Less cold...then colder again

I know it's a bit early to tell but is there a chance that we might experience the same extreme temperatures we have had during this cold spell?

darkman2 wrote: »

Happy Christmas everyone (Turkey was lovely!)



Anyway - oh yeah it's on again. Very cold weather due to return before the New Year. Increasingly the models are trending towards an outcome that seems inevitable as we begin 2011. Firstly a cold continental easterly flow will become established toward the second part of next week bringing surface cold and harsh frosts. This should then be replaced by a North or Northeasterly later so frost, ice and snow should return quite quickly after a brief milder interuption but the timing of this evolution is uncertain. Right now I reckon this could evolve before the new year.

On another note tomorrow will be hazardous for driving when freezing rain crosses the country tomorrow afternoon. The rain will form a film on top of ice. Walking will be treacherous aswell. Best advice is just not to go out really. Another extremely cold night tonight but the last cold night for a few days at least.

I am pondering Christmas Day mad theory.

I have noticed with every run the slight decreasing of the breakdown.

The cold is now lasting right up until tomorrow night and the chances of snow in the northeast seem to be increasing.

I still think there is a 2% chance of the unthinkable happening.

The UKMO is a stunning output in the long term.

The difference between this chart... and the charts shown a few days ago for Monday is huge. Kick that ridge in another 100 miles and you have the cold surface temps sticking into the NE of NI.

Well the BBC charts for tomorrow has just one wee part of Donegal covered in white for tomorrow , just so happens thats exactly where I am .
Well see what comes of it.

Lads cab I just ask a perhaps stupid question - wont it just be rain and not freezing rain? In most parts of the country the temp would be above zero at this stage I would have thought? The snow is all gone here in cork but my mum said the pavements are meant to be lethal which I can't understand - thought it would have melted by now. I'm
Meant to go out tonight which im not looking forward to anyway cos it's going to be windy and lashing rain but if it's icy too - there's no way!!

Thanks!

Leahyl the ground temperatures in many places is still below freezing so the rain will land on frozen ground and become frozen. Also the rain will end up just washing away the grip that the snow had and will make it very dicey riley indeed.

Theres no sign of any cold in the forseeable future, a big anticyclone in the vicinity of Ireland at this time year can only mean gloom and overcast skies.
Remember the big anticyclone of around 1040mbs on top of us about two weeks ago? ME forecasted temps of -5 at night, I predicted temps of +5 under a blanket of cloud. I was right they were wrong- by about 10c!
Cloud and gloom for the remainder of 2010 unfortunately.

Elmer Blooker wrote: »

Cloud and gloom for the remainder of 2010 unfortunately.

Probably. But since it's less than a week until 2011 it's hardly a big deal.

This is exciting to read, certainly BBC expecting an onslaught of the wintry weather to return to the shores ,which boades well for the Emerald Isle.

BBC Monthly Outlook
Published at 10:00, 27 December

(Next update at 10:00, 3 January 2011)

Written by Peter Gibbs
Summary
It's a breakthrough, but not for long.

At 7am on Boxing Day morning the temperature at Castlederg in Northern Ireland crept above freezing, for the first time since the 17th of December.

Milder air was at last breaking through from the Atlantic, but as usual the transition was a messy one. After such a prolonged cold spell, a dangerous mix of rain, sleet, snow and ice spread erratically eastwards across the UK.

The signs are that milder weather will be relatively short-lived as the blocking weather pattern reasserts itself.

Without any change of airmass, any input of warmth from the feeble winter sun is more than offset by cooling during the long nights. The net effect is that temperatures continue to fall. As a result, January 2011 looks set to be another cold month.

Monday 27 December 2010 to Sunday 2 January 2011
Quiet start to the New Year

Once the milder Atlantic air is in place there will be a slow but steady thaw of the lying snow right across the UK.

Frost-free nights will be a novelty, but the combination of mild, moist air sitting over cold ground always leads to disappointingly grey, dank weather.

A brief spell of easterly winds later in the week gives a hint of what's in store for the New Year weekend, as temperatures begin to ease downwards once again. However, there's little sign of any disruptive weather for New Year revellers or travellers.

Monday 3 January 2011 to Sunday 9 January 2011
Chilly but dry

High pressure is expected to continue to dominate the weather across the UK.

Temperatures will once again fall below average during the first full week of the New Year. Largely dry but cold conditions then look set to persist until the end of the period, but with occasional rain or snow showers affecting some northeastern parts at times.

Frost and icy stretches remain a risk across all parts.

Monday 10 January 2011 to Sunday 23 January 2011
Cold and colder

The cold weather looks set to continue across the UK, with particularly low temperatures likely across central parts. This gives a continuing risk of widespread sharp frosts overnight for most regions, with daytime temperatures only a little above freezing.

Sunshine and precipitation amounts look set to be around average for mid-January, but given the continuing low temperatures, it is likely that some places will see further snow.
Next week

Is there no end to the cold snap? Find out next week

mike65 wrote: »

You have to be careful about transposing weather that Britain gets to Ireland. For example the east of England usually has warmer/drier summers, the same areas can have colder winter temps.

Pangea wrote: »

,which boades well for the Emerald Isle.

The Uk forecast covers the North Of Ireland, Castlederg was even mentioned there, If the arctic weather is in the UK then its a general indication of what things will be like in Ireland.