The Football Tips Thread v3

saiint · 16-10-2012 10:52am

Avfctom wrote: »

England win
Holland win
Argentina win
5/1

i can see england losing tonight

superfurry1 · 16-10-2012 10:57am

Bale and Ibrahimovic ist goalscorer double plus singles:D 14-1 and 9-1 respectively. Bale is a big price for one moment of magic

Avfctom · 16-10-2012 2:23pm

Avfctom wrote: »

Looking at

Japan v brazil Tuesday think looks like money to be made

Brazil to win 1/2 looks big
Neymar hat trick 16/1 too big to ignore
Brazil -1 11/8
Brazil -2 18/5
Brszil ht ft 6/5
Neymar anytime brazil win 11/10
Over 2.5 10/11
Brazil to score both halves11/8

I know its a friendly but i have seen alot of brazil and they take friendlys seriously and as much as i rate japan i cant see them being able to deal with brazils attacking threat any opinions on this

Main bet as its a 1pm kick off on Tuesday with the International games on the evening going big on a double
Brazil to win 1/2
Quatar v uzbekistan under 2.5 goals 7/10
Stake £100 returns £255

Boom back with a bang 1 more from neymar and every bet won

francie81 · 16-10-2012 5:00pm

Estonia are a shocking match bet price @2/7 considering their current form and Andorra being stubborn enough to breakdown at home.

Avfctom · 16-10-2012 5:21pm

William hill doing a prioroty price on the england game avaible at 6pm

The_Kew_Tour · 16-10-2012 5:21pm

Radonman wrote: »

Russia v Azerbaijan
First goal after the 21st min @ 10/11 PP
I'm discounting Russia's home form as they are very inconsistant but it still would have come in in 3 of the last 4 home games and its took the 30mins to score against N Ireland:)
In their last 5 away's Azerbaijan's record reads as follows
V Portugal first goals @ 63
V japan first goal @ 43
V Albania first goal @ 22
V Turkey first goal @ 60
v Kazakahstan first goal @ 57

With Russia's erratic form in front of goals and Azerbaijan's obvious defensive strenghts this looks like good bet - depends on which Kerzhakov turns up of course:P

Well done. Was good value on that. Fair play:)

Blatter · 16-10-2012 5:28pm

The_Kew_Tour wrote: »

Well done. Was good value on that. Fair play:)

The first goal has yet to go in though!;) Hopefully it does.

redarmy · 16-10-2012 5:49pm

Blatter wrote: »

The first goal has yet to go in though!;) Hopefully it does.

1-0

mailburner · 16-10-2012 5:59pm

went for this at 3/1

belg -1
ire faroe under 2.5

both look good to me and both around evens (365)

Avfctom · 16-10-2012 6:02pm

England win rooney anytime enhanced to 5/1 from 2/1 william hill £10 max

FlawedGenius · 16-10-2012 6:50pm

Taking Ireland cleansheet at 4/5
England win at evens(small stakes)

Banker accum of Portugal to win to nil 4/9, Faroes +3 1/4, under 5 goals in moldova san marino, england +2 1/16..pays 1/1

Double of Moldova to win to nil 8/15(good stats for this winning)
Faroe goals under 1.5 1/7 pays abit under 1/1.

iMuse · 16-10-2012 7:31pm

England match in danger of being called off due to waterlogged pitch. Might take unders despite it being 1.6 on pp

UnknownSpecies · 16-10-2012 7:40pm

Went for Italy, Germany, Austria and Belgium. 2.15-1 isn't bad considering all the opponents are in pretty poor form.

Tony Clarke · 16-10-2012 8:00pm

Had a large enough bet on England tonight, game now postponed more than likely postponed until tommorow at 8. To me this is a massive downside for england as the support will have massively dropped. contacted PP and they said if the game is played within 24hours they will not refund???

babymanval · 16-10-2012 8:03pm

Tony Clarke wrote: »

Had a large enough bet on England tonight, game now postponed more than likely postponed until tommorow at 8. To me this is a massive downside for england as the support will have massively dropped. contacted PP and they said if the game is played within 24hours they will not refund???

Standard policy, yeah. The bet stands if postponement is within 24 hours. I had same happen with Real a few weeks back when their game was knocked back 24 hours due to floodlight sabotage in Valecano's stadium.

Tony Clarke · 16-10-2012 8:07pm

babymanval wrote: »

Standard policy, yeah. The bet stands if postponement is within 24 hours. I had same happen with Real a few weeks back when their game was knocked back 24 hours due to floodlight sabotage in Valecano's stadium.

joke when you consider they will have very little support i think

magherakid · 16-10-2012 8:10pm

Portugal v N Ireland
Ronaldo 2 or more 1/1
Ronaldo Hat-Trick 5/1

babymanval · 16-10-2012 8:11pm

Tony Clarke wrote: »

joke when you consider they will have very little support i think

Certainly unfortunate, although one could question what effect the English crowd could ever have in a raucous Polish stadium. I don't see it being a huge factor, they're as professional as it comes, and used to playing in very hostile PL corwds each weekend.

De Dannan · 16-10-2012 8:56pm

Is Poland England game postponed till tommorow ?

iMuse · 16-10-2012 9:01pm

De Dannan wrote: »

Is Poland England game postponed till tommorow ?

Yeah 4pm kick off tomorrow

Headshot · 16-10-2012 9:06pm

Chile v Argentina

Argentina & Over 2.5 @6/5

Loving this bet. Chile are in disarray with in house fighting. The manager is on brink of sack. Argentina are unreal so far, iv never seen them playing this well for a very long time. Messi has finally brought his Barca form to the International team.

inforfun · 16-10-2012 9:12pm

Headshot wrote: »

Chile v Argentina

Argentina & Over 2.5 @6/5

Loving this bet. Chile are in disarray with in house fighting. The manager is on brink of sack. Argentina are unreal so far, iv never seen them playing this well for a very long time. Messi has finally brought his Barca form to the International team.

Once learned from a Chilean that this for them is what Ireland - England is for the Irish or Holland - Germany for the Dutch.

Wish i could find a proper card market for this match. Only 1 i can find is Sending off yes/no on betfair @2.58 (Yes)
Think i ll be on that one.

Headshot · 16-10-2012 9:13pm

inforfun wrote: »

Once learned from a Chilean that this for them is what Ireland - England is for the Irish or Holland - Germany for the Dutch.

Wish i could find a proper card market for this match. Only 1 i can find is Sending off yes/no on betfair @2.58 (Yes)
Think i ll be on that one.

Ya I was also thinking of the card handicap. Chile are a right dirty team. Medal the nutter will be playing tonight. Vidal will be a huge miss for them

FlawedGenius · 16-10-2012 9:15pm

I see Skybet have void all bets on the England game. Will/have PP and B365 do/done the same??

IsThisIt??? · 16-10-2012 9:22pm

iMuse wrote: »

Yeah 4pm kick off tomorrow

Does anyone know if in shop bets with PP are voided now? I know online ones are still live if the match is played the next calender day but not sure about in shop.

Lasagna Diarra · 16-10-2012 9:32pm

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

This should be a banker, I'm thinking of putting the winnings from that Bastia bet on it, not sure if the risk is worth it though...
England to win to nil (vs San Marino)
Holland to win to nil (vs Andorra)
Moldova (away to San Marino)
Bosnia (vs Lithuania)
@ 1.72

Slightly worried about Moldova, they won 2-0 in San Marino 2 years ago and it's pros vs really bad amateurs, but San Marino might finally call up the San Marino U21 keeper who's really good...

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

This looks a banker for next week:
San Marino not to score (vs Moldova)
Under 3.5 in Andorra vs Estonia
@ 1.99

Most of Estonia's games vs minnows go under 3.5:
2-0 vs El Salvador
0-2 vs Faroe Islands
1-1 vs Liechtenstein
2-1 vs Faroe Islands
1-0 vs Angola
3-0 vs Equatorial Guinea
plus head to head stats point to an underish game too:
http://www.soccerway.com/matches/2012/10/16/europe/wc-qualifying-europe/andorra/estonia/1239719/head2head/

Estonia's morale should be low too having lost their first 3 qualifying games.

Report from Moldova's 2-0 win vs San Marino in 2012:http://www.uefa.com/uefaeuro/season=2012/matches/round=15171/match=2002079/postmatch/report/index.html

Get in!!

Avfctom · 16-10-2012 9:41pm

Wtf thanks germany cost me 500 quid

squirrelohara · 16-10-2012 9:41pm

Well germany just made an absolute mess of my bets. 4-1 up. What a joke!!

squirrelohara · 16-10-2012 9:42pm

Avfctom wrote: »

Wtf thanks germany cost me 500 quid

Its mental. Im sickened along with a lot of people id say.

Juwwi · 16-10-2012 9:42pm

€155 was wagered on the draw in the germany game at 999/1 on betfair :eek:

Vanbis · 16-10-2012 9:50pm

robbie1977 wrote: »

€155 was wagered on the draw in the germany game at 999/1 on betfair :eek:

I wonder what the score was when they placed that bet?

Anyone thoughts on Argentina tomorrow night winning by a 2 or 3? They seem to be playing well and scoring while Chile have problems.

tinodz · 16-10-2012 9:51pm

Going for the Messi Wincast tomorrow @ Evens

magherakid · 16-10-2012 9:57pm

Colombia v Cameroon
Colombia -1 10/11

BettorAssist · 16-10-2012 10:23pm

Headshot wrote: »

Chile v Argentina

Argentina & Over 2.5 @6/5 Loving this bet. Chile are in disarray with in house fighting. The manager is on brink of sack. Argentina are unreal so far, iv never seen them playing this well for a very long time. Messi has finally brought his Barca form to the International team.

argentina & 3 or 4 total goals at 2.4/1 with paddy.

UnknownSpecies · 16-10-2012 10:39pm

BettorAssist wrote: »

argentina & 3 or 4 total goals at 2.4/1 with paddy.

How do you place that bet? Can't see the option?

BettorAssist · 16-10-2012 10:46pm

dorgasm wrote: »

How do you place that bet? Can't see the option?

when you go to the page on paddy for the match look at the top and click 'expand all' to get all the match markets.

then look for the market or do a ctrl+f search for '3 or 4'.

basically that bet covers 4 correct score bets.

UnknownSpecies · 16-10-2012 10:51pm

BettorAssist wrote: »

when you go to the page on paddy for the match look at the top and click 'expand all' to get all the match markets.

then look for the market or do a ctrl+f search for '3 or 4'.

Bang on, thanks.

Colombia are without a lot of first teamers tonight. Falcao gone back to Atletico.

http://colombiareports.com/colombia-news/sports/26507-colombia-soccer-stars-to-miss-cameroon-friendly.html

redarmy · 16-10-2012 10:51pm

Headshot wrote: »

Chile v Argentina

Argentina & Over 2.5 @6/5

Loving this bet. Chile are in disarray with in house fighting. The manager is on brink of sack. Argentina are unreal so far, iv never seen them playing this well for a very long time. Messi has finally brought his Barca form to the International team.

wont let me double this on pp:mad:

Headshot · 16-10-2012 10:55pm

redarmy wrote: »

wont let me double this on pp:mad:

Bettor's bet might do ya red

BettorAssist · 16-10-2012 10:56pm

redarmy wrote: »

wont let me double this on pp:mad:

you can't double on the same match.

its one bet offered by some bookies, mainly bet365 at odds lower than the doubled odds because one bet affects the likelihood of the other winning.

redarmy · 16-10-2012 11:01pm

BettorAssist wrote: »

you can't double on the same match.

its one bet offered by some bookies, mainly bet365 at odds ..lower than the doubled odds because one bet affects the likelihood of the other winning.

thanks argie now 4/7..

Headshot · 17-10-2012 3:02am

Headshot wrote: »

Chile v Argentina

Argentina & Over 2.5 @6/5

Loving this bet. Chile are in disarray with in house fighting. The manager is on brink of sack. Argentina are unreal so far, iv never seen them playing this well for a very long time. Messi has finally brought his Barca form to the International team.

yessssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss
sssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss
ssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss

thanks ****

I was ****ed in the Germany game at the last minute and this time im saved

tinodz · 17-10-2012 7:10am

tinodz wrote: »

Going for the Messi Wincast tomorrow @ Evens

Hooray for no research

magherakid · 17-10-2012 11:10am

magherakid wrote: »

Colombia v Cameroon
Colombia -1 10/11

3-0 boom

Alaska1 · 17-10-2012 12:18pm

I assume in shop bets from the England game will be carried forward to today ?

stevemac182 · 17-10-2012 1:50pm

IsThisIt??? wrote: »

Does anyone know if in shop bets with PP are voided now? I know online ones are still live if the match is played the next calender day but not sure about in shop.

Anyone have any info on this? I have an Ireland/Belgium/England treble on. Will it carry over to today's game or will I just get paid out for the double?

BettorAssist · 17-10-2012 2:01pm

It will carry forward. Good Luck.

Quahog217 · 17-10-2012 6:17pm

Blue square north tonight Chester v Bradford PA

Average goals in last 10 chester games is 3.7
Average goals in last 10 bradford pa games is 3.4

There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 out of the last 10 bradford pa games
There have been over 2.5 goals in 8 out of the last 10 chester games

Top price available 1/2 with paddy powers.

Not a huge price obviously but probably should be closer to 1/3 so a tiny bit of value maybe.

And yes i am very bored this evening that i researched this!

Headshot · 17-10-2012 9:49pm

Santos v Atletico MG

I went for overs because I feel with Neymar back and MG needing a win, it should be an open game. Now its not 100% confirmed he'll play but Neymar usually plays straight after internationals (it will hurt him in the long run)

Portuguesa v Flamengo

I decided to pick goal line here because I wasnt to confident in overs but when I read that Flamengo and Portuguesa will have defensive concerns (players injured or suspended) I thought it was worth a shot

Santiago Morning v Universidad De Chile
Home team is a division below De Chile. The first game ended 3-3. So im hoping for another goal fest and just did the goal line as a precaution

Its a treble that I wouldnt be that confident in compared to last nights Argentina bet but I have a bit of money to play with so worth a shot

BettorAssist · 17-10-2012 11:48pm

With a bit of a break of 'betable' matches, unless you are up to date on the Brazilian Serie A, it might be a good time to get some of the more experienced members to pitch in with a bit of advice on how they evaluate a bet. I tend to avoid betting on games where a few players would have been playing internationals as with the higher intensity of internationals, jet lag and fatigue you don't know what to expect.

For those reasons the only premier league match that holds a genuine betting interest for me this weekend is West Ham v Southampton.

over 2.5 goals @ 4/6
both teams to score @ 4/7

I would be interested to hear from some of ye which bet do ye think is better value and how you go about deciding on the fair/true odds.

Step up, step up.

The Football Tips Thread v3

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