How does El Nino affect our weather?

fatherdougalmag

http://www.rte.ie/news/2006/0914/elnino.html

Snowbie

But what can we expect for Europe or Ireland during el nino.Are we affected from this? Cant remember the last one.

Hal1

Snowbie wrote:

But what can we expect for Europe or Ireland during el nino.Are we affected from this? Cant remember the last one.

Rain, drizzly rain and overcast skies like we always get. :mad:

Expect a mild wet winter so,as usually thats what we get over here with a pacific sea warming.

It's also probably why the Atlantic hurricane season has been so much quieter than last year (when it was cough originally expected to be worse/same) though ,the impact is said to be small.

http://english.people.com.cn/200609/14/eng20060914_302608.html

Snowbie

Hal1 wrote:

Rain, drizzly rain and overcast skies like we always get. :mad:

Ah the usual then,nothing new there then.:(

Snowbie

Tristrame wrote:

Expect a mild wet winter so,as usually thats what we get over here with a pacific sea warming.

It's also probably why the Atlantic hurricane season has been so much quieter than last year (when it was cough originally expected to be worse/same) though ,the impact is said to be small.

http://english.people.com.cn/200609/...14_302608.html

Is that evident in previous el nino years.As we do receive mild winters albeit it dry for the last few.
So in summary it is mild and wet this time round?
With N america(continent) receiving milder than avg winters i thought the opposite happens in W europe.
Whats the clock on el nino in years,it is said it is 7 or so years i think but yet it is the first time i have heard of this this time round,or is it when the Pacific starts to warm they classify it as now.

Well with the LRF to saying an avg Winter i still think it might be a snowy one myself with the SST being higher in the very N Atlantic,perfect for polar low formation in a Northerly blast.Again my theory.

Hal1

CNN says this about el nino. The last one was in '93 and lasted into '94, but scientists expect this time around will be more severe affecting north and south america and other countries around the pacific ocean. It will cause some climate change during the el nino period by switching their weather patterns, from what i have read.

ninebeanrows

and poo hits the roof when you sit on the toilet.

The El NINO will have absolutely NO affect on the climate in Ireland
and Britain as we are miles and miles and miles away.

The fact is that we live in a mild oceanic climate area. Variations of temperature
during winter and summer occur with extremes and average periods. Some years
are warmer than others some are colder. There at this stage in History
is no discernable link between warm water in the east pacific and winters over
Europe and that is fact.

Supercell

Indeed, El Nino often means more extreme global weather, but no hot or cold signature here*

Also we are at sunspot minimum, this winter has loads of potential (if you are a cold lover) if you are a believer in the Sunspot cycle and weather theory.

*However ..it does tend to lead towards extremes here, we might get a very cold or a very mild winter..but less likely to be a "normal" winter.

Personally I reckon this winter could be rather interesting, El Nino AND sunspot minimum..bring it on!!

I associate el ninos with increased atlantic activity and ergo more westerlies/south westerlies wind and rain in the winter.
Certainly the big el nino from a few years ago came cheek by jar with a mild very wet winter here.


@ weathercheck El nino's do (according to an interesting BBC 4 horizon documentary,I saw recently) impact sea temps globally and yes also the North Atlantic.

Snowbie

Longfield wrote:

Personally I reckon this winter could be rather interesting, El Nino AND sunspot minimum..bring it on!!

I agree.

Tristrame wrote:

@ weathercheck El nino's do (according to an interesting BBC 4 horizon documentary,I saw recently) impact sea temps globally and yes also the North Atlantic.

Also do agree.If you get a northerly or greenland NW blast over a predicted 1c warmer than avg waters between Iceland and Ireland its condusive to the formation of Polar lows.Think of it bitter cold north origin winds over a warmer than normal N atlantic ocean will create instability which in turn will create surface lows and will pep up into a nice Polar low,it could get interesting.Ingredients will be right,but havin said that the SW winds will i think will be the more active this year than last which would give us a milder than avg Winter,with the exception of the cold snaps which will be more active in themselves giving us a load of snow.

BigCon

Seeing as how El Nino is starting at the moment I'm curious to know what affects if any it has on our weather? I think I read somewhere that it usually makes our winters milder?
Is there any truth in this?

tabatha

lets hope not, our spiders are big enough at the moment!

BigCon

Just saw the other thread there now, feel free to close this one...

Villain

Is this what the Daily Mail in the UK were referring today on their front page I wonder?