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Price Changes 2015/2016

greedygoblin

So, a new season means a welcome* return to the mayhem of trying to guess who will rise in value and who will fall. The price prediction websites usually struggle early on as they try to get to grips with the algorithm changes that FPL Towers have cooked up.

The main sites that seem to be tracking price changes this year are fiso.co.uk, fplstatistics.com and fantasyfootballfix.com. It might take a couple of weeks yet for them to get some degree of accuracy going, but usually one can guesstimate reasonably well the players who will likely take off (ala Kane last season) and who will plummet (I'm looking at you BUIB! :mad::pac:).

The first bandwagon of the year looks to be Mahrez due to his impressive performance against Sunderland, with Courtois being jettisoned at the rate of knots by players after his red card against Swansea.

Last season I chased team value early on, to the detriment of my points total (-4's became a bit of a habit). This season I think I will try to take a more conservative approach to chasing price rises. Plenty of cheap and mid-priced players look like they could hit the ground running, while many of the stars so far have failed to set the FPL world alight.

Looking at the predicted changes, nobody seems like rising or falling for a few days yet, so my tentative advice is to play it by ear and hold off on any knee-jerk reactions until the lay of the land becomes more apparent.

* May not be entirely true!

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Scorpion Sting

Up: Bellerín, Ighalo, A. Sánchez, Smalling, Vardy

Down: Hoolahan, Jarvis, MacDonald, Pritchard, Rodriguez, Shaqiri, Sturridge, van Aanholt, Yaya Touré

Bleating Lamb

Do people think Mata will drop tonight?

Aenaes

Looks likely. He's at -98.7 at the moment.

Scorpion Sting

Up: Lloris, Özil, Payet

Down: Amalfitano, Arlauskis, Mata, Matic, Navas, Ramsey, Stanislas, Traoré

shineon23

Am hoping the Mata drop will offset a further double drop for Martial before I can bank the remaining .1 profit.

Colking

Damn it, was looking strongly at replacing Begovic with Lloris, thought I had another day at least to make that decision before he went up.

km79

Colking wrote: »

Damn it, was looking strongly at replacing Begovic with Lloris, thought I had another day at least to make that decision before he went up.

same as

ah well its better than risking an injury in the unlikely event he plays in Carling cup
ah crap I just checked and they are out of it
oh well

SlickRic

Delighted i did Mata to Payet already so.

Nib

Looks like Darmian is falling tonight. Worth taking a -4 for Kolarov/van Dijk/Bertrand?

Benimar

Nib wrote: »

Looks like Darmian is falling tonight. Worth taking a -4 for Kolarov/van Dijk/Bertrand?

Was hoping he would survive till tomorrow as I wanted VvD to come through the cup game 1st.

Might risk it.

Benimar

Benimar wrote: »

Was hoping he would survive till tomorrow as I wanted VvD to come through the cup game 1st.

Might risk it.

After all the injuries tonight I'm not risking an early transfer any more!!

shineon23

OneColdHand wrote: »

Every morning I wake up hoping Mick McCarthy has been incorporated into the price changes thread!

RossieMan wrote: »

I die a little without Mick telling me who's gone up or down.

Up:
De Bruyne, Kevin

Down:
Albrighton, Marc
Anichebe, Victor
Antonio, Michail
Bartley, Kyle
Gomis, Bafétimbi
Fàbregas, Cesc
Benalouane, Yohan
Thauvin, Florian
Pedro

shineon23

Up:
Kane, Harry
Alderweireld, Toby

Down:
Distin, Sylvain
Gueye, Idrissa
Darmian, Matteo
Sako, Bakary

shineon23

Up:

Down:
Martial
Sturridge
Terry
Ledley
Depay
Waselewski
Pugh
Ulloa
Wickham
Whitaker

the groutch

My prediction for tonight

Rikand

Will Martial survive the drop ? He's gone from 50% to 82% to a drop in the last couple of hours

Nib

Doubt it, can't see him dropping 18% in an hour.

lougal88

Rikand wrote: »

Will Martial survive the drop ? He's gone from 50% to 82% to a drop in the last couple of hours

45 minutes to go and 5500 transfers.

I'd say you're safe enough.

Paully D

Rikand wrote: »

Will Martial survive the drop ? He's gone from 50% to 82% to a drop in the last couple of hours

I'd be absolutely amazed if he dropped between now and the price change deadline if he's at 82% at the minute, but the sites have been wrong a couple of times with players at that sort of mark this season from what I've seen.

Trimm Trabb

Paully D wrote: »

I'd be absolutely amazed if he dropped between now and the price change deadline if he's at 82% at the minute, but the sites have been wrong a couple of times with players at that sort of mark this season from what I've seen.

Is the deadline 1.30 or 2am?

lougal88

Trimm Trabb wrote: »

Is the deadline 1.30 or 2am?

It's about 1.15

iroced

Kompany, Bony, Pellè, Moreno, Mané, van Dijk

Baines, Walcott, Naughton, Mignolet, Welbeck, Shelvey, Hazard, Shaw, Westwood, Oviedo, Gil, Azpilicueta, Diego Costa

---

Haven't checked the others but Kompany was very far from rising

...

[Deleted User]

That's Bôllocks.

I waited on bringing Moreno in because he was on about 93% with less than an hour to go.

Edit - and I'm sure Sagna was on at least 100% which is who I did bring in.

stephenl15

Literally just noticed Westwood there

Benimar

stephenl15 wrote: »

Literally just noticed Westwood there

That caught me out too, as did the Moreno one. Would have made one of the two moves if the changes were predicted.

SlickRic

Fúck you Kyle Naughton.

machiavellianme

Moreno was on 97% when I checked at 11:30 and hennessy was at 99.9%. Sagna was over 100% at that time too, all on fplstats. No one was close on totalfpl. I guess the algorithm needs more tweaking.

PARlance

machiavellianme wrote: »

Moreno was on 97% when I checked at 11:30 and hennessy was at 99.9%. Sagna was over 100% at that time too, all on fplstats. No one was close on totalfpl. I guess the algorithm needs more tweaking.

Not massively on Fplstats. You should really have given up on totalfpl long ago.

FHFC

SlickRic wrote: »

Fúck you Kyle Naughton.

+1

However he's gonna pay us back with clean sheets next week and the week after.

lougal88

FHFC wrote: »

+1

However he's gonna pay us back with clean sheets next week and the week after.

Wasn't even keeping an eye on him. Did he drop rapidly in final hour?

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