100 Bets to Broke Festival Fever

Gregk961 wrote: »

Good stuff Aiden will be glad to have your write ups back, always used to often give them a read before Saturday racing. Wouldnt be one for following someone elses picks but you even convinced me to back a few winners!

Did you finish up with the paid service or is it still going?

I finished it. I just didn't have the time to be managing it. It was profitable so no harm done.

Haydock 3:15

Aqalim is the outsider of the field here but having another look at his last run in a race that was probably just too quick for him , he ran on well at the end when tailed off earlier. This ground and trip could well be what he needs and with a nice low weight and a few bookies giving 4 places in this 13 runner race I think the 50/1 is value. He was a very decent staying hurdler in soft ground and if he can improve at all here for the step up in trip i think he will give us a decent run for our money here.

1 Point EW 50/1 4 Places sky/ 40/1 4 places hills. 50/1 3 places 365/betway/32/888


Gowran Park 1:55

I get the feeling that this race could fall into the grasp of the outsider here in Mozoltov . Up until this years good form he wouldn't be that far behind Ballycasey and that horse can easily put in a poor run as he often does. He will certainly be favored by the ground and trip here. He was too free in the Hilly Way last time after a long break and if that has put him right he probably wont get a better chance to win a decent race this year.16/1 with paddy seems a good few point too big.

1 Point win 16/1 Paddy/vc/betway/

Wincanton 2:45

A fair few of these need to not perform to give us a chance here but the price on Melodic Rendezvous w/o Yanworth makes it worthwhile. He has a good record around here and once we can ignore his last run over a longer trip he could well improve again today. I don’t think the ground will suit Sceau Royale so we basically need Irving to have a poor day to get a shot at a big pay-out. Irving has done that plenty of times and up to 33/1 w/o fav here is value.


1 Point w/o FAV 33/1 coral 28/1 sky 22/1 lads

3:20 Wincanton


Spice fair has been running well of late and if the fav isn’t thrown in here he could well be second best of the rest making his current price of 12/1 decent value. He likes soft ground, will stay and if his 7lbs claimer can ride he is running of a nice racing weight here. This race isn’t as strong as the ones he has been running well in lately.


1 Point win 12/1 hill/vc/pp/betfair and others

Ascot 2:25

I think this race is just about perfect for Virak. He is of a very nice mark looked to have been getting back to form last time out and although there are a few better than him here I think today may be his day. O’Faolains boy would walk in here of this mark if he was ready but he will be ready in April for the national , the same could be said of last year’s winner Sausalito Sunrise, who will surely be warming up for the big say as well. 15/2 seems value



1 Point win 15/2 365/paddy/betfair/hills

Ascot 3:35

With the ground improving all the time I’m now getting interested here in Irish Cavalier. I fancy him to run a big race in whatever he goes for at the festival and if he is to do that he needs to run well here. It all depends on Cue Card but I think he needs a trip these days and could get caught out for pace. There is essentially nothing between my selection and Taquin du Seuil really and the price difference is too much to ignore.


1 Point win 20/1 generally 22/1 Stan

My subscription service ends on the 28/2 ill be posting selections then.

I only ever look at horses on Saturdays, and big meetings.

muletide wrote: »

Aidan - Must look up that subscription service - thanks for the reply.
mod edit: <snip>.

No need to look it up the last selections were posted today. From here on itll be back to free..

Deco99 wrote: »

How'd the venture work out? Obviously not amazing given your stopping just curious as to what happened. Always like to see someone stick their neck out to do something they enjoy as a business. Unfortunately I only have a passing interest in horses so wasn't for me.

It went well enough profitable in 2015 and 2016 which was a total of 16 months and about 75 points profit. Slow start this year but at the prices I go for it needs a decent sample . the reason I'm stopping is I'm too busy to keep up the texts emails subs etc. I'm giving up a fair few quid but it wasn't worth it , especially when it got in the way of enjoying Cheltenham last year .

It was more of an experiment to see if money can be made at it and it proved that can work .

Newbury 1:30

Royal Guardsman has been a good horse for me as I’ve been on both times he has won around here at a decent price. His reappearance this year was decent and if he can improve on that, this race looks weaker and he should be fitter. He certainly isn’t a 14/1 shot and more than likely will go off around 9/1. He is back to his winning mark.


1 Point win 14/1 Generally

Triumph NRNB

It looks to me as if there is a huge chance the ground will be at least Good-Soft again here and I think there is no chance that Landofhopeandglory will start at 20/1 on good ground. He is sure to improve for his last run and the Heavy Ground then was never going to suit. I’m going to take the 20/1 now as he’ll go of about 12/1 at best. He was favorite for this race for a long time and I’m not sure anything that has happened since has changed his chance. There is also the slight risk and that hot fav here will withdraw on good ground which will have a huge effect on the price.


1 Point win 20/1 365/sky/boyles/sporting/32 and more