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COLD SPELL Jan 28th Onwards: Wintry Showers/Frosty, Some Snow Accumulations

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    #1772
    Pretzill
    Registered Users Posts: 4,684 ✭✭✭Pretzill


    Oscar Bravo wrote: »
    Epic snow at knock!!

    I can see the cloud hanging out over there - while you got snow we got a whiteout with hail.


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    #1773
    The_Shotz
    Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭The_Shotz


    Was just out for a run and half way round it began to rain and then turned to snow in waterford city, about 18.15


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    #1774
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    12Z ECM shows Monday's low just barely grazing the far southwest coast. Looks like no snow potential from that unless it shifts east. Showers in the north.

    150130_1200_72.png

    Tuesday looking a bit better.

    150130_1200_90.png


    Still a few days to go so changes are possible.


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    #1775
    RED L4 0TH
    Closed Accounts Posts: 655 ✭✭✭RED L4 0TH


    Negative DPs in a number of spots at the moment. May explain the various reports of snow this evening.

    pointrosee_uk_brf9.png


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    #1776
    Strangegravy
    Registered Users Posts: 356 ✭✭Strangegravy


    If Monday's low does hit right it could be a snowfest for some. It'll be an interesting one to watch either way.

    15020206_3012.gif


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    #1777
    redsteveireland
    Registered Users Posts: 3,034 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    [URL="[img]http://i.imgur.com/Qi8xl2Il.jpg[/img]"]Qi8xl2Il.jpg[/URL]


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    #1778
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,140 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Very very light sleet here in Clare. I guarantee if I was 500m to the west I would have snow. It's like I have an invisable snow barrier around my house.


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    #1779
    icesnowfrost
    Registered Users Posts: 1,008 ✭✭✭icesnowfrost


    hopfully the east coast will get a good snow fall mon/tue and a few streamers off the irish sea could produce some good snow


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    #1780
    RED L4 0TH
    Closed Accounts Posts: 655 ✭✭✭RED L4 0TH


    Thickness chart for early Tuesday morning looks good as well on the 12Z run.

    90-526UK_olr4.GIF


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    #1781
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,140 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    uksnowrisk.png

    Looks like a nice bit of snow on Monday Night!

    uksnowrisk.png

    High snow risk all down the east coast and midlands (Away from sea level)
    Doesn't this look like a rainbow?

    These snow risk charts sure are promising!


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    #1782
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    RED L4 0TH wrote: »
    Negative DPs in a number of spots at the moment. May explain the various reports of snow this evening.

    pointrosee_uk_brf9.png

    That would explain rain turning to snow in Waterford City earlier. Currently we have a temp of 2.7c DP 0.0c but no showers on the radar heading in this direction.

    www.waterfordcityweather.com


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    #1783
    redsteveireland
    Registered Users Posts: 3,034 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    uksnowrisk.png

    Looks like a nice bit of snow on Monday Night!

    uksnowrisk.png

    High snow risk all down the east coast and midlands (Away from sea level)
    Doesn't this look like a rainbow?

    These snow risk charts sure are promising!

    Promising yes, false promises. They should be banned in my opinion.


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    #1784
    vizualpics
    Registered Users Posts: 70 ✭✭vizualpics


    For all the newbies or not so newbies, this is a good post to brush up on your forecasting skills, posted by Su Campu back in 2011. Worth a read! http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056447334


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    #1785
    NMB
    Registered Users Posts: 314 ✭✭NMB


    Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »
    Jean mentions some wintery showers for Monday/Tuesday. Anything outside 48/60 hours with a pinch of salt currently ;)

    I like Jean she ...... I like Jean . Gerry must be on a break after his rough week. Bet it's Evelyn all weekend - oh the misery berries postmen and bunnies are all traitors to their species.


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    #1786
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,910 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Evelyn is missing for weeks


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    #1787
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,011 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    Evelyn is missing for weeks

    She has been seeding clouds with snow sprinkles


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    #1788
    NMB
    Registered Users Posts: 314 ✭✭NMB


    vistafinder wrote: »
    I hope Evelyn is on for the weekend. Id say she loves the cold as much as us.

    Could be a good omen if she is on....:D

    Ah Hah hah ! just saw this !


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    #1789
    sunbabe08
    Registered Users Posts: 6,322 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    :(:(:(:( that's not a good forecast at all. well for cork mostly


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    #1790
    vizualpics
    Registered Users Posts: 70 ✭✭vizualpics


    Ground white here in Castlebar with Graupel/ice pellets/hail (not sure what the difference is between all 3?).


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    #1791
    FWVT
    Closed Accounts Posts: 922 ✭✭✭FWVT


    I think the next 24 hours brings a good chance of the type of thing we're seeing at the moment - showers giving some more (wet) snow at low levels, apart from during the middle of tomorrow - with activity retreating to shallow convection along Atlantic coasts tomorrow night as upper heights and temperatures rise from the west. There will be a good supply of cold air with less low-level modification in the stiff northerly, but this flow slows down into Sunday, leading to a good 24 hours of stagnation of low levels before any system arrives on Monday. This means that if any precipitation does arrive on Monday - which is looking less likely - it will be falling through well-modified low levels (eg. +3 °C 975 hPa at around 200-250 m amsl), so it would more likely mean only snow for very high ground in the southwest.

    Tuesday is the money shot for me. That low looks like moving down from Iceland, dragging some very cold air behind it, with minimal modification. This time the GFS is showing 975 hPa level a good 3 or 4 degrees colder than Monday, and very dynamic lift will mean a much better prospect of a good snow event for many. Still a lot of things to fall into place though.

    ecm0125_nat_msl_t850_6urk_2015013012_090.jpg


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    #1792
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,910 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Jeans forecast was a joke and very inaccurate.

    1 she said showers be of snow mainly at night by day rain sleet.

    No Jean all charts support snow to all levels

    2 she said it will be cold

    No Jean it will be bitterly cold with a biting northerly wind adding significant wind chill

    3 she said staying cold into next week with patchy rain n sleet with snow on high ground

    Again no Jean next week will be bitter with ice days and risk of widespread snow on Tuesday

    If you agree please like my post


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    #1793
    NMB
    Registered Users Posts: 314 ✭✭NMB


    FWVT For We Very Thrilled

    always by your words thanks


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    #1794
    NMB
    Registered Users Posts: 314 ✭✭NMB


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    Jeans forecast was a joke and very inaccurate.

    1 she said showers be of snow mainly at night by day rain sleet.

    No Jean all charts support snow to all levels

    2 she said it will be cold

    No Jean it will be bitterly cold with a biting northerly wind adding significant wind chill

    3 she said staying cold into next week with patchy rain n sleet with snow on high ground

    Again no Jean next week will be bitter with ice days and risk of widespread snow on Tuesday

    If you agree please like my post

    But it's Met E and it's early to be committing, (I still like Jean)


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    #1795
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,910 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    NMB wrote: »
    But it's Met E and it's early to be committing, (I still like Jean)
    2-3 days away with every chart showing -8 uppers.
    Are they waiting for a state guarantee


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    #1796
    WheatenBriar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,170 ✭✭✭WheatenBriar


    sunbabe08 wrote: »
    :(:(:(:( that's not a good forecast at all. well for cork mostly
    Aye but don't despair,that was a Holding Forecast if ever I saw one :)


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    #1797
    NMB
    Registered Users Posts: 314 ✭✭NMB


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    2-3 days away with every chart showing -8 uppers.
    Are they waiting for a state guarantee
    You can bank on that


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    #1798
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,910 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    18 shows temps maxing at 2/3 degrees for the next 7 days.
    This is an exceptional cold spell in the offing

    Perhaps disappointment over lack of snow this week has people dispondent not sure


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    #1799
    FWVT
    Closed Accounts Posts: 922 ✭✭✭FWVT


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    2-3 days away with every chart showing -8 uppers.
    Are they waiting for a state guarantee

    But the 850 hPa level is rising all the time from tomorrow, by about 250 m higher than today. 850 hPa temperature alone is only one factor of a lot to look at.


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    #1800
    NMB
    Registered Users Posts: 314 ✭✭NMB


    FWVT wrote: »
    But the 850 hPa level is rising all the time from tomorrow, by about 250 m higher than today. 850 hPa temperature alone is only one factor of a lot to look at.

    Hell of a lot of nice things to look at though


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    #1801
    irishmotorist
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,268 ✭✭✭irishmotorist


    WheatenBriar wrote: »
    Aye but don't despair,that was a Holding Forecast if ever I saw one :)

    Definitely. "And there'll be showers on Tuesday"

    I swear I heard her mutter "showers of some description ;-)" under her breath!


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