Yeah I had a treble wrecked by a retirement the other night, but a few retirements have saved accumulators for me in the past.

Ace2007

yea its a pain alright - if the others all win - its €300 less that i will get back.


O and whats the deal with been only allowed to put on X amount in tennis - example i wanted to put a bit on safin at 11/10 to win his match this morning - but the max bet was only 250.46 - luckly for me i know - but why couldn't i have put more on.

Thanks

-Ace-

paulizei

Ace2007 wrote: »

yea its a pain alright - if the others all win - its €300 less that i will get back.


O and whats the deal with been only allowed to put on X amount in tennis - example i wanted to put a bit on safin at 11/10 to win his match this morning - but the max bet was only 250.46 - luckly for me i know - but why couldn't i have put more on.

Thanks

-Ace-

Yeah Safin cost me a bit last night, he looked awesome in the 3rd and 4th but couldn't keep it up. I have no idea why that limit thing happens. I get it sometimes too.

Ace2007

so of all the favourites who is going to screw up tonights.

Ace2007

turns out it was Mauresmo who was 1-9 to win....

paulizei

Tonight's main games

Singles and a treble.
====
Makarova @ 11/4. Young star. Petrova unfit and out of form.
Cilic @ 18/10. Young star. Gonzalez in decline.
Ferrer under 29.5 @ 5/6. Spadea not in the same league.

Treble
====
Makarova + 5.5 @ 4/5
Cilic + 3.5
Ferrer 3-0 @ 1/2

=====
Others.
=====
Nalbandian @ 1/2
Monaco v Berdych Over 36.5 @ 5/6
Radwanska v Kuznetsova Over 20.5 @ 5/6
Kirilenko + 4.5 @ 8/11
Domachowska + 5.5 @ 5/6
Federer v Tipsarevic under 29.5
Djokovic v Querrey under 32.5

paulizei

Kirilenko is hawt.

paulizei

Well that Federer under was the most wrongest bet ever. :eek:

paulizei

paulizei wrote: »

Tonight's main games

Singles and a treble.
====
Makarova @ 11/4. Young star. Petrova unfit and out of form. :mad:
Cilic @ 18/10. Young star. Gonzalez in decline.
Ferrer under 29.5 @ 5/6. Spadea not in the same league.

Treble
====
Makarova + 5.5 @ 4/5 :mad: (by 1 game)
Cilic + 3.5
Ferrer 3-0 @ 1/2

=====
Others.
=====
Nalbandian @ 1/2 :mad:
Monaco v Berdych Over 36.5 @ 5/6
Radwanska v Kuznetsova Over 20.5 @ 5/6 :mad:
Kirilenko + 4.5 @ 8/11
Domachowska + 5.5 @ 5/6
Federer v Tipsarevic under 29.5 :mad:
Djokovic v Querrey under 32.5

Not bad apart from Makarova choking.

Jankovic v Dellacqua soon. I'm on Dellacqua +4.5, and a bit on the win @ 3/1. She played some great stuff against Mauresmo and Jankovic is a bit ill.

Petrova's rubbish and Radwanska will take her in the next round, win @ Evens and straight sets @ 9/4. I've taken both before the price falls.

paulizei

Dellacqua ballsed it up, cracking start but ended up 2 games short of the handicap. Oops.

The price on Radwanska has plummeted unsurprisingly.

I've also taken Kirilenko and Cilic @ 7/5 and 6/5.

paulizei

Radwanska played poorly but won probably due to Petrova's lack of fitness, so I'm backing Hantuchova to beat her tonight @ 10/11. Hantuchova came from 1 set and a break down to beat Kirilenko who has been very impressive. Blake had a good day and twatted Cilic easily unfortunately.

Xavi6

My man for the tournament Djokovic is still going strong. Looked good against Hewitt tonight.

Nadal still has the easiest draw though.

paulizei

I am expecting Youzhny to beat Nadal in the next round if they both win tonight. Nadal hasn't been tested at all, he's not as good on hardcourts as he is on clay where the pace is slower and suits his game, while Youzhny is in great form, has a cracking serve and battered Nadal 6-0 6-1 a couple of weeks ago. Nadal will be favourite because of his ranking and reputation, so hopefully the odds on Youzhny will be over generous.

Like I said, they both have to win tonight first though of course.

k101

whats nadals record like against youzhny the other times they have met before the last time?

Crumbs

k101 wrote: »

whats nadals record like against youzhny the other times they have met before the last time?

Nadal is 6-4 overall against Youzhny, including winning a 5-setter here three years ago. However, Youzhny is 4-2 on hard courts. I've been on Youzhny since the start of the tournament and he looks to have a big chance of making the final.

Some good picks in this thread Paulizei, well done!

paulizei

k101 wrote: »

whats nadals record like against youzhny the other times they have met before the last time?

They've played 10 times, Nadal has won 6. Gotta see what happens tonight first. He should beat Nieminen comfortably anyway. Tsonga is playing well, tough serve to break and tie breaker possibilities so I dunno what to do there.

e2a: Mr.Crumbs got there first.

paulizei

Crumbs wrote: »

Some good picks in this thread Paulizei, well done!

Thanks, I'm going for Sharapova to win the title. She just slaughtered Henin in a fantastic game. The way she's been playing, I can't see any of the others left in it doing anything against her.

paulizei

Sharapova to beat Jankovic 2-0 is 8/11 on boylesports. It looks like a bargain imo, and I expect it to drop. Jankovic has various injuries and beat Serena Williams who was suffering from a bloody big blister on her foot. Sharapova has just been awesome.

paulizei

Radwanska seems to be the slight favourite in the game with Hantuchova but I've backed the good looking slovak lady already and it's too late to do anything about it.

I've gone for Sharapova @ 8/11 to win outright. Not great value but there's no one to stop her now imo.

Tsonga was great today, the eurosport commentators wre talking him up as a potential winner of the tournament. I'm undecided so far.

paulizei

paulizei wrote: »

Radwanska seems to be the slight favourite in the game with Hantuchova but I've backed the good looking slovak lady already and it's too late to do anything about it.

I needn't have worried, Hantuchova mashed her good and proper, no problem at all.

Unless he falls ill, I expect Federer to beat Blake 3-0 and have gone for Under 34.5 games @ 4/5 on boylesports. Blake has lost all 7 previous meetings and has only won 1 set.

--
35 games. He threw away a service game in the last set ffs. He's playing below par and I fancy Djokovic's chances to at least cover the handicap.

paulizei

Ok so, Sharapova battered Jankovic as expected, big win for me there. Jankovic should have retired as she is quite badly injured but she kept going bless her.

Hantuchova was kicking Ivanovic all over the court but made too many mistakes and was the victim of a weird decision by the ref at a key moment. Ivanovic is good when on form but she's been very shoddy and should get thoroughly mashed by Sharapova who has been ruthless apart from too many double faults. I'm happier to see Ivanovic in the final as Hantuchova was playing some great stuff and could have been a threat. I already backed Sharapova for the title @ 8/11 so in addition I'm going to go for either the handicap or under 21.5 games. I will probably do a small insurance bet on Ivanovic but I doubt that she'll win more than 4 games.

Tsonga played a stormer against Nadal which I guess most have heard about. Incredible stuff really. Federer hasn't been as flawless as usual so Djokovic has a good chance to beat him, but I might prefer the overs market there. I can see it going to 5 sets. I'd like to see a Tsonga v Federer final though.

Xavi6

Xavi6 wrote: »

My man for the tournament Djokovic is still going strong.

And still going strong......

paulizei

Ivanovic played better than I thought she would but it was still a good win for Sharapova and me.