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4 more years..well maybe

  • 30-06-2004 3:45pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,478 ✭✭✭


    Just wondering what would be people opinions, of what changes / or effects on the world if Bush won the November election? What would his second term be like?


Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,513 ✭✭✭Sleipnir


    Well it can't get any worse.
    He did start a war in his first term of office after all.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,406 ✭✭✭arcadegame2004


    If he is re-elected, then I suspect Iran and Syria will be next on his target list.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,005 ✭✭✭MeatProduct


    We can look forward to more terrorist attacks in the US and Europe.

    Nick


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,608 ✭✭✭✭sceptre


    Originally posted by arcadegame2004
    If he is re-elected, then I suspect Iran and Syria will be next on his target list.
    Knock the Sudan on to that list as well. Rumblings where the jungle meets the desert apparently.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 17,163 ✭✭✭✭Boston


    Originally posted by Sleipnir
    Well it can't get any worse.
    He did start a war in his first term of office after all.

    Just the one?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,513 ✭✭✭Sleipnir


    Originally posted by Boston
    Just the one?


    Oh yeah, the forgoten war!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭swiss


    I think it would be great! He would immediately implement the Kyoto protocols and drastically improve clean air standards. He would start looking for clean renewable energy sources instead of oil to power the country. He would pull his troops out of Afghanistan and Iraq and allow the people to hold free and fair elections without trying to install a 'puppet' govenor.

    Oh wait, this is reality we're talking about. Suffice it to say, if Bush were relected I would see it as a tacit endorsal of all the questionable actions that he has perpetrated during his tenure in office. My opinion of America would plummet accordingly.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 82 ✭✭BUMP!


    Like swiss said exactly. Whats the saying? Fool me once shame on you - fool me twice shame on me... The american people should remember that (and stay away from his e-voting machines!!).

    Seriously though - at least in his first term he was staying mild so that he could get reelected. What will happen when he no longer has to worry about public opinion as he cant get elected a 3rd time??? (twice is the maximum amount of times a president can get elected isn't it? Otherwise just ignore me!!)
    :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,264 ✭✭✭✭Hobbes


    Originally posted by BUMP!
    What will happen when he no longer has to worry about public opinion as he cant get elected a 3rd time??? (twice is the maximum amount of times a president can get elected isn't it? Otherwise just ignore me!!)
    :rolleyes:

    He will pass a law to make it illegal to vote.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 82 ✭✭BUMP!


    Aaahh! But sure why allow them vote? They're all fox news lemmings anyway... (only messn ... kinda!!)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,608 ✭✭✭✭sceptre


    Originally posted by BUMP!
    (twice is the maximum amount of times a president can get elected isn't it? Otherwise just ignore me!!)
    Futurama fan?

    Aye, you're right. 22nd amendment, passed in 1951 which kicks off with "No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice..." (not "no body" like evil Nixon said in "A Head In The Polls"when Bender pawned his shiny metal ass)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,563 ✭✭✭leeroybrown


    Given that every year of Bush's presidency so far has represented a 1.5 year reduction in the US social security fund, I reckon it would hasten the bankrupcy of the US by another 2 years (2016?).
    He will pass a law to make it illegal to vote.
    It would have to be a constitutional referendum. That said, if people vote him in again you'd never ...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,608 ✭✭✭✭sceptre


    Originally posted by leeroybrown
    It would have to be a constitutional referendum. That said, if people vote him in again you'd never ...
    They don't have referendums over there. Constitutional amendments proposed by congress have to be ratified by three-quarters of the states within seven years and then they become law. The 27th amendment (holding back on pay rises till after an election) took about 200 years though (and it didn't really matter as they've fiddled the rules to increase cost of living expenses outside the rules)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,563 ✭✭✭leeroybrown


    I stand corrected.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,608 ✭✭✭✭sceptre


    Originally posted by leeroybrown
    I stand corrected.
    Ah, well that wasn't really my intention. In any case, a state could decide themselves to have a referendum prior to any ratification, which might or might not be binding on the state legislature. The main ratification process would still stand but the people might get a looksee.

    (and this is an aside to the main question anyway)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 82 ✭✭BUMP!


    Aaaah yes... if he got elected again??? We'd all be in it up to our ears. Naturally he'll go for iran or N.Korea next (oil in iran so that'll be the spot). Obviously seeing as he doesn't answer to geneva and cant be prosecuted for war crimes he'll avoid the problems encountered this time with a clever new tactic - gas! No troops, no american bodybags, no cost - just another liberated (empty) country where he can then source more oil for americans... Of course at this time he'll be putting into motion the machine to slowly strip away the rights of the american people (while fox news tells them its FOR THE FLAG) until he has established a firm, stable, happy ... dictatorship!.... with automatic death penalty for those who annoy him or actually ask whats going on?

    Nah, couldn't happen - could it????


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 10,247 Mod ✭✭✭✭flogen


    I think everyone is over looking the fact that Iran and N. Korea actually have WMD!!!

    He wont touch N. Korea, far too dangerous, theres a pretty good chance the US would lose if he went there. Iran is a risk too..has nuclear capabilities, see the way america is negotiating with them?? that means they dont want to attack.

    They wont hit Syria until Gaddaffi has destroyed all his WMD, if they do at all, I'd say Sudan too... maybe some African nation which Saddam got his Plutonium from...:p:D

    Its safe to say there will be another big attack on the US, if not before the election, shortly after it... and thats likely even if Kerry wins.

    flogen


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,001 ✭✭✭Big Ears


    Originally posted by sceptre
    Futurama fan?

    Aye, you're right. 22nd amendment, passed in 1951 which kicks off with "No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice..." (not "no body" like evil Nixon said in "A Head In The Polls"when Bender pawned his shiny metal ass)

    True but he could make the term of office longer than 4 years , say 20 . By then he will have found a way to form a proper dictatoership .


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 568 ✭✭✭por


    Originally posted by flogen


    Its safe to say there will be another big attack on the US, if not before the election, shortly after it... and thats likely even if Kerry wins.

    flogen

    True, Bin Ladden et al. do not really care who is running the country, it's western, christian culture they are out to destroy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,884 ✭✭✭grumpytrousers


    when Bender pawned his shiny metal ass)

    Erm...is this a new euphamism?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,005 ✭✭✭MeatProduct


    Originally posted by por
    True, Bin Ladden et al. do not really care who is running the country, it's western, christian culture they are out to destroy.
    Not sure about that. My take on it is that these terrorists exist because the US and the UN created the environment for terrorism. For example putting Sadam in power, imposing unrealistic sanctions, kicking the sh*t out of everyone in that country......

    If it were about western christian society then the US should have been attacked on a rather constant basis for the past 200 years.

    Nick


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 41 claidheamh


    If re-elected, I would double the contribution to my, "I'm Relocating" fund, and start looking abroad for employment. The dolt and his schemes to drill in Alaska, "selectively" cut trees to pave roads in National Forests, get oil on the cheap from the Middle East...are sickening to me. He won't be happy until the US is one big refinery. It is bad enough here (Gulf Coast TX). If you haven't seen it, there is one giant, polluted refinery after another-to Louisiana. You can get a Staph. infection and die from just swimming in the water. He's doing his level best to spread this wholesome goodness to the other 49 states, and any other nation in need of money.

    Bush doesn't want to fight a country with WMP, and an organized military(ie., N. Korea). That fight would be a very, very, ugly one. As it is, he's started enough fighting to keep the US busy for some time.

    I've seen these on two pickup trucks: on one side of the bumper it states: "Re Elect Bush for Pres"...on the other side of the bumper, "Bomb their soil, Take their oil." So, the mentality around here is generally a pretty scary one, and I wouldn't be surprised if he was re-elected.

    Furthermore, why couldn't y'all have kept him a little longer?:D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,313 ✭✭✭bus77


    Originally posted by BUMP!
    Seriously though - at least in his first term he was staying mild so that he could get reelected. What will happen when he no longer has to worry about public opinion as he cant get elected a 3rd time??? (twice is the maximum amount of times a president can get elected isn't it? Otherwise just ignore me!!)

    Ahh It's ok... he'll just get this fella to take over...

    They think Hillary Clinton will be running against Jeb, pro bush sites are trying to sell books about "evil women who want to take power from men"(seriously)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,887 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    If it were about western christian society then the US should have been attacked on a rather constant basis for the past 200 years.

    Islam spread from the small city states of medina and mecca. It swept through the middle east, into North Africa and as far as southern France, in the east it deposed the Byzantine empire and invaded as far as Vienna as late as the 18th century!!!! The Ottoman Empire, the greatest of the muslim powers, was defeated at Vienna and it was forced into a headlong retreat from Vienna all the way back to Istanbul. It is fair to say the Islamic world has been in absolute shock at the relatively sudden reversal of their power ever since, leading to a variety of envy, fear, bitterness, admiration and hatred.

    Muslim and Arab extremists have traditionally seen the West, be it the Byzantine empire, or the Franks, or the British Empire, or finally the Americans as their traditional rival and enemy. They have historically cosied up to the Nazis ( the baath party being the arab "nationalist socialist workers party" - Saddams uncle was a Nazi enthusiast ) and the Communists - not because they belive in the Aryan master race or godless collectivisation but because both these idealogies are enemies of the West. The enemy of my enemy.

    The point im trying to make is that Bin Laden is not fighting for the Kyoto Treaty to be fully implemented or for labour standards to be improved as a part of globalisation - hes fighting because the Spanish kicked the Moors out of spain in the 15th century! Hes fighting because westerners are in Saudia Arabia and the Prophet commanded in the 8th century that no non-muslim should be suffered in SA. Hes fighting because Sharia law isnt imposed across the world. It doesnt matter if Kerry is in power next year. It didnt matter to Bin laden that the first time he tried to bring down the WTC that Clinton was in power.

    Keep dreaming that Kerry will suddenly about face on everything if he comes into power. He wont. He cant. The situation wont change and the solution wont change either. The US is simply the dominant Western State and as such is the enemy of the fundamentalist Islam.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,608 ✭✭✭✭sceptre


    Originally posted by grumpytrousers
    Erm...is this a new euphamism?
    No. Not that there's anything wrong with that.

    I can't think of a funny putdown. Sorry about tha'


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,485 ✭✭✭sovtek


    Originally posted by Sand

    The point im trying to make is that Bin Laden is not fighting for the Kyoto Treaty to be fully implemented or for labour standards to be improved as a part of globalisation -

    I don't remember anyone suggesting that either. Your welcome to point it out if I'm wrong.
    hes fighting because the Spanish kicked the Moors out of spain in the 15th century! Hes fighting because westerners are in Saudia Arabia and the Prophet commanded in the 8th century that no non-muslim should be suffered in SA. Hes fighting because Sharia law isnt imposed across the world. It doesnt matter if Kerry is in power next year. It didnt matter to Bin laden that the first time he tried to bring down the WTC that Clinton was in power.

    Actually what he has actually said is that the rulers of SA are allowing foreign troops in their holy land as well as oppressing the people as a whole, which probably garners alot of support in SA. Then he goes on to mention America's support for Israel's occupation of Palestine and the snafu in Iraq. All of which gains support...as he has a point...in many Muslim countries.
    He didn't start with Bush (although some of Bush's friends armed and trained him) as well as American intervention in the Middle East didn't either.
    Should the time come that America makes some amends in that region (and the west in general) it would seem, based on historical precedent, that he would loose most support should his supposed goal of imposing Islam on the world be his true aim.

    Keep dreaming that Kerry will suddenly about face on everything if he comes into power. He wont. He cant. The situation wont change and the solution wont change either. The US is simply the dominant Western State and as such is the enemy of the fundamentalist Islam.

    Ah right...so I guess everythings ok then and I can just sit back and watch Eastenders.
    Exaclt right that Kerry isn't going to do an about face on things, although as a competent politician (and without a majority of fundamentalists in his cabinet) he might regress some of the most fanatical and disastrous of Bush's policies.
    Oh and what you said is why I'm going to vote for Nader.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,463 ✭✭✭shinzon


    Done forget according to john titor that there wil be an american civil war in the year 2005 which will spread globally by 2006

    Shin


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,887 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    I don't remember anyone suggesting that either. Your welcome to point it out if I'm wrong.

    Meatproduct suggested it was more to do with Bush, when he noted early in the thread that if Bush was elected again there would be more attacks in the US and Europe. That doesnt make sense. If Kerry is elected, there will still be more attacks in the US and Europe.

    You know, if anything all you can say is that since 9/11 Bushs administration has prevented another attack on US soil. Thats almost 3 years of fairly open war against extremist groups, despite his critics claiming hes doing all the wrong things.

    Meatproduct also reinforced that view when he disagreed with Por ( I think) who argued that Bin Ladens cause had more to do with his fundamentalist views on the Christian West than on who was in the White House.

    Thats the view that I was disagreeing with. Bin Laden only cares that there are westeners in the Holy Land, that the Middle East regimes are fairly pro- western ( and thus close to modernising, secular, liberal influences that would undermine Islams position ). So long as the West remains an influence on the Middle East - even if only culturally - then Bin Laden will have a cause to violently resist the Islamics worlds "corruption" by the Wests evil of modernity and liberalism. How does Bin laden feel about the French oppressing his Muslim brethern with their laws against symbols of the faith? How does that play to devout muslims? All you need is a cause, and a handful of fanatics.

    Who exactly is in the White House doesnt matter. So long as the world needs oil, the West will have an interest in the Middle East. So Mahatma Ghandi could be elected President and hed still have to get involved in the Middle East. *You* could be elected President and youd still have to ensure that the oil flowed from the Middle East or preside over a 2nd Great Depression and the fastest lynching in US presidential history.
    Oh and what you said is why I'm going to vote for Nader.

    Great, Im delighted. It wouldnt make any difference if he was elected either.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭bonkey


    Originally posted by Sand
    You know, if anything all you can say is that since 9/11 Bushs administration has prevented another attack on US soil. Thats almost 3 years of fairly open war against extremist groups, despite his critics claiming hes doing all the wrong things.

    More correctly, you can say that there hasn't been another attack, not that one has been prevented.

    Alternately, if you wish to maintain that it has indeed been prevented, one must also acknowledge that he has - through the same actions - brought terrorism to Iraq. "We shall fight them abroad so we don't have to fight them at home" has so many levels when you look at it like that. Its not just about defeating them , its just as equally about making sure that they make their attacks against the US away from US soil.

    So yeah. Bush may have prevented attacks on America's own soil, and maybe thats enough of a reason for people to vote for him come the election, but I would hope that some of them would stop to ask who is paying the price for this prevention.

    Oh, I forgot...its those Iraqi's who are glad to be free of Saddam. They'll happily suffer a bit of old terrorism in the name of keeping the terrorists away from the US mainland.

    Meatproduct also reinforced that view when he disagreed with Por ( I think) who argued that Bin Ladens cause had more to do with his fundamentalist views on the Christian West than on who was in the White House.
    True, but there is a point of view which would hold that Bush's choices are only exacerbating the situation, which is often coupled with a belief (of questionable grounding, I'll admit) that Kerry will - at the very least - not be as bad.

    All you need is a cause, and a handful of fanatics.
    One should point out that this is most definitely not limited to the fundamentalist Muslims, nor even to religious groupings at all. A cause and enough people who believe in it is a very, very dangerous thing.

    Who exactly is in the White House doesnt matter.
    Yes, it does. It matters how they manage the problem, whether they make it better (overall) or worse, whether they have brought us one step closer to someday finding a solution, or one step further away.
    So long as the world needs oil, the West will have an interest in the Middle East.
    But do you not at least recognise that how we present ourselves while fulfilling that interest can be of significant importance?

    If we look for the McFix, then sure....its irrelevant whether we talk of Bush or Kerry. Neither is a McDonalds wizard of high enough powers to provide a mcFix for the entire Middle Eastern set of problems.

    However, if we look at the real problem (which is exactly what you're pointing out), then surely it is disingenious to also talk about a McFix. Should we not look rather at the long term....and thats when differences in Presidents and policies do become important once more.

    jc


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 342 ✭✭treefingers


    Originally posted by por
    True, Bin Ladden et al. do not really care who is running the country, it's western, christian culture they are out to destroy.

    i don't buy into this theory at all. these people in terrorist organisations are rebelling against what they believe has been unjust western interference into their affairs - like interest in iraqi oil, or support of the israeli state no matter what crimes it commits.

    it is unfair to say that they are all out to destroy all cultures other than their own - i think they would be happy to live side by side with other cultures if they were treated fairly. this is pretty unrealistic in the short/medium term though considering whats happened recently - sep 11, afghanistan, iraq, madrid bombs, etc etc.....
    (although there are some people who are just plain evil and probably do want to destroy every culture but their own - like bin laden)


    although it is true to say that no matter who is the next president of america is, the current situation is such that more terrorist attacks on the west are inevitable. the damage is not likely to be repaired in any 1 presidential term....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,005 ✭✭✭MeatProduct


    Originally posted by Sand


    Who exactly is in the White House doesnt matter. So long as the world needs oil, the West will have an interest in the Middle East. So Mahatma Ghandi could be elected President and hed still have to get involved in the Middle East. *You* could be elected President and youd still have to ensure that the oil flowed from the Middle East or preside over a 2nd Great Depression and the fastest lynching in US presidential history.
    I won't address most of your comments since I feel they have already been addressed. I would like to reinforce what Bonkey commented about the importance of who is in office in the US. Imagine (this is hard I know since it will never happen in any government) that the green party candidate got elected as the US president then I think your argument for the need for oil is greatly lessened. No need for oil = no need to kick the crap out of the Middle East. If I became president I'm sure I would be able to do feck all (since I would be cut off at every turn). Saying that, if possible, I would see to it that the dependancey on oil would be reduced to a minimum using alternative energy forms. The only reason that other energy generation methods are not used on a large scale is because war and large monies cannot be created from them. Superpowers need wars in order to control their populations by fear.

    Boeing are researching an anti-gravity device (invented by Yevgeny Podkletnov) on their planes. If used it would reduce the weight of the plane by 6%, big savings for Boeing. This device defies much of science but yet it works experimentally. Plenty of other inventions exist, that use similar methods, to generate electricty from a seemingly unknown source. Without wanting to go into this in too much depth I will just say that these inventions have been kept down by the powers that be. Why? Simple, the powers that be would lose their power. Imagine a world without the need for oil.
    So, to get to the point, yes it really does matter who is the president of the US.

    Nick


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 10,247 Mod ✭✭✭✭flogen


    to throw my weight behind Bonkey, and meatproduct, of course the man in power makes a difference.

    I am realistic, and I know that if Kerry wins, things arent going to turn rosey all of a sudden, but I hope that he will deal with the threat head on, and not as an excuse to get oil, and take out people he doesnt like. I also hope that he does something to ween the US of its oil dependency, if they dont need the oil, they can be truely neutral in the ME (SA being a prime example, terrorist HQ, but the US wont go near it for fear of souring big money deals).

    Also, I wonder how H. Clinton would do, she'd have an instant hunk of support for being female, not to mention a female who is heavily involved in politics. Obviously it depends on her policies, but I can imagine many voting for her just so they could see a female president (I know, that would be reckless, but if Jeb or someone else was running on the otherside, I'd vote her in!!)

    flogen


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,887 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    More correctly, you can say that there hasn't been another attack, not that one has been prevented.

    Same thing for all intents and purposes, in an enviroment where victory is ensuring nothing happens.

    Thats the real problem with fighting terrorists. There are few armies to rout, few cities to conquer and lots of critics. WW2 must have been a walk in the park by comparison.
    True, but there is a point of view which would hold that Bush's choices are only exacerbating the situation, which is often coupled with a belief (of questionable grounding, I'll admit) that Kerry will - at the very least - not be as bad.

    I dont know how hes going to beat a 100% record in keeping the US terrorist attack free for 3 years tbh - whats Kerry going to do? Close down the security departments Bush created? Cancel the legislation - leave himself open to calls of going soft on terror? This is a political opportunist, not a true believer in anything beyond what suit Kerry at that moment in time. As for Iraq - I know that you dont agree that it would be smart to cut and run from Iraq, and we have to allow that Kerry isnt going to rock the boat or announce anything wildy revolutionary, so youll agree that Kerry isnt going to either. So no change there either.

    If he does cut and run then Iraq will collapse into a failed state and actually double the problem. Again, people can hate Bush all they like but nothings going to change no matter who wins the election.
    Yes, it does. It matters how they manage the problem, whether they make it better (overall) or worse, whether they have brought us one step closer to someday finding a solution, or one step further away.

    But the problem, and the solution does not change. The forces acting upon the decision making process do not change. Bush didnt invent bible thumping militant patriotism - hes just the figurehead for it and a host of other causes. The influence those lobby groups have wont vanish with Bush, theyll just work on Kerry, the man seemingly without a principle beyond oppurtunism.

    At the end of the day Presidential candidates are practically independant from their party, they are elected by registered memebers rather than selected by party chiefs. They fund their campaigns through private donations, and no doubt, like all politicians dont want to offend their major backers when it comes to collecting for re-election. The top 3 donors to Gore in 2000 were the top 3 for Bush. The same backers, the same interests, just slightly different figureheads.

    The difference between Bush and Kerry is the difference between Coke and Pepsi. Even if Nader, by some miracle got elected hed still face the same entrenched forces and would make feck all headway against them.
    However, if we look at the real problem (which is exactly what you're pointing out), then surely it is disingenious to also talk about a McFix. Should we not look rather at the long term....and thats when differences in Presidents and policies do become important once more.

    Let me put it to you like this.

    Meatproduct finds hes A) actually a born American citizen, B) Mysteriously wildly popular with US voters, C) Elected President of the US this November in a whirlwind campaign that stuns the established political order.

    As President he immediately starts trying to get legislation passed that will remove barriers to alternative fuels or even subsidise it. But he cant get his bills passed. Why not? Because the Senate and the House of Representitives are in the backpocket of the entrenched lobby groups. What - President Meatproduct wants to waste taxdollars on some unproven, uneconomical and fanciful technology which will decimate the US economy and cost millions of people their jobs!!!!! Down with that sort of thing.

    Regardless of the truth, no politician wants to put their name to a policy like that - especially when it comes to re-election time and their funders start wondering what theyve done lately for them.

    Who is President doesnt matter. The US is *immense*. No one person/group, not even the President can effect change in it. When alternative fuels come online ( and Im wholly in support of alternative energy over and beyond oil ) itll be because vast blocs of the political order are persuaded they should be a priority, not just President Meatproduct. When that comes about, even if the President was Bush the 3rd hed have to go with the political flow.

    Sure, lets try and work to that point, but its not going to hinge on the next election. Kerry gets in power, subsidies alternative power research. Bush remains in power, US discontent with their kids dying for oil leads to widespread calls for finding an alternative energy source. Different paths, same end result.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭bonkey


    Originally posted by Sand
    Same thing for all intents and purposes, in an enviroment where victory is ensuring nothing happens.

    You seem to be missing what I was driving at. Bush hasn't ensured anything, or if he has, he has done so by making sure it is US soldiers on foreign soil, coupled with the inhabitrants of that foreign soil who are targetted instead of the US at home - which anyone can see is a short-term formula at best, even if we ignore the distaastefulness of it.

    Thats the real problem with fighting terrorists.
    Yes, indeed it is. The problem is figuring out how to fight them with the longterm view in mind - something many do not feel Bush has done.

    I dont know how hes going to beat a 100% record in keeping the US terrorist attack free for 3 years tbh - whats Kerry going to do?
    You know...if you took everyone with lung cancer out and shot them for three years in a row, your deaths from lung cancer would be 0 in that time-period. And while trotting out the figure on its own may be impressive, its hardly a reasonable measure of success though, is it?

    Measuring only the short-term impact of Bush's strategy - which by his own admission is supposedly a long-term one - is equally as flawed.

    This is a political opportunist, not a true believer in anything beyond what suit Kerry at that moment in time.
    I keep hearing this about Kerry, mostly on the back of the GOP's constant whining about how he varies between voting for and against overall issues. Personally, I can't understand how anyone could be taken as credible if they didn't judge each bill on its own merits, rather than the basic ideology behind it.

    Maybe Kerry is a political opportunist, but he seems equally capable of being someone who wants to see things done right and won't support a half-assed implementation on an issue he generally supports when the chance remains to hold out for a better deal.

    As for Iraq - I know that you dont agree that it would be smart to cut and run from Iraq,
    Agreed. Nor do I expect Kerry (should he win) to hand over whatever control the US still has to the UN.
    and we have to allow that Kerry isnt going to rock the boat or announce anything wildy revolutionary, so youll agree that Kerry isnt going to either. So no change there either.
    No, I won't agree there is no change.

    I spent most of the last post trying to show why it is the finer differences in approach which will be where Kerry has a chance to do a better job than Bush, particularly when one looks to the longer-term impacts, so I fail to see what this point is addressing except the issues I already have admitted will not show a difference between the two men.

    But the problem, and the solution does not change.
    Ah! So there is a solution to all of this. There is an actual approach which is gauranteed to bring about a peaceful and democratic Iraq, a rejuvenated Afghanistan, an end to terrorism in general and so on and so forth???

    You don't really believe that, do you? If not, then suggesting that there is a solution and that it won't change is somewhat suspect in its credibility.

    The forces acting upon the decision making process do not change.
    Really? Then why did Clinton not invade Iraq? Why did Bush snr. pull back at the border? If the forces don't change, and the people don't make a difference, when why was it this particular President who started two wars and is making noises about a third?

    Why? Because the forces do change - one of those being the President himself.

    theyll just work on Kerry, the man seemingly without a principle beyond oppurtunism.
    Its nice to see that for someone who has decried those who do nothing but malign Bush for their lack of objectivity that you are able to continuously refer to Kerry in such a balanced and reasonable manner.
    The difference between Bush and Kerry is the difference between Coke and Pepsi.

    So Bush also has no pricinples beyond opportunism either, then?

    Let me put it to you like this.
    And again you show that a President will be unable to supply the McFix. I thought I had already pointed out that simply looking for the McFix is the wrong approach in the first place?
    Who is President doesnt matter.
    So thats why they cumulatively spend half-a-billion or more on the election. Its because it doesn't matter!!! Now its all clear!!!
    Sure, lets try and work to that point, but its not going to hinge on the next election. Kerry gets in power, subsidies alternative power research. Bush remains in power, US discontent with their kids dying for oil leads to widespread calls for finding an alternative energy source. Different paths, same end result.

    Same end result? Kerry would bring the prevalance of alternate fuels several years closer by that model, while Bush would accelerate the headlong rush into running out of resources we become more and more dependant on.

    Sure, at the end of 4 years, there mightn't be much to decide between them - but I don't know how often I can point out that its not about the McFix. Maybe thats what the voters will vote for in the end, and if thats the case then there are short-term differences which they can see (e.g. the difference in world opinion - rightly or wrongly - of the US at the end of Clinton's term and at the end of Bush's term).

    jc


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,027 ✭✭✭alleepally


    I think a very interesting insight was made in Ciaran Carty's article in the Sunday Tribune. It was about reaction in the US to Moore's Fahrenheit 9/11. When Carty was going home he was asked by an immigration officer where he was from

    "Ireland"

    "Ireland?", he said, "My wife says that if Bush is re-elected she's going to claim asylum in Ireland."

    The worm is turning.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 32 Badbonez


    Originally posted by sovtek
    Oh and what you said is why I'm going to vote for Nader.
    Many people believe that it was Nader's votes that lost the election for Gore. Personally, I think it was Gore's campaign which sucked.

    But Nader won't get nearly the same popularity this time. A majority of those that voted for Nader last time will be voting for Kerry this time. ("Anybody but Bush" is the mantra of everyone I know).

    And no, if elected, Kerry won't be changing a great many of our foreign policies all at once. Bush made mistakes that can't be fixed immediately. However, one thing I hope he does it make it more of a UN process (a true coalition) and even up the outside contracts that Bush handed to his cronnies.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 32 Badbonez


    Originally posted by shinzon
    Done forget according to john titor that there wil be an american civil war in the year 2005 which will spread globally by 2006

    Shin
    ]
    Ahhh...excuse me? The time traveling douche bag? Surely you are being sarcastic.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,264 ✭✭✭✭Hobbes


    Originally posted by Badbonez
    ]
    Ahhh...excuse me? The time traveling douche bag? Surely you are being sarcastic.

    He has quite a following, although I believe the civil war is supposed to start this year (but I am not a JT beliver).


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 82 ✭✭BUMP!


    We've had the north and the south - who will it be this time? The East and the West??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,887 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    You seem to be missing what I was driving at. Bush hasn't ensured anything, or if he has, he has done so by making sure it is US soldiers on foreign soil, coupled with the inhabitrants of that foreign soil who are targetted instead of the US at home - which anyone can see is a short-term formula at best, even if we ignore the distaastefulness of it.

    I dont think he brought terrorism to Iraq, or at least to say so is to remove context from his actions. He removed Saddam and co who werent too far removed from state terrorism against their own people, and a consequence has been a surge in militant fundamentalist/nationalist nutters in a region of Iraq. Better to fight them out in the streets than have them forming the government, to my mind at least.
    And while trotting out the figure on its own may be impressive, its hardly a reasonable measure of success though, is it?

    As I said, in a war like this its the only measure of success we have. All we know is that their are terrorists with a will and ability to launch massive terrorist attacks on the US and Europe, and in the past 3 years since 9/11 Bush and the US have had a perfect record at stopping them. Sure, maybe the terrorists just havent tried, but we can only judge him on results.
    Really? Then why did Clinton not invade Iraq? Why did Bush snr. pull back at the border? If the forces don't change, and the people don't make a difference, when why was it this particular President who started two wars and is making noises about a third?

    Cmon bonkey, you know the answer to that. Bush Snr and Clinton both attacked and bombed Iraq. They didnt go all the way because it wasnt politically smart at the time. The Neo con agenda dates back to the 60s. They were just not listened to because everyone thought that you could ignore the problems in the middle east and other oppressive states.

    Youre asking me what changed public mood in the US so that militant intervention to liberate Iraq was possible when it wasnt before? Cmon, you know what the effect of 9/11 was on the american political psyche.
    Its nice to see that for someone who has decried those who do nothing but malign Bush for their lack of objectivity that you are able to continuously refer to Kerry in such a balanced and reasonable manner.

    Ive yet to see anyone define Kerry as being anything other than the "not bush " candidate. When he comes out with a principle then fair enough, Ill define him by his principles. And this isnt just me speaking, Edwards has been parachuted in to save Kerry because the guy cant actually say what he stands for beyond vague and meaningless soundbites. Say what you like about bush, hes a bad president, but at least he makes it clear hes a fervent christian conservitive with a firm belief in reaganomics. Nader is the same, he makes it clear what he stands for. You can disagree with it, but at least he makes his view clear. Kerry doesnt. Maybe thats a flaw, maybe its not but my impression of him is that hes an opportunist. A voter cant predict how hell approach any situation given his record so how can they have confidence that hell represent them?

    Hell, ask Dahmasta, who in the Kerry-Edwars thread commented that hes heard nothing really positive about Kerry. We cant both be hopelessly biased in favour of Bush.
    Ah! So there is a solution to all of this. There is an actual approach which is gauranteed to bring about a peaceful and democratic Iraq, a rejuvenated Afghanistan, an end to terrorism in general and so on and so forth???

    Yup. I believe there are common sense guidelines that must be followed to quash the terrorist threat in the short term and remove its causes in the long term. I cant go into them here without going hopelessly off topic tho - before you know it well be arguing over why its important for the US not to withdraw within the next 5 years, and to over rule the democratic government if needed and not about the difference Bush and Kerry would make.
    So thats why they cumulatively spend half-a-billion or more on the election. Its because it doesn't matter!!! Now its all clear!!!

    Vanity, arrogance, dellusions of grandeur - human beings spend money stupidly to begin with, and a lot of that money is twice what it should be thanks to one company backing both candidates. How much did they spend on Euro 2004? Does it *really* matter who won it? Does it really matter to Nike which team won so long as they have a commercial contract with them?
    And again you show that a President will be unable to supply the McFix. I thought I had already pointed out that simply looking for the McFix is the wrong approach in the first place?

    Youre the one claiming who the President is especially important, the McFix as you put it. Did racism abate in the US because LBJ sent state troopers to desegregate that university? Or was that simply a reflection of a shift in public opinion that was informed by decades of political and social upheaval and history? The public mood would define a move as popular or unpopular, not the politician, not the president. And all Presidents want to get re-elected.


    Sure, at the end of 4 years, there mightn't be much to decide between them - but I don't know how often I can point out that its not about the McFix.

    What are we arguing about then? I claim it doesnt matter who the President is, you say that there wouldnt be much to decide between them at the end of 4 years. Heh, this thread is practically a demonstration of my point.


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