Winter 2011/2012

Confab wrote: »

Let's be honest hear, widescale snow is probably a no-go now.

Hmm Winter doesnt start for another forthnight:D

A guy sent me this
I think it's good news

BBC's monthly overview not too encouraging either (below). Mind you I remember in 2009 November and early December were really mild but the weather got colder on 7 December and stayed that way for the rest of the winter with extreme cold for most of the period from 17 Dec to 10 Jan. That said I remember many winters where it was really wet and mild until mid December and then.....it stayed really wet and mild until May. In fact you'd have to say we are due one of these more normal winters.........

Published at 11:00, 14 November
Next update at 11:00, 21 November
Summary
Mild at first, turning unsettled and cooler later
The first couple of weeks of November were generally mild both by day and night with very little frost to speak of and that general theme looks set to continue. While there may be some relatively cooler days to come this week, daytime temperatures will still be a little bit above the seasonal average and will probably rise a bit by the end of the week, staying that way into next. The average temperature for this time of year ranges from about 8 or 9 Celsius in Aberdeen to 10 or 11 Celsius in London. On Sunday 13th we saw 18C at Staverton - a good example of just how mild it has been.
Monday 14 November 2011 to Sunday 20 November 2011
Turning unsettled later this week
It'll be a cloudy start to the week practically everywhere, the best of any sunshine on offer will be in the northwest of the UK. For most though there will be a lot of cloud and consequently a cooler day than of late. As drier air moves in from the near continent we should begin to evaporate that cloud so Tuesday looks a brighter day for many, although still quite grey in the northeast. Midweek we will start to see a change coming in from the west. Cloud and rain will be gathering, that will slowly spread east across most of the UK on Thursday allowing an active Atlantic low to move in for the end of the week bringing wind and rain to most parts and that sets up a much more unsettled weekend In spite of cloudier skies at times, temperatures will still be above average for most and well above average for many, especially the southern half of the UK. While there will be some rainfall, amounts will be below or well below expectations for all parts. In terms of sunshine, it looks like southwest England and Wales will see the lion's share of that.
Monday 21 November 2011 to Sunday 27 November 2011
The mild theme continues
High pressure over the near continent and low pressure near Iceland will generate a west to southwesterly airflow across the UK and that will keep the generally mild theme going. In fact temperatures are set to be above or well above average across all parts. With the air coming in from the west or southwest we can expect some rain, and it looks like it could be quite wet in Wales, the Midlands and the southwest with rainfall amounts elsewhere closer to, or a little below, the norm. Northwest Scotland will probably see the best of the sunshine. Confidence for this period is not as high as it is for week one.
Monday 28 November 2011 to Sunday 11 December 2011
More unsettled and turning cooler
Confidence for this period drops a bit further but the main signal, at the moment, is for a much more unsettled period. Low pressure systems are likely to move from west to east bringing quite a bit of rain to the northwest of the UK. East Anglia and Scotland will probably see the best of any sunshine. There is likely to be some variation in temperature with Northern Ireland, Eastern Scotland and the Midlands staying on the mild side but elsewhere temperatures will probably be falling back to normal. Normal for this stage in December is about 7 Celsius in Glasgow and 9C in London.

Let's forget about the rest of November and focus on the proper winter months:D It could well be late dec/early jan (like two years ago) when we get a dumping of snow. Remember, February can be a good month for snow too.

suitseir wrote: »

I remember this time last year. It was colder but I have a pic on my phone of seriously cold weather towards end of November. In fact, I flew out of Dublin Airport on 30th. November and it was so bad that we were lucky to get airborne!

I spent yesterday at a beach in Co. Clare....the temp was 17 degrees...people were out there enjoying the weather....even in short sleeves. It was windy but extremely mild and pleasant!!!! I hope this weather continues....even got the grass cut!! Yippeeee!!!

So much for all the cold calls I am getting at the moment about uprgading insulation and upgrading boiler etc..........

I am hoping for a MILD CHRISTMAS!!!! But I can only hope!!!

In the most unparliamentary language.. F YOU I want my Winter cold & snowy

Any one know the forecaster the postman guy is there a link to this years forecast from him or anyone know what he thinks this winter will be like iv heard he says mild

mcriot29 wrote: »

Any one know the forecaster the postman guy is there a link to this years forecast from him or anyone know what he thinks this winter will be like iv heard he says mild

hey mcriot - there's a thread here somewhere called 'Michael puts the freeze on an arctic winter' or something like that - it'll be on page three or four by now I'd say.

He doesn't really give a forecast as such - he just says he doesn't see any signs of it turning cold (from looking at nature.)

So far I have to say he's proving more accurate than the rest - I'm still banking on MT's version of events though and looking forward to Jan!

time will tell.

it annoys me so much how little anybody outside boards, knows about weather! some of my friends at school were talking about whether they think itll snow or not this year, and they all agreed that they dont think its going to snow as its been so mild recently, ugh thats so retarded, i really wanted to punch them and ramble on with my weatherfacts about how infact a mild october and or november increases chances of cold winter , and all the forecasters going for cold winter and sunspots blah blah blah but i held my tongue because i didnt want people to know im secretly a weather nerd:p
so i just gave a very uneducated answer and said instead'' oh i think its definitely going to snow cus weve had lots of bad winters the last ew years so itll probably be cold again this year'':p idiots!

baraca wrote: »

Just because they don't have the same interests as you doesn't make them retarded or idiots.

Have to agree with Baraca there:)


Quote at bb1234567

"how infact a mild october and or november increases chances of cold winter"

Thats just wishful thinking:pac: and it doesnt give you the right to criticize their views on the coming weather - one of yee will be wrong

I've just cancelled my order for 200 sleds/sleighs

baraca wrote: »

Just because they don't have the same interests as you doesn't make them retarded or idiots.

ye your right:o but it just annoys me y'know..

Ahorseofaman wrote: »

starting to sound like Owen C there .

ye kind of emabrassed by my post now:o didnt think i'd sound like such an ahole in it, soryy!:p