Irish Racing - All Is Not As It Seems?

cson

Thurles today;
12:35 20/1 winner, 6/4 Fav 3rd
1:05 6/1 winner, 15/8 Fav nowhere
1:35 5/1 winner, 11/4 Fav nowhere
2:05 10/3 winner, 6/4 Fav 2nd
2:35 11/2 winner, 1/1 Fav 3rd
3:05 33/1 winner, 11/4 Fav 4th
3:35 11/2 winner, 7/4 Fav 3rd

I have to say I find it incredible that not one favourite won today, and all of them were short prices. It's not the first time I've noticed something like this either. I guess the bookies are getting it very wrong or else someone knows something I don't.

I packed in betting on Irish racing during the summer and now look at Britain solely but tbh I'm thinking of packing in backing the nags altogether and just sticking with the footie.

snowydot

More like the bookies are getting it right with the short priced fav's being turned over!!

cson

In a complete turnaround to when I wrote this thread, 6 out 7 races yesterday in Thurles were won by fav's.

All is not as it seems!

snowydot

I find Irish Form is very hard to read at lower levels. The sheer number of horses and the balloting system doesn't help.

badbrian

I don't like betting on a lot of Irish Racing because I find in bigger fields, particularly handicaps, the over-round (margin) is just way too big. Of course BF takes a bit of this but this doesn't help me when i want to back in the bookies.

johnnysmurfman

So what? Some days most of the favs win. Just being the fav doesn't confer an automatic right to win, sometimes it's better to look at the form before looking at the market and by reading the OP it seems the poster is backing prices and not horses. Ever thought of pricing up a race yourself after reading the declarations and the form only? Try it and see. I've done it before and ended up deciding that horse "A" should be favourite and noticed he opened up at 10/1, backed him, and watched him win.

BangBeater

johnnysmurfman wrote: »

So what? Some days most of the favs win. Just being the fav doesn't confer an automatic right to win, sometimes it's better to look at the form before looking at the market and by reading the OP it seems the poster is backing prices and not horses. Ever thought of pricing up a race yourself after reading the declarations and the form only? Try it and see. I've done it before and ended up deciding that horse "A" should be favourite and noticed he opened up at 10/1, backed him, and watched him win.

Here, here.

Collie D

Obvioulsy form is a better indicator than price but I'm sure I'm not the only one who has strolled into a bookies and stuck a small bet on a horse whose price is shrinking and watched it win