Felix (6)

sirpsycho

Potential to be the next named storm?

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=767&tstamp=200708

rc28

Apparently there's a number of systems that could develop into something more potent according to this;
http://www.accuweather.com/news-top-headline.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0

Snowbie

Looks like the lesser antilles will encounter more windy weather in a couple of days.A similar path to Dean looks likely through the Carribean sea for now.

Trogdor

Now tropical depression 6, soon to become TS Felix. not as strong as Dean, but looks like a direct hit for Dapper this time :eek:. Stay tuned to your musical caribbean forecasts:p Must be getting breezy already in Grenada;)
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/312049.shtml?

Snowbie

Centre of circulation passed over Grenada and now should develop slow to minimal hurricane.I go for a strong Cat2 with this as there is a lot of land interaction from S America from its southern Carribean sea journey.

Yucatan,but most likely Belize in the firing line.

sirpsycho

Hurricane by the morning?

fatherdougalmag

Where is BillyTheSquid these days

Snowbie

This hurricane is strenghtening rapidly.Now a cat2 with sustained winds of over 100mph.

Snowbie

Up to a cat3 now after a eyewall replacement earlier today.Storm just moved north of Aruba with only gusty winds but torrential rain.

rc28

Felix is now a cat 4 and could become a cat5 overnight.

billy the squid

sirpsycho wrote:

Hurricane by the morning?

Did you think it would be Cat 4 in 24 hours

[Where is BillyTheSquid these days

I'm around.

sirpsycho

That must be a record to get to Cat4? Maybe a record in reaching Cat5 in the morning... :eek:

Snowbie

Katrina holds that record in reaching cat5 in under 24hrs when leaving Florida.
Its still super quick though as i thought interaction with the coastline would hamper and slow the development.

After the eyewall replacment it has exploded into another Monster.

billy the squid

This will be the last ever hurricane felix. Category five with 165 mph sustained winds.

Big Tone

Hurricane Felix began a rapid intensification cycle Sunday afternoon and reached category 5 status by 8pm Sunday evening (Eastern time) and is still strengthening with a current central pressure of 930 millibars. Top winds increased to 165 mph with gusts possibly as high as 200 mph. A NOAA airplane investigating Hurricane Felix encountered extreme turbulence and graupel (soft hail) forcing the mission to be cut short.

Hurricane Felix passed north of Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao Sunday afternoon. The A,B,C Islands were spared any strong winds thanks to the compact nature of Felix's wind core, but heavy, locally flooding rain and some coastal flooding from 12-to-16-foot waves pounded the islands. Conditions should be greatly improved Monday.

In the coming days, Felix will bring large waves to the southern coasts of Jamaica and Grand Cayman Island. A tropical storm watch is in effect for these islands. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the next 36 hours.

A hurricane watch is now in effect for part of the coast of Honduras, from Limon to the Nicaragua border. A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the next 36 hours.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, a tropical wave is located about halfway between the Lesser Antilles and Africa. It is moving to the westard around 10 to 15 miles per hour. Any development will be very slow to occur.

rc28

Felix has weakened considerably after it went through an EWRC and it's eye is now cloud filled, It might have time to strengthen before it reaches honduras though.

Snowbie

rc28 wrote:

Felix has weakened considerably after it went through an EWRC and it's eye is now cloud filled, It might have time to strenghten gain before it reaches honduras though.

Cat5's dont hold out strength for too long anyhow.Should be still a powerful hurricane at landfall.

sirpsycho

up to Cat4 155mph winds now.

ninebeanrows

Just about to make landfall as a Cat 5 Hurricane

Honduras and Nicaragua are going to be devastated by this storm.

Sustained 160mph winds :eek:

Snowbie

Christ lets hope its not another hurricane Mitch.22,000 people died from that storm when it hit the same area.Infrastructure has not recovered since then.1998 was the year it happened.

maquiladora

Hurricane Dean came ashore just last month as a Category 5 storm, and Felix's landfall now marks the first time that two Category 5 hurricanes have hit land in the same season since 1886, according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

rc28

maquiladora wrote:

Hurricane Dean came ashore just last month as a Category 5 storm, and Felix's landfall now marks the first time that two Category 5 hurricanes have hit land in the same season since 1886, according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Somebody on netweather said this;
"As far as i know tha 1886 claim is wrong. Unless there have been updates from the database team at the NHC, no Category 5's have been positivley identified before 1928"

Snowbie

Technology would'nt of being around to class a hurricane speed or intensity before 1928.Best guess technology in them days.

Off topic a tad,How do you class a devastating cat5 hurricane,by cost damage or death toll and/or both.Obviously if Mitch hit the US,death toll would have been lower but cost much higher.

http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/reports/mitch/mitch.html

If Felix or Dean hit the US the impact would have been much worse on cost as i think Katrina was a wake up call for most to evacuate.Unfortunately in the C.American countries,where do you go?Surrounded by mountainous terrains through those areas.Unless you have a few bob you can fly out of harms way but most havin got a shillin and have to wait it out.
Again hope this is not a Mitch on a still recovering country from that storm.