Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

The man has been nothing but doom and gloom throughout along with insulting anyone who dares to have a differing opinion

According to Paul Reid we hit 1000 cases today.

Tony will be banging the drums for level 5 by the end of the day

If we want to have meaningful Christmas, we need to act now! Lockdown hard for the next 6 months!

It's still down to the hack really, but the numbers are small enough that you would think a pen and paper and phone call to each hospital would be sufficient to gather this data.

We can make a few inferences, based on things we do know;

Median age of all Covid cases is now 23, which speaks to the ongoing march of the vax programme. The portal is to open for 25-30 tomorrow (?) and we're administering second doses at a rate of ~1% of adults per day at the moment, which implies we're 1.5-2 months away from full cover.

Reid said today that 5% of cases are in fully vaccinated people (which is to be expected), and we are close to finished vaccinating all of the most vulnerable cohorts.

That tells us that 90-95% of cases are in people under 60 with no underlying conditions. And this cohort are being vaccinated from the eldest down, at a rate of knots.

From which we can infer that even though cases may rise, it seems likely that ICU & hospital numbers will plateau before they get wildly out of control.

From the figures above, at 950 cases a day of people under 45, will lead to about 0.285 deaths/day based on a 0.03% IFR. Probably less, but let's be pessimistic. So let's say 1.5 deaths/week. The ICU:death ratio is about 10:1, so that's about 15 ICU admissions a week.

Which is kind of squeaky bum, it's 120 admissions in two months. But that's the pessimistic figure and ignores the impact of continued vaccination. I don't see the justification for lockdown here, and pushing indoor dining to 26th will give us a little extra breathing room.

994 cases confirmed

Cases are in the unvaccinated!

Indeed they mainly are

https://twitter.com/RiochtConor2/status/1415703812829065221?s=19

This Delta wave seems to be unstoppable. Cases expected to to plateau in the UK in the next two weeks. I'm feeling more confident now than a few weeks ago that it will probably be ok to some extent

What in the name of god is tit on about the vaccinated dying??

There is always hope about leopards changing spots

And are they still mixing covid and non covid patients in the same ICU still in some hospitals.

Are many hospitised cases out in 24 hours or less with a package of meds after some tests.

Are people still technically counted what should be classed as returned patient to a and e because we dont have covid outpatient clinics like they do in the Uk?

And have they changed the pcr cycle again for non/vaxed separatly.

And are they still spacing beds farther apart and separating patients in nursing homes if they have symptoms vaccinated or not.

The questions one ponders...

Totally agree, the push notifications from rte and so on should be about vaccination numbers daily!