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Winter FI Charts

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  • 11-09-2010 11:04pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭


    Never goin to happen, but if they did!!!!

    Think its time for a Fantasy Island thread as the models are starting to pump out some tastes of the winter to come*.*FI charts NEVER amount to anything!

    Might be fun just to have a thread of completly unrealistic, implausible and impossible charts because you'd never know... D

    Beginning of some cooler times...?

    ecm0216r.gif


«13456713

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    18Z GFS has temps as low as -2 for for parts of the UK at T180. Heh.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,258 ✭✭✭MUSEIST


    the only 100% guaranteed prediction I can make for the winter ahead is that there will be many orgasmic FI charts that slowly degrade and downgrade as time passes slowly breaking our hearts and crushing it into little pieces. :rolleyes::p


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭Kippure


    If any one saw todays farming forecast on rte 1. The pressure charts show what are winter set up is roughly going to be like.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,880 ✭✭✭pauldry


    So blizzards then?:)


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,644 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Kippure wrote: »
    If any one saw todays farming forecast on rte 1. The pressure charts show what are winter set up is roughly going to be like.

    areas of low pressure to our northwest bringing rain, hail, sleet, and even some snow as the depressions move way???


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    Anyone else think this is a very interesting setup? You have the low in the East just after passing over scotland the the next low pushing down artic Air. Obviously not a hope of anything like sleet even but could put a decent chill in the air

    gfs0174.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,644 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    bmw-viral-video.JPG&t=1

    it'll bring tons of snow.


  • Registered Users Posts: 741 ✭✭✭Timistry


    Anything like the weather porn the GFS was generating last year and we are in business! Some charts looks alomost identical to 1962 type events


  • Registered Users Posts: 347 ✭✭desolate sun


    Timistry wrote: »
    weather porn
    museist wrote:
    many orgasmic FI charts

    Hee hee! Ye weather people are mad! :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Obviously not a hope of anything like sleet even
    I dont know much about charts or the likes but i have often seen hail/sleet showers in august here in donegal and it did just that a few weeks ago here. Accompanied with big black dirty clouds.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    stormacomin.gif

    There's a storm a brewin!!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    ukwind.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    There's a storm a brewin!!

    The best storms are always in FI! :P

    I think it was last Nov the GFS was showing an epic storm with hurricane force winds at only 100ish hours away that had lots of people, including me, going :eek:, but it didn't pan out quite like that in the end! So I'd take anything at 240 hours with the biggest pinch of salt I could find.

    Still though, it's fun to enter the season of 'virtual storms'. :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    stormacoming.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,644 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    stormacomin.gif

    There's a storm a brewin!!

    would that be the remnants of Lisa or some other tropical storm making its way over here?


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    would that be the remnants of Lisa or some other tropical storm making its way over here?

    No, looks like a low swinging over from Canada.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Just for the laugh. The closest thing I could find to an early start to winter. :P :pac:

    j9slk0.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    ...... So I'd take anything at 240 hours with the biggest pinch of salt I could find.

    Hey, go easy on that salt, we're going to need it all this winter! :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    snowtime.png

    snowtime2.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Very deep in FI but exciting to see the GFS showing a brief early October cold period with -5 uppers extending down over Scotland. Snow possible in parts of Scotland if that came off. :)

    Meanwhile the ECM is showing a period of very wet and windy, maybe even stormy conditions.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly



    Meanwhile the ECM is showing a period of very wet and windy, maybe even stormy conditions.

    009.gifhttp://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1921.gif


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    I assume 26th October is FI???!!! :D

    10102612_2200.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    12Z ECM FI is sticking with the same theme as the last run....

    2c0pde.gif



    12Z NOGAPS shows something very similar at 144 hours.

    Hmmmmm...

    What do you think DE?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,880 ✭✭✭pauldry


    So Im takin the barbie out on Oct 2nd :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    12Z ECM FI is sticking with the same theme as the last run....

    What do you think DE?

    Not overly encouraged by the trend to have slack lows sitting right on top of us Maq :( This seemed to happen quite a lot last winter too, which essentially kept any active weather running around the periphery of Ireland rather than over it. But early days yet, hopefully the next few runs will show low pressure centres passing to the north of south.

    On a different note, the ECMWF seems keen over the last few runs to develop a wave depression close to Ireland towards the middle of the coming working week:

    128907.gif

    which is forecast to pump up more heavy rain over the eastern half of Ireland once again. Seems to be a common theme this September so far. Of course it may all change in later runs but could be one to keep an eye on. :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Ferry to Holyhead might be a bit rough...

    4t3gyc.gif


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    "Big wind a comin'

    h850t850eu.png

    listen to the hummin'
    Hurry up son, be quick, don't stall..
    You know we can't be slow, take the kids and get below,
    If we don't hurry, it'll surely get us all.."


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VhtHn3nkJlo

    Well, not really that bad but this gem of a chart is only 348hrs out on the latest GFS run.

    Time to batten down the hatches!


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Special delivery for a Mr Deep Easterly? :P

    34459vs.png

    :cool:


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    0Z ECM still sticking with the low pressure theme for next weekend. Looks like gales possible for the south of the country here?

    2r5t0f9.gif


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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    It's FI Fun Time. :pac:

    2mnpwk7.png

    1552rfm.png


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