Speaking of China, their ambassador to France rather put his foot in it yesterday in suggesting that "former Soviet countries, including the Baltic states, don’t have effective status in international law.” Needless to say, this didn't go down well in said Baltic States.
China attacking Taiwan would be like Vlad attacking Ukraine.. oh wait
Ukraine had security guarantees from the US just like Taiwan has, but in the absence of actual NATO membership or a legal agreement its hard to see them starting WW3 for Ukraine or Taiwan, which is why we are where we are.
China attacking Taiwan will be sanctioned, and Taiwan armed by the west (unless surrounded by Chinese Navy).
The US will not intervene against another nuclear armed state for Taiwan
Interesting read in regards china USA conflict https://r.search.yahoo.com/_ylt=AwrE.sOiPUZkqeUEZhBx.9w4;_ylu=Y29sbwNiZjEEcG9zAzEEdnRpZANDT0NPTUVHQVRFU1QxXzEEc2VjA3Nj/RV=2/RE=1682353698/RO=10/RU=https%3a%2f%2fnews.yahoo.com%2flawmakers-war-game-conflict-china-142544759.html/RK=2/RS=ep.8kaewuu4nYyI9iyotpQvMlVw-
The US is on record saying they would defend Tawain with US personnel/boots on the ground.
Completely different to Ukraine in my view. Would be a massive gamble from China.
The US is more likely to get involved with Taiwan than it was in Ukraine.
It's a moot point either way, China are patient and will wait it out until reunification occurs at some point (likely as politics in China shifts more towards the centre). China also knows that the value of Taiwan is taking it whole not ruined, Taiwan also know this.
some great reads in that link, thank you
Ground just needs to harden
What a remarkable thing for a “diplomat” to say, 30 years after the USSR fell apart. And scary.
Macron is really such a smug, self-centered little t_rd. This has a lot to do with his treacherous stunt a couple of weeks ago.
"The US will not intervene against another nuclear armed state for Taiwan"
Hmm, considering that Taiwan makes 60% of the world's semiconductors and actually 90% of the most advanced ones, I wouldn't be so sure about that. Semiconductors are the oil of the 21st century. Any disruption to this vital supply chain will have consequences.
US, Korea, Japan and Australia have all said they would intervene...
If China took Taiwan, it takes 60% control of semiconductor production for the world.... it also puts legitimacy into their expansion in the South China sea for the control of trades routes.. it vastly reduces the US's sphere of influence in the Pacific, and playing the long game, the next steps would be Japan and Korea (probably why they're cosying up to the Russian's).
Then west of Ukraine is banjaxed isn't it? If the international community stop supplying Ukraine, and Russia bulldoze in they aren't going to stop on Ukraines borders. They'll stay going knowing that each country has now effectivly run out of ammo, or will run out in a short time. Russia has to be stopped where they are by whatever means necessary or they will stay going with renewed confidence and belief
2 more weeks
The US have been getting TSMC to set up fabs in the US instead to mitigate the risk of China acquiring or destroying Taiwanese semiconductor assets.
That on top of recent hugely reduced demand for semiconductors means that the reliance on Taiwan is slowly decreasing.
And the US still supports the 'one-China' policy, whereby Taiwan is officially a part of China.
More evidence of the change of tactics from the Russians ,
Seems they are now supplying forces with clothing and blankets which hide IR and Thermal signatures , reduced IR uniforms /tactical gear can be bought on line relatively easy but the issuing blanket's which hide IR signature's and Thermal signatures makes it extremely difficult even for drones to spot.
I wonder is there a one shot action that would stop Putin? Some weak point in Russia?
On Taiwan how's many nato or eu countries have diplomatic relations for the most part very few do have any kind of diplomatic or military relationships due to China completely isolating Taiwan from the the rest of the world,,
It's already been predicted if China goes to retake Taiwan by force the US would lose the majority of it's surface vessels and hundreds of aircraft in the first week alone ,
Don't won't go down with the US public or government
A surface drone of the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked a Russian ship in the bay of Sevastopol at night.
If nobody saw it ,
Then it didn't happen Chinese proverb...
It will be interesting to see what they hit ,
Looks similar to the last video from a couple of weeks back,big flash with no secondary explosion/s and fire
While I'm sure Ukrainian arms production certainly isn't matching it's historic output (the 4th largest arms exporter in the world back in 2012 according to Wiki (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defense_industry_of_Ukraine) and it's currently using more materiel than it could possibly manufacture domestically in such a scenario where the upcoming counter-offensive fails to liberate as much of the occupied territory as we'd like to see, it's a fair assumption that it will at the very least further degrade Russia's forces and equipment on the ground.
With sanctions in place we're already seeing stories of Russian arms production floundering due to lack of such basic components as precision ball bearings and that's before we even get onto more advanced stuff like optics and microchips. Add in the brain drain they're been experiencing for years, the furthering of this through feeding the meat grinder that Ukraine has been for them to date and the further incentive for young men to try and flee the country before they get conscripted is it really that far fetched to think that the Ukrainian arms industry, who aren't under such sanctions and who don't seem to be as likely to conscript their engineering talent from the defence industry into the rank and file couldn't out-produce the Russians?
Support for Ukraine from the Baltics is far less likely to waver than that from the rest of Europe or the US either so I really can't see a scenario where Ukraine find themselves unable to continue fighting due to lack of ammo. I'm not suggesting they'd be able to maintain their current rates of fire but it seems unlikely that Russia would be able to do so either?
@Sleepy While I'm sure Ukrainian arms production certainly isn't matching it's historic output (the 4th largest arms exporter in the world back in 2012 according to Wiki,
Not true as far as I can remember they haven't even been the the top 10 arms exporters in the last 5 decades,
While Ukrainian production of shells has increased somewhat they are solely reliant on outside assistance to produce the majority of their shells, but as I have said previously the eu /nato states do not have unlimited supplies of ammunition and weapons/vehicles,alot of Ukrainan units are croud funding for the basics from vehicles down to basic first aid kits ,
There's supply bottlenecks if Ukrainian military units are heavily reliant on donations because the supplies aren't coming from the Ukrainian military questions have to be asked
Macron really looks even more stupid for his pathetic attempt to craft a reputation and legacy as a master diplomat, after his meet-up with Xi he immediately called for Europe to free itself from US influence and to let China in the door - moron. This after his repeated attempts to 'talk' Putin out of it last year when any fool could see that a well armed response was the only thing the Orcs wouldn't be deaf to. Talk about misreading the POS and the situation.
Macron sucking up to the two biggest dictators heading the two worst anti-west regimes on the planet - genius.
Even when TSMC's Arizona fabs come online they'll only output 600,000 wafers a year compared to 2 million a month in Taiwan itself. TSMC will still be making 88% of its chips in Taiwan by 2025. The US share by then will still be only 3% of TSMC's total output.
Also re the US position on Taiwan, it 'acknowledges' the One China policy, not 'support'. A subtle but important difference.
Well when it comes to War Crimes. the Russians are the acknowledged experts.....still strange for them to be so concerned about the "LAW" after historically showing scant regard for it in all their activities world wide over the years, especially since Putin came to power. And as for free speech......when it comes to Russia,it just does not exist.
It's no wonder China have the horn for Taiwan. The shifting in the world order would accelerate drastically if China get their filthy grubby commie hands around our necks in that part of the world. Also probably wouldn't be good for Ukraine unfortunately as focus would shift to that region.
Yes, a thread on the whole China Taiwan business would be a good thing. It's a slow burning issue for now but I believe there's a sense of inevitability about how the situation may develop in years to come considering Taiwan's critical importance when it comes to semiconductor production. There's a thread going at the moment called "Unrest in the Socialist Paradise of the P.R.C." if you want to develop the discussion there.
The US doesn't really support the one China policy, it just made vaguely supportive noises to get them to shut up with their yapping.
This is what their real policy is:
Is there such thing as a Russian journalist???
Yes, and there was one very good reply to that statement:
If the Chinese ambassador in France questions the independence of former Soviet Union states, why doesn't he question the independence of Russia also? Wasn't it a former Soviet Union state?
He has a very valid point there!!!
For sure, Russia are far from finished, but they are having mega problems too on nearly every front, and these problems don't have immediate solution's. They are getting worse if anything, so the clock is not working in Putin's favor either. Lots of signs that all is not well on the the Russian home front, not everyone is happy with Putin's 3 day war at this stage.
Not a genuine Journalist, reporting the truth in Russia anyway.
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