Dublin Tallies

Hippo

Just to start the ball rolling, looks in Dublin South East like Andrews, Creighton & Quinn in that order, with the last seat between Gormley and McDowell. And at the risk I know of upsetting lots of Boardsies, McDowell appears to be in serious trouble, almost no votes from Rathmines.....:D

Sully

Hey Hip;

http://www-srv-3.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055097905

Hippo

Was merely responding to the request to start a dublin tallies thread....

murphaph

Dublin south

FF 41.9
FG 27.58
LAB 10.32
GREEN 11.6
SF3

Didn't catch the PD but Liz is in trouble

murphaph

Ff 29
Fg 19
Lab 16
Pd 14
Gp 14
Sf 4
Ind 4

eirebhoy

Dublin South East:

Chris Andrews (FF) - 6224
Lucinda Creighton (FG) - 6108
Ruairí Quinn (Lab) - 5371
John Gormley (Green) - 4501
Michael McDowell (PDs) - 4336
Jim O'Callaghan (FF) - 3076
Daithí Doolan (SF) - 1456
Rory Hearne (Ind) - 566
Esther Uzell (Ind) - 534
Eoin Tierney (Ind) - 133
Noel Ivory (Ind) - 81
Peter O'Sullivan (Ind) - 39
Noel O'Gara (Ind) - 25

_blank_

R. Quinn is doing quite well there.

Crash

I'd love to know what 25 feckers voted for O'Gara.

murphaph

eirebhoy wrote:

Dublin South East:
Esther Uzell (Ind) - 534

Does she have something to do with that chap that was shot by the IRA?

seamus

murphaph wrote:

Does she have something to do with that chap that was shot by the IRA?

Yep, her campaign was largely based on that, he's her brother afair.

Colonel Sanders

murphaph wrote:

Does she have something to do with that chap that was shot by the IRA?

she's running on an ante SF card to high light her brothers murder.

eirebhoy

murphaph wrote:

Does she have something to do with that chap that was shot by the IRA?

His sister. She claims he was shot by the IRA. The guy that got him shot has nothing to do with the IRA. His mother lives over in Dorset st. and her boyfriend has links to Sinn Fein. Someone was most likely paid to shoot him. I read in the Sunday Independent a couple of weeks ago that 11 IRA members were arrested over the murder. What a load of rubbish. Most of them were 18-21 year olds from the flats.

murphaph

Cheers, I thought the name rang a bell.

Jonny Arson

Dublin North East

Martin Brady (FF) 20%
Michael Woods (FF) 19%
Tommy Broughan (Lab) 16%
Larry O'Toole (SF) 15%
Terence Flanagan (FG) 13%
Brody Sweeney (FG) 10%
David Healy (GP) 7%

Don't ask me how on earth Fianna Fáil have held their same percentage from 2002 after both TD doing sweet FA for 5 years but there you go. FF will take 1 seat, Tommy Broughan will take the 2nd on transfers and last between FF/FG. The fact FF have split their vote and FG increasing by 8% may see Terence Flanagan steal this seat. It will be almighty close.

Mrs_Doyle

Dublin North West

2 Seats have gone to Fianna Fail and the Labour and Sinn Fein are battling it out for the third seat.

jjbrien

other tread already running on this http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055097905

Gumbyman

Jonny Arson wrote:

Don't ask me how on earth Fianna Fáil have held their same percentage from 2002 after both TD doing sweet FA for 5 years but there you go.

Well they must have been doing something and they must have been doing it right judging by those percentages. People are not stupid.*

Gumby.

* Depending on the final results I reserve the right to retract this statement:D

BMH

eirebhoy wrote:

His sister. She claims he was shot by the IRA. The guy that got him shot has nothing to do with the IRA. His mother lives over in Dorset st. and her boyfriend has links to Sinn Fein. Someone was most likely paid to shoot him. I read in the Sunday Independent a couple of weeks ago that 11 IRA members were arrested over the murder. What a load of rubbish. Most of them were 18-21 year olds from the flats.

Umm, didn't she go to some SF scumbag who as good as said he'd call off the people threating her brother and some days later he was killed?

Colonel Sanders

there was also a story that her sister was threatened by thugs while trying to canvas a few days ago. Thank God SF are showing no sign of gaining more than 1 or 2 seats.

Jonny Arson

Gumbyman wrote:

Well they must have been doing something and they must have been doing it right judging by those percentages. People are not stupid.*

Gumby.

* Depending on the final results I reserve the right to retract this statement:D

Well in the case of Brady he has been a little active (not a fraction of the work of Tommy Broughan) but Woods has literally sat on his arse for 5 years so hopefully Brady takes the FF seat and Flanagan takes the 3rd seat for FG.

KevIRL

Richard Boyd-Barrett looking possible in Dun Laoighre

monkeyfudge

It's looking something like this in North Central:

Richard Bruton FG 25.5%
Sean Haughey FF 24.64%
Ivor Callely FF 19.34%
Finian McGrath IND 14.22%
Derek McDowell LAB 7.2%
Bronwen Maher GP 5.2%
Peter Lawlor SF 3.78%

It's not looking good for McGrath... I was hoping he'd be able to knock Callely out of it.

crybaby

How the hell are Brady and Woods going to hold onto those seats?

Im shocked that O'Toole is ahead of Flanagan and Sweeney didnt realise my area had that much Sinn Fein support

fairly bad outcome for McDowell (Lab) aswell

eirebhoy

BMH wrote:

Umm, didn't she go to some SF scumbag who as good as said he'd call off the people threating her brother and some days later he was killed?

Who Daithi Doolin? She went to him when they got threats and he said he'd make enquiries. After he made the enquiries he told her he knows nothing of it and it has nothing to do with Sinn Fein. He certainly never said he'd get them to call it off. Recently Esther showed him a photo of the boyfriend of the mother (with alleged links to Sinn Fein) and he said he didn't recognise him.

Colonel Sanders wrote:

there was also a story that her sister was threatened by thugs while trying to canvas a few days ago. Thank God SF are showing no sign of gaining more than 1 or 2 seats.

Yeah, they're thugs from the flats 2 minutes from my house. What have they got to do with Sinn Fein? Don't believe the rubbish you read in the papers. They also threatened Paul Williams when he was in Esther's house. Ask him and he'll tell you they're nothing more than thugs.

btw - I voted for Chris Andrews because I know him well. I just know too much about the Rafferty murder to let people blame it all on Sinn Fein/IRA.

_blank_

monkeyfudge wrote:

It's looking something like this in North Central:

Richard Bruton FG 25.5%
Sean Haughey FF 24.64%
Ivor Callely FF 19.34%
Finian McGrath IND 14.22%
Derek McDowell LAB 7.2%
Bronwen Maher GP 5.2%
Peter Lawlor SF 3.78%

It's not looking good for McGrath... I was hoping he'd be able to knock Callely out of it.

Yeah, by the looks of it Callely will get elected on transfers form Haughey.

McGrath's problem is the fact that he's a Shinner in all but name, and a lot of people felt that he lied to them last time out, that's where he's losing ground.

Marshy

KevIRL wrote:

Richard Boyd-Barrett looking possible in Dun Laoighre

Really hope ciaran cuffe edges him out

KevIRL

Marshy wrote:

Really hope ciaran cuffe edges him out

likewise

Colonel Sanders

anyone with the latest from Dublin SE?

Colonel Sanders

eirebhoy wrote:

Yeah, they're thugs from the flats 2 minutes from my house. What have they got to do with Sinn Fein?

Obviously not an official source, the same newspaper source, but her sister was quoted as being told to 'f*ck off' that is was SF territory and the thugs claimed to be SF supporters. Fair point about not believing everything in papers but I don't find this very easy to believe.

MementoMori

Any word on Dublin Central?

Only info I have is the RTE tally numbers and word that Mary Lou McDonald is polling badly (Hurrah!)

Extraordinary that Bertie doesn't look like he was able to get a second candidate in, but given the way the FF campaign in this constituency was run -

14:06 Dublin Central, 70% Boxes Open, FF 45%, FG 10%, LAB 12%, PD 1%, GP 6%, SF 9%, IND 17%, CSP 1%, Prediction FF-1; IND-1; SF/FG/LAB- last 2

eirebhoy

Colonel Sanders wrote:

Obviously not an official source, the same newspaper source, but her sister was quoted as being told to 'f*ck off' that is was SF territory and the thugs claimed to be SF supporters. Fair point about not believing everything in papers but I don't find this very easy to believe.

If you want me to PM the whole story with names I will do. I know for a fact that these thugs from the flats have absolutely nothing to do with Sinn Fein/IRA. The piece on the SIndo about 11 IRA members being arrested was absolutely laughable.

Voipjunkie

monkeyfudge wrote:

It's looking something like this in North Central:

Richard Bruton FG 25.5%
Sean Haughey FF 24.64%
Ivor Callely FF 19.34%
Finian McGrath IND 14.22%
Derek McDowell LAB 7.2%
Bronwen Maher GP 5.2%
Peter Lawlor SF 3.78%

It's not looking good for McGrath... I was hoping he'd be able to knock Callely out of it.

Disagree Haughey has no surplus for Callely and there is 16% of lower candidates to be distributed which should favour Mcgrath who is only 5% behind Callely.
I would be surprised if Callely took enough of Green labour and shinner votes to get him to the quota

Voipjunkie

seansouth wrote:

Yeah, by the looks of it Callely will get elected on transfers form Haughey.

McGrath's problem is the fact that he's a Shinner in all but name, and a lot of people felt that he lied to them last time out, that's where he's losing ground.

Its a 3 seater haughey will not have a surplus

And McGraths vote is well up on his vote in 2002

Marshy

Pat Rabitte seems utterly deflated despite being elected

Money Shot

Voipjunkie wrote:

Disagree Haughey has no surplus for Callely and there is 16% of lower candidates to be distributed which should favour Mcgrath who is only 5% behind Callely.
I would be surprised if Callely took enough of Green labour and shinner votes to get him to the quota

Please god let your analysis be correct - I want to believe it so much... Callely going, Mary Lou not getting in, Sean Crowe out, McDowell and co. going would provide some comfort for me in what has otherwise been a tragedy of a day.

mwrf

Marshy wrote:

Pat Rabitte seems utterly deflated despite being elected

he does. not happy.

MementoMori

McGrath looked pretty happy when on RTE earlier - cant see Callely getting many transfers at all

JC 2K3

KevIRL wrote:

likewise

+1

Marshy

Boyd barrett has the iniative. Cuffe will need to get the vast majority of the FG transfers to overtake him.

Marshy

Cuffe made it quite easily in the end. So that makes 6 seats for the greens in total I think. But will they go with FF?

JC 2K3

Phew, I thought Boyd Barrett was going to get in for a while, now that'd be odd.

C'mon FF-Greens!