2 CRAI hands....massive overbet....who's calling?

Macspower

first hand:

Villan has only come to the table about 3 orbits ago. He bought in for 50 and so far over only 20 hands his stats are 65/0/20...... he has made 2 moves so far and both of them were a CRAI on the flop with a flush draw. He won the first one against TPTK and he won the second one with 5h7h in a 3 bet pot where I made it 7.. and got 3 bet to 30 by a TAG . i folded he called and CRAI on a 2 heart flop against top set and hit..... hence his stack...

According to my read he's on the same move again but he could also have the nuts.... My Q is if I'm right and he is flushing (he thinks it's the nuts) should I call as I've only invested 22 so far..... I know it's the wrong way to look at it but I'm thinking fold because of the bad run I'm on lately..... thinking of trying to reduce variance? Anyway results later



czyU is at seat 0 with $278.10.
InYourAce is at seat 1 with $197.
reXne is at seat 2 with $202.05.
_.tony._ is at seat 3 with $114.25.
Macspower is at seat 4 with $275.65.
superboy1975 is at seat 5 with $203.65.

The dealer is seat 1.

reXne posts a blind of $1.
_.tony._ posts a blind of $2.

(Macspower is dealt Ac Kc.)

Pre-flop:
Macspower raises $5.
superboy1975 calls for $7.
czyU folds.
InYourAce folds.
reXne folds.
_.tony._ calls for $5.

The flop comes
Kd Qs Ad.

_.tony._ checks.
Macspower bets $15.
superboy1975 goes all-in for $196.65.

---

second hand...

Villan is a good player and regular winner.. stats 20/15/3.1/78/1532




nikthegun is at seat 0 with $160.68.
InYourAce is at seat 1 with $308.49.
reXne is at seat 2 with $209.80.
_.tony._ is at seat 3 with $127.44.
Macspower is at seat 4 with $188.80.
superboy1975 is at seat 5 with $195.65.

The dealer is seat 3.

Macspower posts a blind of $1.
superboy1975 posts a blind of $2.

(Macspower is dealt Kd Ac.)

Pre-flop:
nikthegun folds.
InYourAce folds.
reXne raises $5 (to 7)
_.tony._ folds.
Macspower raises $16 (to 23).
superboy1975 folds.
reXne calls for $16.

The flop comes
Kh 6s 10c.

Macspower bets $35.
reXne goes all in for €186.80

valor

#1 is such an easy call
#2 is too

cardshark202

1 is a super easy call
2 since villain is supposedly good this is much closer but I still call cos he seems quite aggressive.

HiCloy

The first one I call

The second one I'm not as sure - his play looks a lot like what many players do with AA. Probably still call tho as I'm a station

phantom_lord

without doubt call the first one.
prob call the second one too.

Chucky the tree

Why only raise too $5 in the first hand but re-raise too $23 in the 2nd one with a (slightly)worse hand?

Macspower

Anyway my poor variance continues...... I called the first hand after telling the stupid angel on my shoulder to shut up....... my read was right...... I'm glad of that anyway..

czyU is at seat 0 with $278.10.
InYourAce is at seat 1 with $197.
reXne is at seat 2 with $202.05.
_.tony._ is at seat 3 with $114.25.
Macspower is at seat 4 with $275.65.
superboy1975 is at seat 5 with $203.65.

The dealer is seat 1.

reXne posts a blind of $1.
_.tony._ posts a blind of $2.

(Macspower is dealt Ac Kc.)

Pre-flop:
Macspower raises $5.
superboy1975 calls for $7.
czyU folds.
InYourAce folds.
reXne folds.
_.tony._ calls for $5.

The flop comes
Kd Qs Ad.

_.tony._ checks.
Macspower bets $15.
superboy1975 goes all-in for $196.65.
Macspower calls for €181.65

Showdown
Macspower shows [Ac Kc]
superboy1975 shows [9d Qd]

The turn comes [5h]

The river comes [Qh]

Board shows : [Kd Qs Ad 5h Qh]
superboy1975 collects $412.30 with three of a kind

---

Second hand was more difficult all right.... after a bit of deliberating and considering my opponent I folded.

Chat started between him and another player in the chat box and he was asked if he had AA and he said that he had 10 10 ... but I wouldn't mind this much....

thanks for input guys

Mac

Macspower

Chucky the tree wrote:

Why only raise too $5 in the first hand but re-raise too $23 in the 2nd one with a (slightly)worse hand?

The way everest poker write the HH's is a little confusing... In the first hand I raised "by" 5 to 7 ( I included this in brackets in the second hand) I was first into the pot and this is my normal opening raise.

In the second hand it was a 3 bet.. I was RR the original raiser hence the larger bet...

hope this clears it up a bit

Chucky the tree

ah right. Thank you.

Sirtoyou

the first is an easy call against what seems a fish
the second is marginal i think ull be shown a set a lot here

Hectorjelly

I dont think the 2nd is marginal at all, you will always be shown at least AK there.

RoundTower

Sirtoyou wrote:

the first is an easy call against what seems a fish
the second is marginal i think ull be shown a set a lot here

I agree, I expect a flush draw in the first one but how can he have a draw in the second one? JQ is not likely, and it's not exactly a huge overbet it's a little more than the pot.

ianmc38

I think 1 is a really easy call and 2 is a pretty easy fold.

Mr.Plough

1 - insta call

2 - meh, read dependant for me. could see myself folding half the time

Ste05

1: as everyone has said, insta call
2: More tricky, the board is fairly dry, it fits in with our raising range and this guy is still willing to tank it in, I think if he's as good as you say and is a thinking player, (with decent stats over a largish sample) I think this is a fold, unless history tells me differently.