AA - $50nl

RoadSweeper

Villian
is 18.2/13.4
Aggession PF/Flop/River: 2.4/1.2/1.7

Over 125 hands

Seems solid and havent noticed him out of line, i havent got involved with him before, and would probally see me as solid TAG


Noble Poker "TURBO" Warren Park 0.25/0.50, hand converted by the iPoker Converter at Talking-Poker

saw flop | saw showdown

Button mucho23 ($56.75)
SB Slots777 ($140.20)
BB thelionlady ($12.40)
UTG Hero ($68.67)
UTG+1 loursbrun ($12.35)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
Hero raises to 2, 2 folds, Slots777 calls 1.75, 1 fold.

Flop (4.50) J K 2
Slots777 checks, Hero bets 4, Slots777 calls 4.

Turn (12.50) 3
Slots777 checks, Hero bets 10, Slots777 raises to 30,


Comments please? Is this an easy fold?

dvdfan

On a dryer board im probably folding but theres too many draws there and he could well be doing this with a combo draw here like QTs, i think id push here but i dont mind folding either if you feel he wouldnt do this with a draw.

insafehands

Surely we don't mind getting it in here versus top pair/nut flush/straight draw for eg?

RoadSweeper

insafehands wrote:

Surely we don't mind getting it in here versus top pair/nut flush/straight draw for eg?

I dont see him having just top pair.

I'm not sure on it, but i'd imagine he would only commit himself with a monster draw like QTd.

Obv i can put him on that hand specifically but i dont see him raising the turn with just a straight or flush draw. But then again i havent that much info on him.

dvdfan

Yeah hes pretty committed to the hand and i dont see him doing it with any thing less than a combo draw giving hes stats which are pretty passive and theres lots of hands that fit in this range Kxs,Jxs,QTs,AQs,2xs,3xs. I expect someone that plays the nut flush or straight draw this aggressive to have a higher agression factor but i still think theres enough combo draws out there for him to make this move and im leaning towards calling being slightly +EV here but i still think its marginal because hes going to outdraw you alot and hes going to be ahead sometimes.

RoadSweeper

I take it you push the turn!


Would two pair play this way?

dvdfan

RoadSweeper wrote:

I take it you push the turn!


Would two pair play this way?

Yeah always a push if he misses hell just fold the river, i expect 2 pair and a set to be played very similar, he sees alot of draws and wants to protect, sometimes youd see both the sets/2pairs and combo draws pushed here too so i think you can only speculate which makes it a horrible spot, maybe someone can do an EV calculation im not so good at them but i think it would be close