Debby (four)

billy the squid

This will be interesting, The cape Verde islands have been famous for being the origin for the more serious hurricanes and tropical storms. It looks as though they are going to get one themselves.

000
WTNT34 KNHC 212033
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
500 PM AST MON AUG 21 2006

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 21.5 WEST OR ABOUT 250
MILES...405 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
DEPRESSION WILL BE PASSING VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...12.5 N...21.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

NHC Advisory
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/212033.shtml?

NHC forcast map
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/212033.shtml?

All Other Models
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_04.gif

billy the squid

TD4 has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Debby.

If there is a mod out there that can change the thread title for me to Debby (Four)

thanks.

Snowbie

Done

Snowbie

There is a more potent threat to the carribean than Debby as a cluster of storms has organised and moving over the lesser antilles atm.Conditions are favourable as it moves over the 30c waters in the carribean later this week for it to organise better and to become a major storm.
This could well become the first potentially gulf of mexico bound hurricane of the season over the next few days.

billy the squid

Thanks for the title change snowbie

I agree 97LINVEST is worth keeping an eye on.

Debby is going to be a fish. forcast sends it northwest before going north and heading as a depression towards the Canaries.

sirpsycho

where is 97LINVEST on the maps?

found it: http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picservice.asp?t=m&m=97

another decent site here: http://flhurricane.com/

billy the squid

I found it listed on this site
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

Snowbie

The Weather channel.This is a good site i use for watching tropical development.If you have real player or any video player on the PC you can watch video of tropical developments etc.There in partner with NHC in Florida.

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/?from=wxcenter_news

Hal1

Debby does? *insert state here* :eek:

billy the squid

Here is the latest on 97LIINVEST

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS REMAINS WELL-ORGANIZED AND HEAVY SQUALLS ARE
BEGINNING TO SPREAD OVER THESE ISLANDS. SINCE CONDITIONS APPEAR TO
BE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM TO FORM
LATER TODAY...INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.

looks like we could have TD 5 by tonight.

Snowbie

Looks like an active peroid of tropical activity about to happen around the carribean etc.Could get a lot interesting in and around the gulf of mexico come Saturday/Sunday.This could well be a dangerous storm from early indications.