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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,455 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam



    We had over 8000 cases a day and

    There were 2000 in hospital and 250 in ICU at one stage in January .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 92,394 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    I thought we would be lowering down, decreasing in cases



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,455 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    Its the hospital cases that matter and they are fairly stable . 80% of ICU cases are unvaccinated



  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Except that was not what was said at all. What was said was nphet wanted to keep indoor hospitality closed until most adults were vaccinated and the alternative of the Covid pass was implemented by the the government.

    Reading comprehension has really gone to the dogs. I blame texts and twitter



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,229 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    Didn't remember it was 250 in icu. No chance we see anything like that again



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,455 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    At end January 21 it was 1900 plus in hospital and as far as I remember ICU reached a high of circa 230 -250



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    And deaths are not at the same level also.

    NPHET were right on delaying the opening of indoor dining by a few weeks. That has made a big difference and the vaccination figures are phenomenal. Long term Tony and co realise that positive messaging on vaccinations plus high cases among unvaccinated will help us.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    I read a couple of weeks back we only have 200 ICU beds in Ireland, maths isn’t my forte but………..

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Moderators, Education Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 35,351 Mod ✭✭✭✭AlmightyCushion


    Surge capacity and use of private hospitals brought that to over 400 I think.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,262 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    The article said that 25% in hospital didn't have any symptoms of covid, the rest I obviously I made up as those figures are being kept secret for some reason, there is no reason why they should not be available,unless they are trying to hide something.



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  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    “They” are always up to no good. Sure don’t “they” love imposing restrictions on the population for know good reason.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,455 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    They had 350 -400 with private ICU beds and emergency beds in HDU at one stage .

    Covid cases in ICU reached a high of just under 230 ( as far as I recall ) in January 21

    Correction . I just found the figures and it was 216 Covid cases in ICU on January 31st 2021



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,262 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    Obviously there are good reasons for restrictions, just saying that there should be transparency with figures, tired of the scare tactics.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,192 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    Cases don't matter anywhere near as much as before.

    People need to get that into their heads.

    The constant hand wringing and hysteria over cases needs to stop.



  • Posts: 695 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Eh, no we have a totally dysfunctional health service in

    spite of throwing millions at it.

    Is Paul Reid the highest paid CEO of any health service regardless of size anywhere in the world.

    This is the reason we are so slow removing restrictions, the same people now advising Government have spent decades in the health service.

    So nothing whatsoever to do with culture etc, well maybe culture of making sure health service doesn’t work so people will pay health insurance and use private hospitals and consultants get rich(er).



  • Posts: 695 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I think you should ring the Scots, they are opening the gates to hell as we speak.

    All restrictions being removed, are we weeks or months away from that.

    And opening up as we head into the winter is insane, we should follow Boris lead and open up now,get as many young people as possible infected so they provide immunity for older people, it doesn’t matter who has dose one or two now, these are young people with strong immune systems, most don’t even know if they have had COVID or not.

    Your conservatism and caution is unnecessary at this stage, the only thing we need to do is watch actual hospital admissions with COVID and not be counting people tested and diagnosed while in hospital with something else.



  • Posts: 3,733 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Liz how would you feel if half our population contracted Covid but a small percentage were hospitalised? Would that scare you?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,134 ✭✭✭✭Rayne Wooney


    At the rate we’re going we’ll have every willing adult in the country fully vaccinated by the end of this month, but we are only releasing a roadmap at the end of the month?

    When was the 100% vaccinated approach chosen, and why weren’t the public made aware of this along with the advantages and disadvantages they thought there were compared to the approach everywhere else was taking? NPHET’s figures have proved comical thus far, I really want another laugh seeing their thought process behind this and the government actually agreeing to it, it’ll soon drive me to tears I presume.

    I'm genuinely worried now about how quickly we’ll go from MM telling us COVID is history to “we’re completely fucked financially lads”.



  • Posts: 695 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The WHO, Mike Ryan and Gabriel Scally among others said the UKs numbers would go into orbit after Boris decided on freedom day.

    Covid numbers in the UK have fallen dramatically so why can’t these “experts” admit they got it wrong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,067 ✭✭✭Ficheall


    I'm curious - what are you envisioning as "a small percentage" here? As a number/approximate range.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,895 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    The UK's own advisers suggested cases would reach 100k and then 200k, they were wrong, unfortunately they were close to the predicted deaths of 100 a day.

    I wouldn't say cases have fallen dramatically, they dropped by a half and appear to be creeping back up.



  • Posts: 519 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    You read my posts and just interpreted entirely different words. I can't really defend something I didn't write. So, I think I'll just gloss over responding to those points, as I didn't suggest keeping the place locked down. I suggested not providing a false sense of security by giving political promises with fixed dates.

    As for your proposal to, and if I paraphrase Johnson, 'let it wash through the population', I would suggest you might want to ask the population's consent first. I don't think many of us would appreciate being used as a mass infection experiment to see what happens. I would even suspect if that were done deliberately here i.e. a deliberate policy programme aimed at causing mass infection with COVID, it could well end up in tribunals and court cases.

    There's been scant evidence, beyond a few theories, that naturally acquired herd immunity is even possible with this thing.

    We are aiming for vaccinated herd immunity and we're very much on track for that.



  • Posts: 695 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Did they not predict 100,000 a day and the numbers have fallen to 25,000 a day now.

    What is the equivalent of 100 deaths a day here.

    We are going to have to accept a certain number of deaths unfortuneately, we do need to get normality back for young people and that’s the price to be paid, the herd must move on.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Vaccinated herd immunity, that's a new one 🤣🤣🤣

    How can you have that if vaccinated people are giving it to vaccinated people.

    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,370 ✭✭✭FishOnABike




  • Posts: 519 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It's not a new one actually, it's been a concept for many, many years.

    The concerning bit about this one is herd immunity either by vaccination or natural immunity may not be possible, certainly not in a matter of a 12-16 months of population exposure, due to the nature of the virus. We could be looking at quite a while with boosters and modified vaccines broadening and deepening immunity, and natural infections occurring in vaccinated people, before we achieve anything like herd immunity.

    If the virus isn't stable, or if immunity isn't particularly good, it could be very much like our relationship with influenza. The only problem is that this one is much more infectious, which is creating a number of serious challenges that so far haven't been addressed.

    Natural immunity through infection is absolutely not a silver bullet though and it's quite a high risk approach.

    Flexibility and playing it by ear are essential at the moment it is impossible to accurately predict what's likely to happen, and a bunch of people on a forum theorising about idealised solutions isn't going to deliver them, nor will Tory or GOP political fantasies either.

    We need to be opening, monitoring and opening some more and seeing how that goes and so on until we're out of this.

    The vaccines should have made a huge difference, so fingers crossed the linkage between infections and hospitalisations is adequately broken by having some kind of large scale, vaccine induced immunity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,129 ✭✭✭✭Oranage2


    What were hospital numbers before the last lockdown? Surely we're nearly there



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,895 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    I didn't see the models, but 100k was the estimate, I guess you could argue it's not 100k confirmed cases, but 100k infections a day, but I don't think their positivity rate went over 12%, so they wouldn't have missed that many cases.


    100 deaths a day would be roughly 7 a day here.

    It's not just about deaths, it's tying up the health service with covid patients. Last thing we need is more delays and more elective surgery cancelled.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,820 ✭✭✭ElisaAtWar


    Thanks for that Spiderman. Suppose I was just a bit concerned about medical underlying conditions, hence my caution. But it's good to know that caution isn't required. I have been concerned but who am I to argue with solid percentages like 95. That's a darn fine percentage



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